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Star Minerals Ltd. (SMS) AI Stock Analysis

AU:SMS

Star Minerals Ltd.

(ASX:SMS)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.04â–¼(-2.70% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/07/26

The overall score of 42 reflects a high-risk, early-stage gold explorer. The most significant factors are the company's lack of revenue and accelerating cash burn, which are only partially offset by a debt-free balance sheet. Technical weakness across all timeframes and a negative P/E ratio further weigh on the score.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageAn effectively debt-free balance sheet reduces interest and refinancing burdens while preserving flexibility during the company’s early operating phase. This gives Star Minerals more capacity to fund development or absorb losses without the additional pressure that material leverage would impose.
Negative Factors
Unproven Revenue BaseHighly inconsistent sales, including zero-revenue years and a sharp 2026 decline, show that the business has not yet established dependable commercial traction. Without sustained revenue growth, Star Minerals has limited ability to cover its cost base or demonstrate a repeatable operating model.

Star Minerals Ltd. (SMS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%AU:SMS-22.92%EWA+15.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 7.77M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
282.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.4
Beta (1Y)
1.59
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
31.01%
Country
Australia
Employees
0
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Star Minerals Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Star Minerals Limited is an Australian enterprise focused on identifying and advancing resources of gold, copper, and other base metals. Its flagship initiative is the Tumblegum South project, an advanced exploration site positioned immediately south...

Star Minerals Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is very weak. The company is pre-revenue with escalating operating losses (TTM net loss of A$2.4M) and deeply negative cash flows (TTM FCF of -A$1.8M). The only support is a debt-free balance sheet with A$8.5M in equity, but this is being rapidly eroded.

Income Statement

5Very Negative

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

8Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0546.01K5,2170202.34K0
Gross Profit-7,001-7,000-722.27K0202.34K0
EBITDA-2.33M-2.33M-1.90M-853.08K-1.17M-795.76K
Net Income-2.39M-2.39M-1.90M-857.63K-1.17M-795.98K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.71M8.71M7.76M6.59M6.41M7.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.10M2.10M1.18M435.16K784.03K2.97M
Total Debt000000
Total Liabilities163.51K163.51K291.54K138.51K215.46K487.58K
Stockholders Equity8.54M8.54M7.47M6.46M6.19M7.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.79M-1.79M-1.58M-1.18M-2.19M-1.79M
Operating Cash Flow-1.71M-1.71M-1.34M-1.11M-1.82M-678.13K
Investing Cash Flow-41.92K-41.92K-240.37K-67.31K-371.21K-1.11M
Financing Cash Flow2.68M2.68M2.32M827.74K04.53M

Star Minerals Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.04

Price Trends

50DMA0.04Negative
100DMA0.04Negative
200DMA0.05Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI44.54Neutral
STOCH91.67Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:SMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:SMS.

Star Minerals Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:SMS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:E79AU:E7952NeutralAUD 9.55M-2.67-30.14%――36.31%
AU:NESAU:NES45NeutralAUD 5.57M-10.00-24.46%――0.00%
AU:NWMAU:NWM45NeutralAUD 9.46M-23.33-4.80%――66.67%
AU:PGDAU:PGD43NeutralAUD 13.09M-3.17-55.21%―-100.00%-8.36%
AU:SMSAU:SMS42NeutralAUD 9.65M-3.36-28.47%――31.01%
AU:NSMAU:NSM41NeutralAUD 6.61M-4.86-8.22%――-16.67%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%AU:SMSAU:NWMAU:E79AU:NSMAU:PGDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:SMS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:SMSStar Minerals Ltd.0.04-0.02-30.19%
AU:NWMNorwest Minerals Ltd.0.010.000.00%
AU:E79E79 Gold Mines Limited0.030.003.85%
AU:NSMNorth Stawell Minerals, Ltd.0.02-0.02-54.05%
AU:PGDPeregrine Gold Ltd.0.12-0.15-55.77%
AU:NESNelson Resources Ltd.―――

Star Minerals Ltd. Corporate Events

Star Minerals Secures Ore Deal to Kick‑Start Gold Production

Oct 21, 2026

Star Minerals has entered into an Ore Purchase Agreement with Forrestania Resources for up to 400,000 tonnes of mill feed from its Tumblegum South Gold Project to be processed at the Edna May facility, with haulage to begin on 23 October and initial...

Star Minerals Sets November Date for Digitally Focused AGM

Oct 21, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. has called its annual general meeting for 23 November 2026 at 9:00am AWST, advising shareholders that the notice of meeting and explanatory materials are available online via the company’s website and ASX announcements page....

Star Minerals Sets Key Dates for 2026 Annual General Meeting

Oct 21, 2026

Star Minerals Limited has issued formal documentation for its 2026 annual general meeting, including a notice of meeting, explanatory statement and proxy form for shareholders. The AGM will be held as a physical meeting at the company’s venue i...

Star Minerals Chair to Step Down After AGM

Oct 21, 2026

Star Minerals has announced that Non‑Executive Chair Ian Stuart will step down following the company’s Annual General Meeting on 23 November 2026. Stuart has been credited with guiding the business through its ASX listing in 2021 and over...

Star Minerals advances Tumblegum South toward processing with new drilling plans

Oct 20, 2026

Star Minerals reported that mining at its Tumblegum South Gold Project has successfully progressed to the 445mRL level, with mineralised material stockpiled on the run-of-mine pad ahead of initial processing under an existing milling agreement with C...

Star Minerals Maps Risk-Laden Path From Gold Explorer to Producer

Oct 13, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd., an ASX-listed junior gold company, is focused on advancing the Tumblegum South Gold Project and the West Bryah Copper Gold Project in Western Australia. Its strategy centres on becoming a gold producer via open pit mining and toll...

Star Minerals Sets AGM Date and Board Nomination Deadline

Sep 24, 2026

Star Minerals has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 9:00 a.m. AWST on Monday, 23 November 2026 at its registered office in Leederville, Perth. The company has set Friday, 2 October 2026 as the deadline for written nominations from individuals...

Star Minerals Pauses Tumblegum South Mining for Grade Control and Expansion Drilling

Sep 20, 2026

Star Minerals has announced a planned pause in mining at its Tumblegum South Gold Project to undertake a program of grade control and depth extension drilling. The work is intended to refine the next open pit cut-back, improving orebody definition at...

Star Minerals issues new quoted securities under disclosure exemption

Aug 27, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. has issued quoted securities without a prospectus, relying on specific provisions of the Corporations Act that allow such issuance when certain disclosure and reporting conditions are met. The company confirmed it is compliant with...

Star Minerals Seeks ASX Quotation for New Share Issue

Aug 27, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd., an ASX-listed mining and exploration company trading under the code SMS, has confirmed an issuance of ordinary fully paid shares as part of its capital structure. The move underscores the company’s ongoing engagement with eq...

Star Minerals Issues 6.7 Million Unquoted Options in Long-Dated Equity Move

Aug 17, 2026

Star Minerals Ltd. has notified the market of a new issue of unquoted equity securities, specifically 6,680,184 options exercisable at $0.0806 and expiring on 16 August 2031, to be issued on 17 August 2026. The options form part of a previously annou...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 07, 2026