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Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) AI Stock Analysis

3 Followers
AU:KEY

Key Petroleum Limited

(ASX:KEY)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.05â–¼(-32.88% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/05/26

Weak financial performance from declining revenue, chronic losses, and cash burn is the primary driver, compounded by bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation.

Positive Factors
Low LeverageNear-zero debt gives Key Petroleum greater financial flexibility than a heavily leveraged business and limits refinancing pressure. This can help preserve capital through weak operating periods, although the benefit is constrained because the company remains loss-making and cash-generative capacity is weak.
Negative Factors
Persistent Operating LossesRecurring operating losses indicate that Key Petroleum has not demonstrated a sustainable path to profitability across the reported period. Deeply negative margins can consume equity and limit reinvestment capacity, making future performance dependent on a meaningful improvement in operating economics.

Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%AU:KEY+5.80%EWA+16.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 3.05M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
52.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.5
Beta (1Y)
-1.08
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
44.72%
Country
Australia
Employees
6
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Key Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Key Petroleum Limited specializes in securing and exploring for oil and gas deposits across Australia. Its primary holdings encompass the ATP 783, 920, and 924 concessions in Queensland's Cooper Eromanga Basin, in addition to the L7 and EP437 permits...

Key Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue has trended sharply lower to near zero with persistent operating losses and negative cash flows, though the debt-free balance sheet offers limited stability.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

15Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue001,6778,092010.98K
Gross Profit001,6778,092-1,9998,945
EBITDA-356.73K-356.73K-148.21K-961.00K387.89K-1.21M
Net Income-380.25K-380.25K-484.25K-961.00K350.37K-1.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78M1.78M1.59M1.51M2.20M2.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.30K239.30K94.07K172.07K583.30K266.61K
Total Debt0000102.35K102.35K
Total Liabilities491.11K491.11K514.38K294.73K310.23K627.57K
Stockholders Equity1.29M1.29M1.07M1.22M1.89M1.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-443.87K-443.88K-417.75K-720.51K-756.02K-821.39K
Operating Cash Flow-443.88K-443.88K-303.66K-703.46K-643.51K-765.56K
Investing Cash Flow-6,105-6,105-114.09K238.06K1.05M861.59K
Financing Cash Flow595.22K595.22K339.74K292.31K-102.35K-102.13K

Key Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.07

Price Trends

50DMA0.09Negative
100DMA0.09Negative
200DMA0.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI41.16Neutral
STOCH58.82Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KEY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:KEY.

Key Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:KEY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:HE8AU:HE845NeutralAUD 7.77M-0.16-68.12%―-92.63%-8.33%
AU:AXPAU:AXP44NeutralAUD 1.80M-0.45-73.55%―-15.48%63.60%
AU:GASAU:GAS43NeutralAUD 3.93M-0.93-7.13%―-100.00%21.88%
AU:MELAU:MEL43NeutralAUD 447.03K-0.4036.32%―-37.26%60.11%
AU:KEYAU:KEY40UnderperformAUD 3.05M-6.54-30.11%――44.72%
AU:SANAU:SAN38UnderperformAUD 941.44K0.56-31.79%―-36.87%―

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%AU:KEYAU:AXPAU:MELAU:SANAU:GASAU:HE8Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:KEY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:KEYKey Petroleum Limited0.070.005.80%
AU:AXPAxp Energy Limited0.01-0.00-23.08%
AU:MELMetgasco Ltd0.01-0.01-47.83%
AU:SANSagalio Energy Limited0.01-0.01-50.00%
AU:GASState Gas Ltd.0.01-0.01-56.52%
AU:HE8Helios Energy Ltd0.010.000.00%

Key Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Key Petroleum advances Cooper-Eromanga tenure and bolsters capital base

Oct 25, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited, an Australian oil and gas explorer active in the Cooper-Eromanga Basin, is concentrating on securing long-term tenure for its Queensland acreage through Potential Commercial Area declarations. The company aims to leverage these...

Key Petroleum Corrects Director Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM

Oct 9, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited has corrected an earlier notification regarding the timetable for its 2026 Annual General Meeting. The company now confirms it will hold the AGM on 20 November 2026 in Brisbane, where directors may be elected, in line with ASX L...

Key Petroleum lodges updated ASX corporate governance statement

Oct 8, 2026

Key Petroleum has lodged its updated corporate governance statement and accompanying Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The statement, current as of 25 September 2026 and approved by the board, details the extent to w...

Key Petroleum Sets November Date for AGM and Director Nominations

Oct 8, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited has scheduled its next Annual General Meeting for 20 November 2026, at which shareholders will have the opportunity to elect directors to the company’s board. The company has set 15 October 2026 as the deadline for receiving sig...

Key Petroleum Reshapes Board and Corporate Structure in 2026 Annual Report

Sep 29, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited, an Australian petroleum-focused company based in Brisbane, has set up a corporate structure that leverages local professional services, including Hopgood Ganim Lawyers, National Australia Bank, and Hall Chadwick WA Audit, to su...

Key Petroleum Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.38 Million New Shares

Sep 14, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited has applied for quotation of 3,384,286 new ordinary fully paid shares on the Australian Securities Exchange, with an issue date of 14 September 2026. The additional securities, issued under a previously announced transaction, mo...

Key Petroleum Raises AU$247,000 to Fund Asset Growth and Maintenance

Sep 14, 2026

Key Petroleum has completed a share placement to sophisticated and professional investors, issuing 3,384,286 fully paid ordinary shares at AU$0.073 each to raise AU$247,052.88 before costs. The new shares were issued under the company’s additional 10...

Key Petroleum Secures Share Placement to Fund Asset Growth

Sep 8, 2026

Key Petroleum Ltd has secured binding commitments from sophisticated and professional investors for a placement of 3,384,286 new fully paid ordinary shares at AUD $0.073 per share. The raising will generate approximately AUD $247,052.88 before costs,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026