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Lion Energy Limited (LIO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:LIO

Lion Energy Limited

(ASX:LIO)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.02â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—persistent losses, a sharp 2025 revenue decline, and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals provide a modest offset with price trading above key moving averages and neutral-to-positive momentum indicators, while valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no provided dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Project Monetisation ModelThe ability to create value by advancing exploration acreage toward farm-outs, sales, partnerships, or development provides multiple monetisation routes. This project-based model can attract external funding and crystallise value without requiring Lion Energy to finance every stage alone.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue ContractionThe steep 2025 revenue decline demonstrates substantial volatility in the company’s operating output and weakens visibility into near-term funding capacity. Persistent top-line contraction makes it harder to cover corporate costs, support exploration, and establish a dependable earnings base.

Lion Energy Limited (LIO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%AU:LIO+46.15%EWA+16.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 997.25K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
298.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.4
Beta (1Y)
1.10
Revenue Growth
-82.83%
EPS Growth
-264.86%
Country
Australia
Employees
85
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Lion Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lion Energy Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, is actively engaged in the exploration, development, production, and investment within the Indonesian oil and gas sector. The company holds a 2.5% participating stake in the Seram (Non Bula) bl...

How the Company Makes Money

Lion Energy Limited’s primary pathway to generating revenue is through the value creation and monetisation of oil and gas projects. This typically occurs via (1) progressing exploration acreage to the point where it can be farmed out, sold, or otherw...

Lion Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement and cash flow are very weak: revenue is volatile and fell sharply in 2025 (down ~69% YoY), EBIT and net income are negative throughout 2020–2025, and operating/free cash flow are consistently negative. The balance sheet is only a partial offset—leverage has been modest in years provided, but equity and assets weakened in 2025 and returns on equity are deeply negative.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

44Neutral

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.01K93.76K59.03K687.44K1.06M943.60K
Gross Profit86.01K93.76K262.10K304.27K635.20K447.23K
EBITDA-1.26M-1.37M-1.05M-1.02M-812.77K-553.50K
Net Income-1.35M-3.67M-847.92K-1.44M―-1.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.65M5.45M8.15M8.13M9.43M10.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments598.34K1.17M1.95M2.06M6.56M8.66M
Total Debt1.85M1.34M1.48M001.36M
Total Liabilities3.00M2.40M1.70M1.10M1.27M1.87M
Stockholders Equity1.65M3.05M6.45M7.04M8.16M8.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-634.80K-1.16M-2.98M-4.45M-1.76M-778.40K
Operating Cash Flow-522.67K-847.73K-1.25M-1.29M-620.74K-519.95K
Investing Cash Flow-168.64K-60.54K351.13K-3.25M-1.14M-41.17K
Financing Cash Flow-188.20K-118.88K997.04K088.80K8.45M

Lion Energy Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.01Positive
100DMA0.01Positive
200DMA0.01Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Negative
RSI72.00Negative
STOCH83.33Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.01, and above the 200-day MA of 0.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LIO.

Lion Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:LIO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:SHEAU:SHE58NeutralAUD 7.53M4.789.31%―50.52%―
AU:LIOAU:LIO47NeutralAUD 8.59M-1.35-174.42%―-82.83%-264.86%
AU:AXPAU:AXP44NeutralAUD 1.80M-0.45-73.55%―-15.48%63.60%
AU:GASAU:GAS43NeutralAUD 3.93M-0.93-7.13%―-100.00%21.88%
AU:PGYAU:PGY43NeutralAUD 6.75M-0.55-55.47%―――
AU:H3EAU:H3E38UnderperformAUD 4.02M-0.88109.14%――89.58%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%AU:LIOAU:AXPAU:H3EAU:GASAU:SHEAU:PGYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:LIO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:LIOLion Energy Limited0.020.0146.15%
AU:AXPAxp Energy Limited0.01-0.00-23.08%
AU:H3EWhitebark Energy Ltd0.010.000.00%
AU:GASState Gas Ltd.0.01-0.01-56.52%
AU:SHEStonehorse Energy Ltd0.010.0010.00%
AU:PGYPilot Energy Limited0.05-0.04-44.33%

Lion Energy Limited Corporate Events

Lion Energy Commences Drilling at Bula Karang-1

Nov 8, 2026

Lion Energy Limited is an oil and gas exploration company focused on conventional petroleum opportunities in Indonesia, including carbonate prospects in the East Seram PSC. The company has commenced drilling the Bula Karang-1 exploration well on Sera...

Lion Energy Secures Funding and Mobilises Rig for High-Impact Bula Karang-1 Well

Oct 28, 2026

Lion Energy has sharpened its focus on Indonesian upstream oil and gas, exiting its hydrogen activities and completing the sale of its 2.5% indirect interest in the Seram (Non-Bula) PSC to Vista Energy for US$1.2 million. The transaction removes a no...

Lion Energy lifts cash reserves on asset sales despite operating outflows

Oct 28, 2026

Lion Energy Limited reported a net cash outflow of A$479,000 from operating activities for the September 2026 quarter, driven by production, staff and corporate costs exceeding modest customer receipts. Over the nine months to 30 September 2026, oper...

Lion Energy Mobilises Rig for Bula Karang-1 Oil Exploration on Seram Island

Oct 19, 2026

Lion Energy has begun mobilising the Silver City Drilling Rig 20 and associated equipment to Seram Island, Indonesia, for the Bula Karang-1 exploration well. Three landing craft tank barges are transporting the rig and supplies, with staged arrivals...

Lion Energy Begins Mobilisation for Bula Karang-1 Exploration Well in Indonesia

Sep 17, 2026

Lion Energy has secured key regulatory approvals and begun mobilising a drilling rig and equipment for the Bula Karang-1 exploration well in the East Seram PSC, Indonesia. Well pad and access road construction are complete, major drilling and support...

Lion Energy exits Seram (Non-Bula) PSC to fund Bula Karang-1 drilling

Sep 16, 2026

Lion Energy has completed the sale of its 2.5% indirect interest in the Seram (Non-Bula) production sharing contract to Vista Energy, following final approval from the Indonesian Government. The approximately US$1.2 million in sale proceeds, now full...

Lion Energy Flags High-Impact Oil Exploration Prospects in Indonesia

Sep 15, 2026

Lion Energy Limited has highlighted its high-impact oil exploration activities in Indonesia, centering on the Bula Karang-1 prospect on Seram Island, where it holds a 45% interest and is assessing an estimated 12.4 million barrels (P50) of prospectiv...

Lion Energy details corporate structure and governance framework

Sep 11, 2026

Lion Energy Limited has outlined its core corporate structure, detailing its board of directors, company secretary, and registered office in Subiaco, Western Australia. The release also confirms the company’s external auditors and share registry prov...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026