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Catalyst Metals Limited (CYL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CYL

Catalyst Metals Limited

(ASX:CYL)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:AUD 4.50â–²(14.80% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (rapid growth, expanded margins, and a low-debt balance sheet) and a low P/E valuation. Offsetting these positives, technical signals are bearish with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD, despite oversold RSI/Stoch readings.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin ExpansionThe sharp increase in revenue alongside strong gross, EBIT and net margins indicates materially improved operating performance. If these levels are sustained, Catalyst can generate more profit from each dollar of sales, strengthen internal funding capacity, and support further project development.
Negative Factors
Commodity and Operating CyclicalityThe movement from losses to strong profits demonstrates that earnings can vary materially across the operating cycle. Exposure to commodity pricing and operating conditions may therefore make future revenue, margins and cash generation less predictable than the latest results suggest.

Catalyst Metals Limited (CYL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%AU:CYL-43.11%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 1.03B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.64M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.9
Beta (1Y)
1.63
Revenue Growth
74.85%
EPS Growth
43.38%
Country
Australia
Employees
500
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Catalyst Metals Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Catalyst Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration and evaluation in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. It also involved in the mine development business. Catalyst Metals Limited was incorporated in 2006 a...

Catalyst Metals Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong step-change in performance: sharply higher revenue growth and very strong 2026 profitability (about 50% gross margin, ~27% net margin, ~44% EBIT margin). Balance sheet is conservatively financed with minimal leverage (~3–4% debt-to-equity in 2025–2026) and solid ROE in 2024–2026. Main offset is cyclicality/volatility, including prior losses and uneven free cash flow history.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue631.94M631.94M361.41M241.95M63.94M63.33M
Gross Profit319.00M316.41M150.07M68.75M-6.28M3.69M
EBITDA299.18M279.19M153.81M63.28M-614.00K10.50M
Net Income171.12M171.12M119.27M23.56M-15.60M2.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets954.37M954.37M651.93M340.48M315.42M79.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments309.54M309.54M222.05M39.04M31.98M21.24M
Total Debt25.63M25.63M15.84M26.31M33.82M2.27M
Total Liabilities254.29M254.29M181.20M138.50M143.65M21.82M
Stockholders Equity700.08M700.08M470.73M201.98M171.77M57.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow168.18M168.18M36.50M37.96M-17.35M-8.60M
Operating Cash Flow276.06M276.06M196.08M70.71M7.86M6.99M
Investing Cash Flow-195.95M-195.95M-141.46M-37.73M-16.89M-20.80M
Financing Cash Flow11.31M11.31M132.56M-30.84M19.58M1.53M

Catalyst Metals Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.92

Price Trends

50DMA5.99Negative
100DMA5.94Negative
200DMA6.31Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.34Positive
RSI25.52Positive
STOCH40.01Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CYL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.30, below the 50-day MA of 5.99, and below the 200-day MA of 6.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.52 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:CYL.

Catalyst Metals Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU:CYL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:FMLAU:FML87OutperformAUD 521.54M1.5233.30%4.40%216.46%225.85%
AU:PNRAU:PNR82OutperformAUD 1.11B10.2119.17%―34.55%98.48%
AU:CYLAU:CYL72OutperformAUD 1.03B5.9426.71%―74.85%43.38%
AU:OBMAU:OBM69NeutralAUD 2.42B11.1346.66%―100.85%13.66%
AU:BC8AU:BC868NeutralAUD 419.16M4.8225.37%―909.33%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU:BGLAU:BGL56NeutralAUD 2.08B290.630.85%―13.92%―

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AU:CYLAU:OBMAU:FMLAU:PNRAU:BC8AU:BGLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:CYL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:CYLCatalyst Metals Limited3.92-3.15-44.55%
AU:OBMOra Banda Mining Ltd.1.250.054.17%
AU:FMLFocus Minerals Ltd1.82-0.60-24.73%
AU:PNRPantoro Gold Limited2.86-2.19-43.37%
AU:BC8Black Cat Syndicate Ltd.0.57-0.39-40.10%
AU:BGLBellevue Gold Limited1.400.2420.26%

Catalyst Metals Limited Corporate Events

Catalyst Metals Boosts Plutonic Reserves, Defers Output as It Prioritises Long-Term Mine Development

Oct 29, 2026

Catalyst Metals reported September quarter gold sales of 27,229 ounces at an AISC of A$3,512 per ounce and production of 22,231 ounces, with lower staffing levels weighing on output. Despite this, the company generated operating cash flow of A$80 mil...

Catalyst Metals lodges ASX governance disclosures for 2026

Oct 21, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has confirmed that its corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026 is available on its website and has been approved by the board as at 21 October 2026. The statement is provided in compliance with ASX Listi...

Catalyst Metals Releases Comprehensive 2026 Annual and Sustainability Report

Oct 21, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has released its 2026 Annual Report, providing shareholders with a comprehensive overview of corporate governance, board remuneration, and audited financial performance for the year. The report also includes a dedicated sustai...

Catalyst Metals Issues New Shares Under Cleansing Notice

Oct 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited, an ASX-listed Perth-based resources company, operates under Australia’s Corporations Act and continuous disclosure regime while managing its capital base through ordinary share issuances. The company emphasises complian...

Catalyst Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares

Oct 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has applied for quotation of an additional 313,448 ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX, expanding its pool of tradable securities under the code CYL. The issuance, dated 13 October 2026, forms part of previously announced tr...

Catalyst Metals Sets November Date for In-Person 2026 AGM

Oct 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has announced that its 2026 Annual General Meeting of shareholders will be held in person at the Celtic Club in West Perth, Western Australia, on 12 November 2026 at 10:00am AWST. The company has made the Notice of Meeting and...

Catalyst Metals Sets November AGM to Vote on Board Seats and Share Issue

Oct 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals has called its annual general meeting for 12 November 2026 in West Perth, where shareholders will review the company’s financial statements, directors’ declaration, directors’ report, remuneration report and auditor&...

Catalyst Metals Showcases Financial Strength and Gold Portfolio in Roadshow

Sep 28, 2026

Catalyst Metals used its northern hemisphere roadshow to highlight its progress in building a gold mining business, underpinned by production of 104,000 ounces per year from the Plutonic Gold Belt and ongoing exploration in the Bendigo Gold Belt. The...

Catalyst Metals locks in 2Moz Plutonic reserve to back 10‑year, 200koz gold plan

Sep 28, 2026

Catalyst Metals has delineated 2Moz of Ore Reserves across the Plutonic Gold Belt, underpinning its strategy to transform Plutonic into a long‑life hub producing about 200,000 ounces of gold annually for roughly a decade. The company has quadru...

Catalyst Metals Sets 2026 AGM Date as It Pursues Long-Life Growth at Plutonic

Sep 16, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited, a gold producer listed on the ASX, operates in the Plutonic Gold Belt in Central Western Australia with several underground mines feeding an underutilised 2Mtpa CIL plant. The company also controls processing infrastructure a...

Catalyst Metals lifts Trident reserves as Plutonic growth strategy accelerates

Sep 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals has reported a 32% increase in underground reserves at its Trident deposit on the Plutonic Gold Belt, lifting probable reserves to 524,000 ounces at 4.2 grams per tonne and supporting an expected mine life of about 10 years. The asset...

Catalyst Metals triples Keillor gold resource in push to double production

Sep 8, 2026

Catalyst Metals has reported a major upgrade to the mineral resource at its Keillor gold mine on the Plutonic Gold Belt, with the deposit rising from 81koz at 3.6g/t to 3.2Mt at 3.0g/t for 307koz, a roughly 280% increase driven by 30,000m of undergro...

Catalyst Metals posts record FY2026 results as Plutonic growth strategy gains pace

Aug 31, 2026

Catalyst Metals reported a transformative FY2026, driven by record output from its Plutonic operations and the commissioning of new ore sources including Plutonic East, Keillor and the Trident open pit. The company’s focus on expanding the Plut...

Catalyst Metals Director Adjusts Equity Stake After Performance Rights Vesting

Aug 19, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has reported changes to director James Champion de Crespigny’s interests, reflecting both the conversion of performance rights into ordinary shares and subsequent on-market share sales. The update highlights the director...

Catalyst Metals Doubles Credit Facility to Bolster Gold Growth Plan

Aug 14, 2026

Catalyst Metals has doubled its revolving credit facility to A$200 million, extended the tenor to four years and added HSBC to its existing banking syndicate alongside Westpac, NAB and Societe Generale, while keeping the facility undrawn. Combined wi...

Catalyst Metals Reports Lapse of Over 2.1 Million Performance Rights

Aug 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has reported a change in its capital structure with the lapse of certain performance rights listed on the ASX under the code CYLAQ. These performance rights, totaling 2,163,593 securities, have ceased because the conditions at...

Catalyst Metals Seeks ASX Quotation for 2.37 Million New Shares

Aug 13, 2026

Catalyst Metals Limited has applied to the Australian Securities Exchange for quotation of 2,366,909 ordinary fully paid shares under its ticker CYL. The new securities, issued on 13 August 2026 following the exercise or conversion of existing instru...

Catalyst Metals issues regulatory-focused investor presentation

Aug 5, 2026

Catalyst Metals has released an investor presentation outlining high-level information about its operations and corporate structure, emphasising that the material is a general overview rather than a complete disclosure document. The company stresses...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026