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Reef Casino Trust (AU:RCT)
ASX:RCT
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Reef Casino (RCT) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:RCT

Reef Casino

(Sydney:RCT)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
AU$3.50
â–¼(-0.57% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
The score is primarily held back by elevated financial risk from high leverage and by weak technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partly offset by solid profitability/cash generation and a supportive valuation profile (reasonable P/E and ~6% dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
Strong industry profitability and sustained margins provide an earnings base for the trust. The return to consistent profits after 2020 indicates the underlying casino and hotel asset can support income across operating cycles.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High debt relative to equity increases financial risk and limits flexibility if the venue operator weakens or property cash flows decline. Leverage can also constrain reinvestment and make distributions less resilient during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability
Strong industry profitability and sustained margins provide an earnings base for the trust. The return to consistent profits after 2020 indicates the underlying casino and hotel asset can support income across operating cycles.
Read all positive factors

Reef Casino (RCT) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Reef Casino Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
The Reef Casino Trust owns and leases the Reef Hotel Casino complex, a prominent establishment situated in Cairns, North Queensland, Australia. This entity was founded in 1993, maintains its headquarters in Brisbane, Australia, and operates as a s...
How the Company Makes Money
RCT makes money primarily by earning rent/lease income (and other contractual payments, if applicable) from arrangements connected to the Reef Hotel Casino complex. In practice, this means the trust’s revenue is driven by the operator’s use of the...

Reef Casino Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (78) and generally solid cash generation (72) are meaningfully offset by a very weak balance sheet score (38) driven by high leverage and thin equity, which increases downside risk despite the recent revenue and free-cash-flow rebound.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.99M26.75M25.52M26.29M30.51M26.86M
Gross Profit11.42M12.31M21.27M21.68M22.92M19.16M
EBITDA16.59M16.44M15.34M15.71M22.64M19.61M
Net Income5.41M5.41M5.08M5.37M8.99M7.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets105.72M103.62M101.13M102.55M107.36M104.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.73M3.81M3.19M7.34M13.74M9.62M
Total Debt90.55M86.05M1.00K85.16M85.45M85.55M
Total Liabilities95.63M91.42M89.78M91.04M93.12M91.61M
Stockholders Equity10.08M12.19M11.35M11.51M14.23M12.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.27M8.72M6.38M10.04M19.40M16.61M
Operating Cash Flow16.90M15.96M14.57M16.75M22.37M19.78M
Investing Cash Flow-8.63M-7.20M-8.18M-6.71M-2.97M-3.17M
Financing Cash Flow-7.32M-8.13M-10.54M-16.45M-15.27M-11.07M

Reef Casino Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.52
Price Trends
50DMA
3.70
Positive
100DMA
3.53
Positive
200DMA
3.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
50.64
Neutral
STOCH
89.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:RCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.71, below the 50-day MA of 3.70, and above the 200-day MA of 3.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:RCT.

Reef Casino Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
AU$35.91B25.4023.15%1.63%-1.22%10.79%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
AU$11.04B39.0594.29%2.99%-4.64%-22.15%
57
Neutral
AU$2.02B43.323.66%2.82%0.13%26.25%
56
Neutral
AU$191.73M20.2648.57%5.71%3.43%18.43%
45
Neutral
AU$829.41M-2.34-64.40%―-9.32%59.25%
34
Underperform
AU$312.83M-9.00231.91%―5.56%8.45%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:RCT
Reef Casino
3.71
0.18
4.98%
AU:ALL
Aristocrat Leisure
61.46
-6.96
-10.17%
AU:SGR
Star Entertainment Group Limited
0.14
0.04
35.00%
AU:PBH
PointsBet Holdings
0.88
-0.37
-29.88%
AU:TAH
Tabcorp Holdings Limited
0.88
-0.11
-11.47%
AU:TLC
Lottery Corporation Limited
4.98
-0.76
-13.20%

Reef Casino Corporate Events

Reef Casino Trust Cuts Half-Year Distribution After Final Accounts
Aug 28, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has updated its previously announced distribution for the six months ended 30 June 2026, revising the amount based on final half-year financial reporting. The change reflects the impact of final month trading, as well as the comp...
Iris Cairns Secures Majority Control of Reef Casino Trust After Takeover Offer Closes
Aug 25, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has confirmed that the off‑market takeover offer for all its issued units by Iris Cairns Property Pty Ltd, acting as trustee for the Iris Cairns Property Trust, closed on 14 August 2026. The takeover followed a previously a...
Reef Casino Trust Adds New Director Without Equity Stake
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has appointed Rod Hawkins as a director, effective 14 August 2026, expanding the board with a new member to support governance of the listed casino and hospitality investment vehicle. The appointment reflects ongoing board renewa...
Reef Casino Trust Names New Director With No Initial Security Holdings
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has announced the appointment of Melissa Anne Sheehan as a director, effective 14 August 2026, and has lodged the initial director’s interest notice with the ASX in line with listing rule requirements. The filing confirms t...
Reef Casino Trust Appoints New Director Brendan Warren Jones
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has announced the appointment of Brendan Warren Jones as a director, effective 14 August 2026, as disclosed in its initial director’s interest notice lodged with the ASX. The filing confirms that Jones currently holds no re...
New Director Arnout Gains Significant Indirect Stake in Reef Casino Trust
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has appointed Wassim Arnout as a director effective 14 August 2026, formalising his governance role at the gaming and hospitality-focused trust. The appointment follows the close of an off-market takeover bid for all units in the...
Reef Casino Trust Announces Board Change as Director Steven Lake Steps Down
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has announced that director Steven Lake ceased to be a director of the trust on 14 August 2026, with the change notified to the ASX in accordance with listing rule requirements. The filing confirms that Lake held no relevant inte...
Reef Casino Trust Announces Board Change as Director Departs Without Equity Stake
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has announced that director Erwin van Lambaart ceased to be a director of the trust on 14 August 2026. The notice confirms that van Lambaart held no relevant interests in Reef Casino Trust securities, whether as a registered hold...
Reef Casino Trust Director Departs as Takeover Reshapes Ownership
Aug 20, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has announced that director Allan Teck Beng Tan ceased to be a director on 14 August 2026, with his final director’s interest notice lodged with the ASX. The filing confirms that Mr Tan holds no relevant interests in Reef C...
Iris Takeover of Reef Casino Trust Closes as Board Control Shifts
Aug 14, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has confirmed the closure of Iris Cairns Property’s off‑market takeover offer for all units in the trust, marking the completion of Iris’s broader acquisition of Reef Corporate Services Limited and Casinos Austr...
Reef Casino Director Sells Entire Stake as Iris Cairns Takeover Advances
Aug 10, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has disclosed that director Allan Teck Beng Tan has accepted an off‑market takeover offer for all of his units in the trust, both direct and indirect, from Iris Cairns Property Pty Ltd as trustee for the Iris Cairns Propert...
Reef Casino Trust lodges third supplementary statement on Iris takeover bid
Aug 7, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has lodged its Third Supplementary Target’s Statement with the corporate regulator in response to the off‑market takeover bid by Iris Cairns Property Pty Ltd for all issued units in the trust. The document has been se...
Iris Makes Reef Casino Takeover Bid Unconditional as Control Passes 80% Threshold
Aug 6, 2026
Iris Cairns Property Pty Ltd, as trustee for the Iris Cairns Property Trust, has declared its off-market takeover offer for all units in Reef Casino Trust unconditional after receiving all required regulatory approvals and waiving remaining defeat...
Iris Eases Conditions on Off-Market Bid for Reef Casino Trust
Jul 24, 2026
Iris Cairns Property Pty Ltd, as trustee for the Iris Cairns Property Trust, has issued a fourth supplementary bidder’s statement in relation to its off-market takeover bid for all units in Reef Casino Trust. The bidder confirmed that key de...
Reef Casino Trust Lifts Half-Year Profit and Flags $3.4m Distribution
Jun 19, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has issued an estimated distribution for the six months to 30 June 2026 of 6.83 cents per unit, or about $3.4 million in total, in line with its policy of distributing 100% of distributable profit. The final distribution will be ...
Reef Casino Trust Sets Six-Month Distribution for June 2026 Period
Jun 19, 2026
Reef Casino Trust has declared a distribution of AUD 0.0683 per fully paid ordinary unit for the six‑month period ending 30 June 2026. The ex‑distribution date is set for 29 June 2026, with a record date of 30 June 2026 and payment to ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026