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Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) AI Stock Analysis

AU:KEY

Key Petroleum Limited

(ASX:KEY)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.08â–²(2.44% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/03/26

The overall score is extremely low, reflecting a company in severe financial distress with zero revenue, persistent cash burn, and a rapidly shrinking equity base. Bearish technical trends and a negative P/E ratio reinforce the lack of fundamental or market support. The debt-free balance sheet is the only positive, but it is insufficient to offset the terminal operational risks.

Positive Factors
Low leverageNear-zero recent debt reduces refinancing pressure and limits the drag from interest obligations. This gives Key Petroleum more balance-sheet flexibility than a highly leveraged operator, although the benefit is defensive rather than evidence of strong underlying profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistent operating lossesRecurring operating losses indicate that the current business model has not demonstrated sustainable profitability. Deeply negative margins reduce internal funding capacity, increase dependence on available assets or external capital, and leave limited room to absorb further operating setbacks.

Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%AU:KEY+12.33%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 3.47M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
64.72K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-7.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.97
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
44.72%
Country
Australia
Employees
6
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Key Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Key Petroleum Limited specializes in securing and exploring for oil and gas deposits across Australia. Its primary holdings encompass the ATP 783, 920, and 924 concessions in Queensland's Cooper Eromanga Basin, in addition to the L7 and EP437 permits...

Key Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is critically weak. Revenue has collapsed to zero, net losses are persistent, and operating cash flow is deeply negative, indicating a non-viable business. The only mitigating factor is a debt-free balance sheet, but equity is rapidly eroding.

Income Statement

5Very Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

3Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue001,6778,092010.98K
Gross Profit001,6778,092-1,9998,945
EBITDA-356.73K-356.73K-148.21K-961.00K387.89K-1.21M
Net Income-380.25K-380.25K-484.25K-961.00K350.37K-1.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78M1.78M1.59M1.51M2.20M2.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.30K239.30K94.07K172.07K583.30K266.61K
Total Debt0000102.35K102.35K
Total Liabilities491.11K491.11K514.38K294.73K310.23K627.57K
Stockholders Equity1.29M1.29M1.07M1.22M1.89M1.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-443.87K-443.88K-417.75K-720.51K-756.02K-821.39K
Operating Cash Flow-443.88K-443.88K-303.66K-703.46K-643.51K-765.56K
Investing Cash Flow-6,105-6,105-114.09K238.06K1.05M861.59K
Financing Cash Flow595.22K595.22K339.74K292.31K-102.35K-102.13K

Key Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.08

Price Trends

50DMA0.09Negative
100DMA0.09Negative
200DMA0.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI39.43Neutral
STOCH-0.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KEY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:KEY.

Key Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

AU:KEY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
AU:HE8AU:HE845NeutralAUD 3.88M-0.16-68.12%―-92.63%-8.33%
AU:AXPAU:AXP44NeutralAUD 1.80M-0.46-73.55%―-15.48%63.60%
AU:GASAU:GAS43NeutralAUD 5.05M-1.20-7.13%―-100.00%21.88%
AU:MELAU:MEL41NeutralAUD 477.65K-0.2936.32%―-37.26%60.11%
AU:SANAU:SAN38UnderperformAUD 2.05M0.58-31.79%―-36.87%―
AU:KEYAU:KEY38UnderperformAUD 3.47M-7.45-30.11%――44.72%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%AU:KEYAU:AXPAU:MELAU:SANAU:GASAU:HE8Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:KEY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:KEYKey Petroleum Limited0.080.0230.16%
AU:AXPAxp Energy Limited0.01-0.01-37.50%
AU:MELMetgasco Ltd0.01-0.02-62.86%
AU:SANSagalio Energy Limited0.01-0.01-50.00%
AU:GASState Gas Ltd.0.01-0.02-64.29%
AU:HE8Helios Energy Ltd0.010.000.00%

Key Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Key Petroleum Corrects Director Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM

Oct 9, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited has corrected an earlier notification regarding the timetable for its 2026 Annual General Meeting. The company now confirms it will hold the AGM on 20 November 2026 in Brisbane, where directors may be elected, in line with ASX L...

Key Petroleum lodges updated ASX corporate governance statement

Oct 8, 2026

Key Petroleum has lodged its updated corporate governance statement and accompanying Appendix 4G with the ASX for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The statement, current as of 25 September 2026 and approved by the board, details the extent to w...

Key Petroleum Sets November Date for AGM and Director Nominations

Oct 8, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited has scheduled its next Annual General Meeting for 20 November 2026, at which shareholders will have the opportunity to elect directors to the company’s board. The company has set 15 October 2026 as the deadline for receivi...

Key Petroleum Reshapes Board and Corporate Structure in 2026 Annual Report

Sep 29, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited, an Australian petroleum-focused company based in Brisbane, has set up a corporate structure that leverages local professional services, including Hopgood Ganim Lawyers, National Australia Bank, and Hall Chadwick WA Audit, to su...

Key Petroleum Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.38 Million New Shares

Sep 14, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited has applied for quotation of 3,384,286 new ordinary fully paid shares on the Australian Securities Exchange, with an issue date of 14 September 2026. The additional securities, issued under a previously announced transaction, mo...

Key Petroleum Raises AU$247,000 to Fund Asset Growth and Maintenance

Sep 14, 2026

Key Petroleum has completed a share placement to sophisticated and professional investors, issuing 3,384,286 fully paid ordinary shares at AU$0.073 each to raise AU$247,052.88 before costs. The new shares were issued under the company’s additio...

Key Petroleum Secures Share Placement to Fund Asset Growth

Sep 8, 2026

Key Petroleum Ltd has secured binding commitments from sophisticated and professional investors for a placement of 3,384,286 new fully paid ordinary shares at AUD $0.073 per share. The raising will generate approximately AUD $247,052.88 before costs,...

Key Petroleum fortifies finances as it pursues tenure approvals in Cooper Eromanga Basin

Jul 24, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited spent the June quarter advancing its Potential Commercial Area applications over ATP 920 and ATP 924 in Queensland, maintaining close engagement with government authorities. Management views approval as a critical step to secure...

Key Petroleum Shored Up Cash Reserves Through Equity Funding in June Quarter

Jul 24, 2026

Key Petroleum Limited reported a net operating cash outflow of A$119,000 for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, bringing total operating outflows to A$462,000 for the year to date, mainly due to staff and corporate administration costs. The company offs...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2026