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Castillo Copper Ltd. (NFM) AI Stock Analysis

AU:NFM

Castillo Copper Ltd.

(ASX:NFM)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.01â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:10/02/26

The overall score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance, with no meaningful revenue, ongoing losses, and sustained negative cash flow despite a conservative, low-debt balance sheet. Valuation provides limited support given negative earnings and no dividend data, so the stock depends heavily on successful project development. Technicals are constrained by scarce trend information and elevated volatility, offering no clear positive momentum to offset the fundamental risks.

Positive Factors
Very low leverageMinimal debt reduces solvency pressure and leaves more financial flexibility than a highly leveraged exploration company. The low debt load can help preserve options for funding geological programs or managing prolonged development timelines, although it does not offset current cash burn.
Negative Factors
No operating revenueSeveral years without meaningful operating revenue show that the exploration model has not yet converted its activities into a producing commercial business. This leaves future financial outcomes dependent on project advancement or monetization rather than established recurring sales.

Castillo Copper Ltd. (NFM) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%AU:NFM-54.55%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26
Market Cap
AUD 4.78M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.9
Beta (1Y)
1.50
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
37.50%
Country
Australia
Employees
0
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Other Precious Metals

Castillo Copper Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

New Frontier Minerals Limited is an entity primarily engaged in the prospecting and assessment of mineral resources, with its main activities concentrated in Australia and Zambia. The firm's exploration endeavors target a diverse array of deposits, e...

Castillo Copper Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak, with effectively no revenue, persistent operating and net losses, negative gross profit in 2026, and ongoing cash burn, partially offset by a low-debt balance sheet that is gradually eroding.

Income Statement

14Very Negative

Balance Sheet

57Neutral

Cash Flow

23Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit-8,648-14.92K-1,703000
EBITDA-1.49M-1.57M-2.22M-1.36M-1.29M-1.63M
Net Income-2.49M-1.72M-2.46M-1.46M-6.94M-1.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.08M12.08M11.32M10.72M12.20M19.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48M1.48M2.36M1.87M2.90M5.75M
Total Debt33.06K33.06K0000
Total Liabilities120.45K120.45K164.45K112.14K128.35K125.35K
Stockholders Equity11.96M11.96M11.15M10.61M11.92M18.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.77M-1.34M-1.33M-1.78M-2.78M-6.52M
Operating Cash Flow-2.09M-1.34M-1.32M-1.16M-1.10M-1.41M
Investing Cash Flow-1.11M-1.32M541.86K-617.28K-1.76M-5.02M
Financing Cash Flow4.64M2.06M1.49M001.49M

Castillo Copper Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:NFM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:NFMAU:NFM50NeutralAUD 6.95M-3.93-14.04%――37.50%
AU:HCHAU:HCH48NeutralAUD 266.82M-23.23-4.15%――22.68%
AU:TNCAU:TNC42NeutralAUD 53.57M-23.64-1.15%―-100.00%99.56%
AU:CYMAU:CYM41NeutralAUD 173.42M-10.24-9.20%――81.09%
AU:CVVAU:CVV40UnderperformAUD 106.16M-5.23634.53%――-163.77%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%AU:NFMAU:HCHAU:CYMAU:CVVAU:TNCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26
AU:NFM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:NFMCastillo Copper Ltd.0.01-0.01-56.52%
AU:HCHHot Chili Limited1.310.3739.15%
AU:CYMCyprium Metals Limited0.30-0.10-24.81%
AU:CVVCaravel Minerals Limited0.190.0211.76%
AU:TNCTrue North Copper Limited0.26-0.02-7.14%

Castillo Copper Ltd. Corporate Events

New Frontier Minerals Details Corporate Structure and Dual Listing

Sep 29, 2026

New Frontier Minerals Limited, a Western Australia-based minerals company, is listed on both the Australian Securities Exchange and the London Stock Exchange under the ticker NFM. Its governance framework is led by a non-executive chairman and board,...

New Frontier Minerals Sets Out Lean Governance Structure and Diversity Policy

Sep 25, 2026

New Frontier Minerals Ltd, linked to Castillo Copper Ltd, is a resources company whose board sets strategic direction, monitors performance and risk, and ensures legal and regulatory compliance, while operational management is delegated to the managi...

New Frontier Minerals frees escrowed shares tied to Quebec rare earths deal

Aug 17, 2026

New Frontier Minerals has released 10,940,919 fully paid ordinary shares from voluntary escrow, effective 17 August 2026, adding previously restricted equity to the company’s freely tradable stock. These shares were originally issued as part of...

New Frontier Models Untested Bedrock Conductor at Harts Range

Aug 4, 2026

New Frontier Minerals has reported that Southern Geoscience Consultants independently modelled a concealed bedrock conductor about 240 metres below surface within its 100%-owned Harts Range tenement. The conductor, interpreted from Geoscience Austral...

New Frontier Minerals Posts Continued Cash Outflows as Exploration Spend Rises

Jul 30, 2026

New Frontier Minerals Limited reported continued cash outflows from operations and exploration for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, reflecting its focus on exploration and tenement acquisition rather than revenue-generating production. Operating cash...

New Frontier Minerals Confirms High-Grade Copper at Mt Storm Prospect

Jul 12, 2026

New Frontier Minerals reported high-grade copper mineralisation from recent fieldwork at the Mt Storm prospect within its NWQ Copper Project in north-west Queensland. Rock chip and grab samples from pits and dumps returned copper grades up to 6.88%,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2026