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Lion Energy Limited (LIO) AI Stock Analysis

AU:LIO

Lion Energy Limited

(ASX:LIO)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.02â–¼(-6.25% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/18/26

The overall score of 42 reflects a company in severe financial distress, which is the most significant factor. Plummeting revenue, persistent losses, and negative cash flows present a high risk of insolvency. While short-term technicals hint at a minor recovery, the stock remains in a long-term downtrend and is fundamentally unprofitable, making it a highly speculative investment.

Positive Factors
Manageable Historical LeverageHistorically modest leverage gives Lion Energy more financial flexibility than a heavily debt-funded explorer. Lower debt relative to equity can reduce interest and refinancing pressure, helping preserve capacity to progress projects or secure funding when opportunities arise.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineThe steep 2025 revenue contraction weakens the company’s near-term operating base and makes future funding more dependent on project monetisation or external capital. Continued volatility also reduces visibility into the scale and durability of any eventual revenue recovery.

Lion Energy Limited (LIO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%AU:LIO+23.08%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 997.25K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
297.51K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.2
Beta (1Y)
1.10
Revenue Growth
-82.83%
EPS Growth
-264.86%
Country
Australia
Employees
85
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Lion Energy Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lion Energy Limited, operating through its subsidiaries, is actively engaged in the exploration, development, production, and investment within the Indonesian oil and gas sector. The company holds a 2.5% participating stake in the Seram (Non Bula) bl...

How the Company Makes Money

Lion Energy Limited’s primary pathway to generating revenue is through the value creation and monetisation of oil and gas projects. This typically occurs via (1) progressing exploration acreage to the point where it can be farmed out, sold, or otherw...

Lion Energy Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is critically weak. Revenue collapsed 69% to $93k, gross profit vanished, and net loss widened to $5.5M. Operating and free cash flows are deeply negative, marking six years of cash burn. Equity has dwindled to $3.05M, and while debt is moderate, the inability to service it from operations signals severe distress.

Income Statement

10Very Negative

Balance Sheet

20Very Negative

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.01K93.76K59.03K687.44K1.06M943.60K
Gross Profit86.01K93.76K262.10K304.27K635.20K447.23K
EBITDA-1.26M-1.37M-1.05M-1.02M-812.77K-553.50K
Net Income-1.35M-3.67M-847.92K-1.44M―-1.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.65M5.45M8.15M8.13M9.43M10.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments598.34K1.17M1.95M2.06M6.56M8.66M
Total Debt1.85M1.34M1.48M001.36M
Total Liabilities3.00M2.40M1.70M1.10M1.27M1.87M
Stockholders Equity1.65M3.05M6.45M7.04M8.16M8.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-634.80K-1.16M-2.98M-4.45M-1.76M-778.40K
Operating Cash Flow-522.67K-847.73K-1.25M-1.29M-620.74K-519.95K
Investing Cash Flow-168.64K-60.54K351.13K-3.25M-1.14M-41.17K
Financing Cash Flow-188.20K-118.88K997.04K088.80K8.45M

Lion Energy Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.02

Price Trends

50DMA0.01Positive
100DMA0.01Positive
200DMA0.01Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Positive
RSI55.76Neutral
STOCH22.22Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.01, and above the 200-day MA of 0.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LIO.

Lion Energy Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:LIO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:SHEAU:SHE47NeutralAUD 9.58M6.099.31%―50.52%―
AU:AXPAU:AXP44NeutralAUD 1.80M-0.46-73.55%―-15.48%63.60%
AU:GASAU:GAS43NeutralAUD 5.05M-1.20-7.13%―-100.00%21.88%
AU:PGYAU:PGY43NeutralAUD 6.75M-0.55-55.47%―――
AU:LIOAU:LIO42NeutralAUD 7.23M-1.24-174.42%―-82.83%-264.86%
AU:H3EAU:H3E38UnderperformAUD 5.36M-0.88109.14%――89.58%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%AU:LIOAU:AXPAU:H3EAU:GASAU:SHEAU:PGYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:LIO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:LIOLion Energy Limited0.020.0014.29%
AU:AXPAxp Energy Limited0.01-0.01-37.50%
AU:H3EWhitebark Energy Ltd0.010.000.00%
AU:GASState Gas Ltd.0.01-0.02-64.29%
AU:SHEStonehorse Energy Ltd0.010.0040.00%
AU:PGYPilot Energy Limited0.05-0.04-44.33%

Lion Energy Limited Corporate Events

Lion Energy Secures Funding and Mobilises Rig for High-Impact Bula Karang-1 Well

Oct 28, 2026

Lion Energy has sharpened its focus on Indonesian upstream oil and gas, exiting its hydrogen activities and completing the sale of its 2.5% indirect interest in the Seram (Non-Bula) PSC to Vista Energy for US$1.2 million. The transaction removes a no...

Lion Energy lifts cash reserves on asset sales despite operating outflows

Oct 28, 2026

Lion Energy Limited reported a net cash outflow of A$479,000 from operating activities for the September 2026 quarter, driven by production, staff and corporate costs exceeding modest customer receipts. Over the nine months to 30 September 2026, oper...

Lion Energy Mobilises Rig for Bula Karang-1 Oil Exploration on Seram Island

Oct 19, 2026

Lion Energy has begun mobilising the Silver City Drilling Rig 20 and associated equipment to Seram Island, Indonesia, for the Bula Karang-1 exploration well. Three landing craft tank barges are transporting the rig and supplies, with staged arrivals...

Lion Energy Begins Mobilisation for Bula Karang-1 Exploration Well in Indonesia

Sep 17, 2026

Lion Energy has secured key regulatory approvals and begun mobilising a drilling rig and equipment for the Bula Karang-1 exploration well in the East Seram PSC, Indonesia. Well pad and access road construction are complete, major drilling and support...

Lion Energy exits Seram (Non-Bula) PSC to fund Bula Karang-1 drilling

Sep 16, 2026

Lion Energy has completed the sale of its 2.5% indirect interest in the Seram (Non-Bula) production sharing contract to Vista Energy, following final approval from the Indonesian Government. The approximately US$1.2 million in sale proceeds, now full...

Lion Energy Flags High-Impact Oil Exploration Prospects in Indonesia

Sep 15, 2026

Lion Energy Limited has highlighted its high-impact oil exploration activities in Indonesia, centering on the Bula Karang-1 prospect on Seram Island, where it holds a 45% interest and is assessing an estimated 12.4 million barrels (P50) of prospectiv...

Lion Energy details corporate structure and governance framework

Sep 11, 2026

Lion Energy Limited has outlined its core corporate structure, detailing its board of directors, company secretary, and registered office in Subiaco, Western Australia. The release also confirms the company’s external auditors and share registr...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2026