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Predictive Discovery Limited (PDI) AI Stock Analysis

AU:PDI

Predictive Discovery Limited

(ASX:PDI)

Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:AUD 4.00â–¼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

The score is driven primarily by improved FY2026 cash flow and a strong low-leverage balance sheet, offset by continued large net losses and weak operating profitability. Technical indicators add further pressure given the bearish trend and negative momentum, while valuation is difficult to assess due to the negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageVery low leverage gives the company financial flexibility while it advances its exploration portfolio. Limited debt exposure reduces solvency and refinancing pressure, allowing more capital to remain available for drilling, resource delineation, and other development priorities.
Negative Factors
Large Net LossesThe substantial net loss and negative operating margin show that current activity has not yet translated into sustainable profitability. Continued losses can consume resources, weaken returns on equity, and make future earnings dependent on successful operating improvement or additional funding.

Predictive Discovery Limited (PDI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%AU:PDI+55.51%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 4.11B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.32M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-37.8
Beta (1Y)
1.89
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
-315.85%
Country
Australia
Employees
27
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Predictive Discovery Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

PDI Gold Ltd. engages in the business of mineral exploration with the objective of identifying and developing economic reserves. It operates through the following segments: Corporate and Gold Guinea. The company was founded on August 22, 2007 and is...

Predictive Discovery Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: FY2026 shows a sharp revenue inflection and improved cash flow with positive operating cash flow (A$27.9m) and free cash flow (A$10.3m), and leverage is very low (debt-to-equity ~1.3%). However, profitability remains weak with a large net loss (A$-68.4m) and negative operating margin, leaving earnings sustainability as the key risk.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue202.85M202.85M0170.77K00
Gross Profit-4.47M25.84M-603.54K170.77K-524.00K-222.00K
EBITDA-56.08M13.05M-15.16M-8.08M-10.42M-9.47M
Net Income-68.38M-68.38M-13.00M-8.68M-11.23M-9.69M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.70B2.70B231.32M176.59M133.79M80.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments275.38M275.38M69.23M52.43M44.89M42.04M
Total Debt20.99M20.99M0159.33K313.24K0
Total Liabilities813.73M813.73M2.68M6.64M4.95M6.55M
Stockholders Equity1.63B1.63B228.64M169.95M128.84M74.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.28M10.28M-51.15M-41.42M-57.43M-23.75M
Operating Cash Flow27.85M27.85M-8.67M-5.17M-56.94M-23.04M
Investing Cash Flow141.46M141.46M-47.49M-59.25M-453.67K-712.10K
Financing Cash Flow-264.00K-264.00K67.88M48.88M60.67M43.06M

Predictive Discovery Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price4.16

Price Trends

50DMA4.47Negative
100DMA4.11Positive
200DMA4.21Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Negative
RSI47.82Neutral
STOCH73.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:PDI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.22, below the 50-day MA of 4.47, and below the 200-day MA of 4.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:PDI.

Predictive Discovery Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:PDI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:PRUAU:PRU83OutperformAUD 7.72B12.7618.90%2.41%12.65%11.08%
AU:OBMAU:OBM77OutperformAUD 2.42B11.1346.66%―100.85%13.66%
AU:WAFAU:WAF76OutperformAUD 3.78B3.9252.15%―194.08%92.97%
AU:BC8AU:BC872OutperformAUD 419.16M4.8225.37%―909.33%―
AU:BGLAU:BGL65NeutralAUD 2.08B290.630.85%―13.92%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:PDIAU:PDI52NeutralAUD 4.11B-37.78-7.42%――-315.85%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%AU:PDIAU:PRUAU:WAFAU:OBMAU:BC8AU:BGLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:PDI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:PDIPredictive Discovery Limited4.161.3949.91%
AU:PRUPerseus Mining Limited5.821.1324.20%
AU:WAFWest African Resources Ltd3.300.4214.62%
AU:OBMOra Banda Mining Ltd.1.250.054.17%
AU:BC8Black Cat Syndicate Ltd.0.57-0.39-40.10%
AU:BGLBellevue Gold Limited1.400.2420.26%

Predictive Discovery Limited Corporate Events

PDI Gold Updates AGM Notice With New Auditor Resolution and Proxy Guidance

Oct 28, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has dispatched an addendum to its Notice of Annual General Meeting, together with a replacement proxy form and updated notice and access letter, to eligible shareholders ahead of its AGM scheduled for 20 November 2026 in Perth. The a...

PDI Gold expands ASX-quoted share base with new ordinary securities

Oct 23, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has applied for the quotation of 444,804 new ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, effective 23 October 2026. The additional securities, issued following the exercise or conversion of existing options or convertible instruments, mod...

PDI Gold Adds Auditor Appointment Resolution to November AGM Agenda

Oct 23, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has issued an addendum to its Notice of Annual General Meeting, confirming that the meeting will proceed on 20 November 2026 in Perth with the originally advised hybrid format. The company is urging shareholders to lodge a replacemen...

PDI Gold moves to electronic communications for November AGM

Oct 20, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 3:00pm Australian Western Time on 20 November 2026, to be held in person at Grant Thornton’s offices in central Perth. The company is shifting to primarily electronic distribution of...

PDI Gold sets November 2026 date for dual-access annual general meeting

Oct 20, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has convened its annual general meeting for 20 November 2026, to be held both virtually and in person at Grant Thornton Australia’s offices in Perth, providing access for shareholders in Australia and North America. The company...

PDI Gold Seeks ASX Quotation for New Share Issue

Oct 12, 2026

PDI Gold Limited, listed on the ASX under the ticker PDI, operates in the gold exploration and mining sector. The company focuses on developing gold assets and related projects, positioning itself within the broader resources industry and targeting i...

State Street exits substantial holding in Predictive Discovery

Oct 6, 2026

State Street Corporation, through its asset management subsidiaries including State Street Global Advisors and related entities, has lodged a notice that it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Predictive Discovery Limited. The filing under...

PDI Gold Delivers Strong September Quarter Output and Builds Cash for Bankan Growth

Oct 4, 2026

PDI Gold reported a solid September 2026 quarter, with its flagship Kiniero mine maintaining plant throughput above nameplate capacity, achieving gold recoveries of 88.3% and pouring 45,599 ounces of gold from 2.3 million tonnes of ore at 0.69 grams...

PDI Gold Drilling at Kiniéro Points to Resource Expansion and Longer Mine Life

Oct 4, 2026

PDI Gold has reported high-grade drilling results at depth beneath the Gobele and Jean deposits at its Kiniéro Gold Project in Guinea, underscoring the potential to expand open-pit mineral resources and establish a maiden underground resource. T...

PDI Gold Transforms into Producer After Robex Merger and Shifts to Calendar-Year Reporting

Sep 29, 2026

PDI Gold Limited, a dual-listed African-focused gold miner on the ASX and TSX, has transitioned from an explorer to a producer through its merger with Robex Resources Inc. The transaction adds the Kiniéro project and Nampala mine to its portfoli...

PDI Gold Limited Issues Comprehensive 2026 Annual Information Form

Sep 29, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has released its Annual Information Form for the year ended June 30, 2026, outlining corporate structure, business development, and detailed descriptions of its gold-focused operations and associated risk factors. The document also c...

Citigroup Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in PDI Gold

Sep 28, 2026

Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi group entities have notified PDI Gold Ltd that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders as of 23 September 2026, triggering disclosure under Australian substantial holding rules. The change r...

PDI Gold Reaffirms West African Resource Base and Production Targets

Sep 27, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has released an investor presentation dated 28 September 2026 outlining its West African gold portfolio and reaffirming its strategy to build a leading regional gold producer. The company highlights established mineral resource and o...

PDI Gold Issues New Long-Dated Performance Rights Under Incentive Scheme

Sep 11, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has notified the market of the issue of 2,157,323 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, with an expiry date of 31 December 2029. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted...

PDI Gold Reaffirms Bankan Resources and West African Production Targets

Sep 4, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has reiterated the strength of its West African gold asset base, highlighting updated mineral resource and ore reserve estimates for its Bankan project and associated deposits, as well as for the Kiniero and Nampala projects operated...

PDI Gold Restates Director Holdings After 5‑for‑1 Capital Consolidation

Sep 4, 2026

PDI Gold Ltd has updated the market on changes to Managing Director Matthew Wilcox’s holdings following a 5‑to‑1 consolidation of the company’s issued capital approved by shareholders on 21 August 2026. Wilcox’s option a...

PDI Gold Adopts New Company Constitution After Shareholder Approval

Aug 26, 2026

PDI Gold Limited has formally adopted a new company constitution, following approval by shareholders at a general meeting held on 21 August 2026. The updated constitution, now in effect, reflects a key corporate governance change for the dual-listed...

PDI Gold Rebrands and Consolidates Shares as West African Growth Push Accelerates

Aug 24, 2026

PDI Gold Limited, formerly Predictive Discovery Limited, operates a portfolio of gold mines and development projects in West Africa, including producing assets in Guinea and Mali and the large-scale Bankan Gold Project that is expected to underpin a...

Predictive Discovery shareholders back all resolutions at high-turnout meeting

Aug 21, 2026

Predictive Discovery Limited reported that its General Meeting of shareholders held on 21 August 2026 achieved a participation rate of about 64.4% of issued shares, indicating strong investor engagement in the company’s governance.All resolutio...

Predictive Discovery Opens Webinar Access for August General Meeting

Aug 5, 2026

Predictive Discovery Limited has invited shareholders to register for a webinar accompanying its General Meeting, scheduled for 21 August 2026 in Perth, with online attendees able to listen and ask questions but not vote. The company is encouraging s...

Citigroup Entities Exit Substantial Holder Status in Predictive Discovery

Aug 5, 2026

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and related Citi entities have notified Predictive Discovery Limited that they have ceased to be a substantial holder in the company as of 3 August 2026, following significant changes in their relevant i...

Predictive Discovery Sharpened Strategy to Build Africa’s Next Gold Leader

Jul 29, 2026

Predictive Discovery Limited has outlined its FY2026 June quarter activities within a broader strategic framework focused on responsible resource development in Africa. The release reaffirms its purpose and mission to become a leading gold producer,...

Predictive Discovery lifts gold output and cash flow in June quarter

Jul 29, 2026

Predictive Discovery Limited reported a robust June quarter driven by strong operational performance at its Kiniéro and Nampala gold mines in Guinea, alongside advancement of the Bankan project. The company poured 64,026oz of gold, increased gol...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026