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Key Petroleum Limited (AU:KEY)
ASX:KEY
Australian Market
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Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:KEY

Key Petroleum Limited

(Sydney:KEY)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.08
▲(28.33% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/03/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance—persistent losses, inconsistent revenue, and ongoing cash burn—only partially offset by low debt. Technical signals also weigh on the score, with the price below key moving averages and negative MACD, despite oversold readings. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Near-zero recent debt reduces refinancing pressure and interest-related strain on the business. This gives Key Petroleum more balance-sheet flexibility than a highly leveraged operator, allowing available resources to support operations and absorb volatility in fuel distribution activity.
Negative Factors
Persistent Operating Losses
Recurring operating losses indicate that the current business base has not generated sustainable profitability. Deeply negative margins when revenue is present suggest limited ability to absorb fixed costs, making earnings vulnerable to modest changes in throughput, pricing terms or operating efficiency.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage
Near-zero recent debt reduces refinancing pressure and interest-related strain on the business. This gives Key Petroleum more balance-sheet flexibility than a highly leveraged operator, allowing available resources to support operations and absorb volatility in fuel distribution activity.
Read all positive factors

Key Petroleum Limited (KEY) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Key Petroleum Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Key Petroleum Limited specializes in securing and exploring for oil and gas deposits across Australia. Its primary holdings encompass the ATP 783, 920, and 924 concessions in Queensland's Cooper Eromanga Basin, in addition to the L7 and EP437 perm...
How the Company Makes Money
Key Petroleum Limited makes money primarily by selling petroleum products on a wholesale basis and earning margin between its procurement costs (e.g., fuel purchased from suppliers or through bulk supply arrangements) and the prices charged to cus...

Key Petroleum Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals are very weak: recurring losses, inconsistent/very small revenue (including zero-revenue years), and persistent negative operating and free cash flow. Low leverage and positive equity provide some resilience, but ongoing losses and cash burn meaningfully constrain financial strength.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.001.68K8.09K0.0010.98K
Gross Profit0.001.68K8.09K-2.00K8.95K
EBITDA-356.73K-148.21K-961.00K387.89K-1.21M
Net Income-380.25K-484.25K-961.00K350.37K-1.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.78M1.59M1.51M2.20M2.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.30K94.07K172.07K583.30K266.61K
Total Debt0.000.000.00102.35K102.35K
Total Liabilities491.11K514.38K294.73K310.23K627.57K
Stockholders Equity1.29M1.07M1.22M1.89M1.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-443.88K-417.75K-720.51K-756.02K-821.39K
Operating Cash Flow-443.88K-303.66K-703.46K-643.51K-765.56K
Investing Cash Flow-6.11K-114.09K238.06K1.05M861.59K
Financing Cash Flow595.22K339.74K292.31K-102.35K-102.13K

Key Petroleum Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.06
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Negative
100DMA
0.09
Negative
200DMA
0.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
38.04
Neutral
STOCH
30.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:KEY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.09, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:KEY.

Key Petroleum Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
50
Neutral
AU$2.05M0.57-31.79%―-36.87%―
46
Neutral
AU$698.10K-0.4236.32%1.49%-37.26%60.11%
45
Neutral
AU$7.77M-2.22-8.70%―-92.63%-8.33%
44
Neutral
AU$2.25M-0.57-73.55%―-15.48%63.60%
43
Neutral
AU$5.05M-1.20-7.13%―-100.00%21.88%
42
Neutral
AU$3.38M-7.27-30.11%――44.72%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:KEY
Key Petroleum Limited
0.08
0.04
86.05%
AU:AXP
AXP Energy
0.01
-0.02
-61.54%
AU:MEL
Metgasco Ltd
0.02
-0.02
-45.71%
AU:SAN
Sagalio Energy Limited
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:GAS
State Gas Ltd.
0.01
-0.02
-62.96%
AU:HE8
Helios Energy Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Key Petroleum Limited Corporate Events

Key Petroleum Reshapes Board and Corporate Structure in 2026 Annual Report
Sep 29, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited, an Australian petroleum-focused company based in Brisbane, has set up a corporate structure that leverages local professional services, including Hopgood Ganim Lawyers, National Australia Bank, and Hall Chadwick WA Audit, to...
Key Petroleum Seeks ASX Quotation for 3.38 Million New Shares
Sep 14, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited has applied for quotation of 3,384,286 new ordinary fully paid shares on the Australian Securities Exchange, with an issue date of 14 September 2026. The additional securities, issued under a previously announced transaction,...
Key Petroleum Raises AU$247,000 to Fund Asset Growth and Maintenance
Sep 14, 2026
Key Petroleum has completed a share placement to sophisticated and professional investors, issuing 3,384,286 fully paid ordinary shares at AU$0.073 each to raise AU$247,052.88 before costs. The new shares were issued under the company’s addi...
Key Petroleum Secures Share Placement to Fund Asset Growth
Sep 8, 2026
Key Petroleum Ltd has secured binding commitments from sophisticated and professional investors for a placement of 3,384,286 new fully paid ordinary shares at AUD $0.073 per share. The raising will generate approximately AUD $247,052.88 before cos...
Key Petroleum fortifies finances as it pursues tenure approvals in Cooper Eromanga Basin
Jul 24, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited spent the June quarter advancing its Potential Commercial Area applications over ATP 920 and ATP 924 in Queensland, maintaining close engagement with government authorities. Management views approval as a critical step to sec...
Key Petroleum Shored Up Cash Reserves Through Equity Funding in June Quarter
Jul 24, 2026
Key Petroleum Limited reported a net operating cash outflow of A$119,000 for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, bringing total operating outflows to A$462,000 for the year to date, mainly due to staff and corporate administration costs. The company o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2026