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GTN Ltd. (GTN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GTN

GTN Ltd.

(ASX:GTN)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:AUD 0.18â–²(4.00% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/26/26

The overall score is driven primarily by deteriorating fundamentals—declining revenue, compressed margins, a recent net loss and rising leverage—partially offset by consistently positive cash flow, a constructive technical setup with the price above key moving averages and strong momentum, and a mixed valuation picture combining a very high dividend yield with a negative P/E that signals elevated risk.

Positive Factors
Cash GenerationPositive operating and free cash flow provide internal funding for operations and selected investment, reducing reliance on external financing. This supports resilience through weaker trading conditions, although the 2026 decline means cash generation is a strength that requires continued monitoring.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionSustained revenue contraction weakens the scale benefits of GTN’s advertising platform and makes it harder to absorb fixed operating costs. Continued top-line pressure could constrain investment, reduce negotiating leverage, and prevent a return to the stronger profitability achieved in earlier periods.

GTN Ltd. (GTN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%AU:GTN-20.09%EWA+17.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 32.41M
Dividend Yield
35.66%
Average Volume (3M)
95.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.9
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
-13.41%
EPS Growth
-529.03%
Country
Australia
Employees
120
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Advertising Agencies

GTN Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GTN Limited, along with its various subsidiaries, manages a broadcast advertising platform. This platform delivers traffic information reports to radio stations throughout Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Brazil. Additionally, the company p...

How the Company Makes Money

null

GTN Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-10.71%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presents a mixed picture: meaningful operational and market headwinds drove a 15% revenue decline, a 53% drop in adjusted EBITDA, and a large $41.5 million noncash impairment — material negatives. Offsetting this, the company significantly strengthened cash generation (cash up ~33%, operating cash flow improved from -$2.8m to +$16.5m), executed a sizeable shareholder return, and laid out a concrete cost-reduction program with quantified targets (total FY'27 savings targeted $12–17m, plus specific affiliate and aviation savings). Management emphasized stabilization in H2 and clear actions (affiliate renegotiations, aviation exit, AI efficiencies) expected to drive improvements. Given the balance between substantial near-term financial weaknesses and decisive remediation actions plus improved cash metrics, the overall tone is balanced but cautious.

Positive Updates

Revenue and EBITDA reported (context)
Revenue of $82.5 million for H1 FY'26 with adjusted EBITDA of $5.8 million; management notes conditions stabilized as the half progressed despite a weak first quarter.

Negative Updates

Revenue decline versus prior period
Revenue fell 15% versus the prior corresponding period, reflecting a challenged market environment and weaker demand, particularly in the first quarter.

Company Guidance

The company’s forward guidance focused on aggressive cost reductions and balance-sheet resilience: management is targeting $12–17 million of annualized cost-out in FY‑27 (including $7–9 million of annualized affiliate savings—most already executed effective January 2026), $3–5 million of annualized savings from fully exiting aviation from H2 onwards, and a further $2–3 million of annualized operating efficiencies driven by AI and systems, with benefits expected to build through H2 FY‑26; sale of helicopters will bring ~ $5 million of cash proceeds in FY‑26 (mostly already received); the Board declared an interim unfranked dividend of $0.01 per share, remains committed to further returns after the $43.9 million ($0.23 per share) return of capital in August 2025, and points to a solid liquidity position (cash $28.1 million up from $21.1 million, net operating cash flow $16.5 million vs. -$2.8 million PCP, net debt ~ $7 million) despite a non‑cash impairment of $41.5 million in H1 and H1 results of revenue $82.5 million and adjusted EBITDA $5.8 million (down 15% and 53% respectively).

GTN Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall: revenue has declined, margins have compressed, the latest year shows a large net loss, and debt has risen, but the business still generates positive operating and free cash flow and maintains positive equity.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.03M156.03M180.20M184.23M177.00M160.08M
Gross Profit34.66M34.66M49.48M54.27M54.21M43.25M
EBITDA4.33M4.33M12.94M22.14M19.45M17.00M
Net Income-37.19M-37.19M-6.06M5.66M2.63M2.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets226.90M226.90M270.40M299.30M310.98M317.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.81M32.81M21.10M31.56M72.86M73.53M
Total Debt38.55M38.55M4.09M11.64M27.13M33.52M
Total Liabilities110.54M110.54M69.59M81.43M93.61M93.64M
Stockholders Equity116.35M116.35M200.81M217.87M217.38M223.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.88M19.88M10.34M23.11M13.39M7.38M
Operating Cash Flow21.48M21.48M12.83M27.73M19.03M11.50M
Investing Cash Flow3.36M3.36M-1.22M-4.28M-5.64M-4.13M
Financing Cash Flow-12.33M-12.33M-23.18M-21.54M-18.84M-21.52M

GTN Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.17

Price Trends

50DMA0.18Negative
100DMA0.17Positive
200DMA0.17Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI56.04Neutral
STOCH116.67Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GTN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, below the 50-day MA of 0.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 116.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:GTN.

GTN Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

AU:GTN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:PPLAU:PPL72OutperformAUD 44.76M18.5023.07%―13.74%46.15%
AU:OMLAU:OML64NeutralAUD 884.75M33.503.76%3.57%1.84%38.50%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
AU:IGLAU:IGL60NeutralAUD 349.56M9.2817.00%8.11%-1.82%-19.36%
AU:GTNAU:GTN58NeutralAUD 33.37M-0.92-32.06%35.66%-13.41%-529.03%
AU:A1NAU:A1N57NeutralAUD 87.36M29.791.40%―-20.68%―
AU:AIMAU:AIM50NeutralAUD 43.09M-10.15-5.95%―-7.18%-152.50%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%25%AU:GTNAU:A1NAU:PPLAU:AIMAU:IGLAU:OMLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:GTN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:GTNGTN Ltd.0.17-0.04-20.09%
AU:A1NHT&E Ltd0.28-0.20-41.67%
AU:PPLPureprofile Ltd.0.04-0.01-27.45%
AU:AIMAi-Media Technologies Limited0.20-0.60-74.38%
AU:IGLIVE Group Ltd.2.28-0.45-16.48%
AU:OMLoOh media Ltd1.680.4536.29%

GTN Ltd. Corporate Events

GTN Discloses Director Share Purchase After Administrative Delay

Sep 10, 2026

GTN Limited has disclosed a change in director Corinna Keller’s interests following on-market purchases of 88,000 fully paid ordinary shares, increasing her holding to 351,450 shares. The trades were executed between 1 and 2 September 2026 (AEST) and...

GTN Limited Lodges ASX Corporate Governance Disclosures for FY2026

Aug 23, 2026

GTN Limited has lodged its Appendix 4G and corporate governance statement for the financial year ended 30 June 2026, confirming compliance with ASX Listing Rules on governance disclosure. The statement, approved by the board and accessible on the com...

GTN Strengthens Affiliate Deals and Boosts Cash Returns to Shareholders

Aug 23, 2026

GTN Ltd. has reinforced its position in global broadcast advertising by extending multi-year contracts with its largest network partners, ensuring sustained access to premium inventory across key ad markets. Following a cost reset that has delivered...

GTN Declares Interim Dividend for Half-Year Ended 30 June 2026

Aug 23, 2026

GTN Limited has announced a new interim dividend of AUD 0.0524 per ordinary fully paid share for the six-month period ended 30 June 2026. The stock will trade ex-dividend on 3 September, with a record date of 4 September and payment scheduled for 21...

GTN Limited Posts Sharply Wider Loss as Revenue Declines but Maintains Dividends

Aug 23, 2026

GTN Limited, an Australian media and advertising services provider headquartered in North Sydney, derives its income from ordinary activities across its broadcast-focused operations. The company reports on a June financial year, positioning itself wi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 23, 2026