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NGE Capital Ltd (NGE) AI Stock Analysis

AU:NGE

NGE Capital Ltd

(ASX:NGE)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:AUD 1.50â–²(26.58% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/07/26

The score is supported most by a very strong balance sheet and a profitable 2025 turnaround, plus a low P/E valuation. It is held back by weak price momentum and ongoing revenue and cash flow volatility.

Positive Factors
Very low leverageEffectively zero debt and minimal leverage provide durable financial flexibility, allowing NGE to withstand market dislocations, opportunistically add to investments, and avoid refinancing risk. This structural strength supports longer-term capital allocation and downside protection.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue declineA ~67% revenue contraction in 2025 signals material top-line sensitivity to portfolio outcomes and transactional gains. Persistent or repeated large revenue swings reduce predictability of distributable income and complicate planning for investments, expenses, and shareholder returns.

NGE Capital Ltd (NGE) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%AU:NGE-14.13%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 21.15M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
19.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.7
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
-66.04%
EPS Growth
20.06%
Country
Australia
Employees
9
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

NGE Capital Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in Melbourne, Australia, NGE Capital Limited operates as an investment firm within the Australian market. Founded in 2005, it focuses on acquiring stakes in both publicly traded and unlisted financial instruments. The company adopted its curren...

How the Company Makes Money

NGE makes money primarily through investment returns generated by its portfolio. Key revenue/earnings sources typically include: (1) capital gains and losses from selling investments (realized gains when portfolio holdings are sold above cost, or los...

NGE Capital Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial quality is strong overall, led by an exceptional balance sheet with zero debt and steady equity growth, plus a clear profitability recovery in 2025. Cash flow is positive and closely matches net income, but revenue and free cash flow volatility keep the score below the top range.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.01M933.00K3.13M4.18M741.00K693.00K
Gross Profit1.01M876.00K3.13M4.18M699.00K637.00K
EBITDA5.54M11.07M2.15M2.57M-1.84M6.95M
Net Income5.90M12.02M4.84M8.89M-1.91M7.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.04M61.30M49.67M45.45M35.96M38.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.10M7.35M46.29M34.06M12.18M13.44M
Total Debt000025.00K67.00K
Total Liabilities489.00K1.46M678.00K890.00K166.00K694.00K
Stockholders Equity57.55M59.84M48.99M44.56M35.79M37.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.70M2.69M2.04M-7.96M-1.87M3.60M
Operating Cash Flow3.71M2.69M2.04M-7.96M-1.87M3.60M
Investing Cash Flow-9,000-4,00000-2,000-3,000
Financing Cash Flow-813.00K-1.16M-417.00K-155.00K-97.00K-722.00K

NGE Capital Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.19

Price Trends

50DMA1.27Negative
100DMA1.26Negative
200DMA1.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI21.29Positive
STOCH-0.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NGE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.21, below the 50-day MA of 1.27, and below the 200-day MA of 1.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 21.29 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NGE.

NGE Capital Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

AU:NGE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:MAMAU:MAM71OutperformAUD 40.10M7.0922.72%10.65%-11.68%-19.96%
AU:LCEAU:LCE70OutperformAUD 29.24M3.6727.70%2.78%422.26%1436.25%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
AU:NGEAU:NGE65NeutralAUD 39.85M6.7110.06%―-66.04%20.06%
AU:SB2AU:SB258NeutralAUD 46.66M-6.01-9.58%7.21%-42.55%-396.54%
AU:BWFAU:BWF47NeutralAUD 15.38M-6.57-6.24%―-40.66%82.75%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%AU:NGEAU:BWFAU:LCEAU:MAMAU:SB2Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:NGE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:NGENGE Capital Ltd1.19-0.17-12.22%
AU:BWFBlackwall Limited0.09-0.09-50.28%
AU:LCELondon City Equities Ltd0.900.089.09%
AU:MAMMicroequities Asset Management Group Ltd.0.31-0.22-40.95%
AU:SB2Salter Brothers Emerging Companies Ltd.0.56-0.14-19.80%

NGE Capital Ltd Corporate Events

NGE Capital Updates NTA and Makes Bold Moves in Alliance Aviation and Humm Group

Jul 14, 2026

NGE Capital Ltd reported net tangible assets per share of $1.590 before tax and $1.710 after tax as at 30 June 2026, slightly down from May, with year-to-date performance at -1.7% but a strong 11.9% return over the last 12 months. The company’s...

NGE Capital Lifts NTA, Realises Metals X Profit and Boosts Buybacks

Jun 8, 2026

NGE Capital reported an increase in its net tangible assets per share at 31 May 2026, with before-tax NTA rising to $1.623 and after-tax NTA to $1.750, reflecting solid recent performance and a year-to-date gain of 17.6%. The portfolio remains divers...

NGE Capital cancels 322,012 shares following on-market buy-back

May 12, 2026

NGE Capital has cancelled 322,012 ordinary fully paid shares following completion of an on-market share buy-back on 8 May 2026. The reduction in issued capital forms part of the company’s ongoing capital management strategy and is expected to m...

NGE Capital Cancels Shares Following On‑Market Buy‑Back

May 8, 2026

NGE Capital has cancelled 335,001 ordinary fully paid shares following completion of an on‑market buy‑back, as disclosed in its latest capital notification to the ASX. The reduction in issued capital signals an active capital management s...

NGE Capital shareholders back board and pay at AGM

May 7, 2026

NGE Capital Limited has released the voting outcomes from its latest annual general meeting, confirming shareholder approval of all resolutions put to the meeting. The company reported that the remuneration report was adopted and director Ilan Rimer...

NGE Capital issues AGM presentation with strong risk and disclaimer focus

May 7, 2026

NGE Capital Ltd has released an annual general meeting presentation that outlines information about the company in a concise, high-level format for shareholders and the market. The document is positioned as a supplementary overview to its formal fina...

NGE Capital Sets 2026 AGM to Vote on Remuneration and Director Re-election

May 7, 2026

NGE Capital Ltd has convened its Annual General Meeting for 3:30 p.m. Melbourne time on Thursday, 7 May 2026, outlining a standard agenda of ordinary and other business items. Shareholders will consider the company’s accounts and reports, vote...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026