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Avada Group Limited (AVD) AI Stock Analysis

AU:AVD

Avada Group Limited

(ASX:AVD)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.07â–¼(-5.71% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/01/26

Avada Group Limited receives a critically low score due to severe fundamental instability and poor technical momentum. The most impactful risks are substantial net losses that have devastated the equity base, a sharp increase in financial leverage, and deteriorating cash flows. Compounding these issues, the stock remains locked in a strong downtrend and offers no valuation support through earnings or dividends.

Positive Factors
Revenue Scale and GrowthMeaningful revenue expansion indicates that Avada has increased its operating scale and maintained demand across multiple periods. If the renewed growth continues, a larger revenue base could improve fixed-cost absorption, support reinvestment, and create a foundation for stronger earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net LossesThe shift into sizeable losses after a brief profit demonstrates that earnings have not yet stabilized, while thin gross and operating margins provide limited protection against execution pressure. Continued losses could constrain reinvestment, weaken equity, and make sustainable growth harder to achieve.

Avada Group Limited (AVD) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%AU:AVD-65.00%EWA+13.51%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
AUD 5.95M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
104.05K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.4
Beta (1Y)
-0.02
Revenue Growth
14.56%
EPS Growth
3.92%
Country
Australia
Employees
1,900
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Infrastructure Operations

Avada Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AVADA Group Limited, operating with its subsidiaries, delivers comprehensive traffic management solutions throughout Queensland, New South Wales, and Victoria, Australia. The company's integrated services span from initial planning and permit acquisi...

Avada Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Avada Group is facing severe financial distress. Despite an 8.4% revenue increase, persistent net losses have eroded shareholder equity from $54.5 million to $23.7 million, causing the debt-to-equity ratio to spike to 1.88x. Additionally, a shift to negative operating and free cash flows severely restricts financial flexibility and liquidity.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

25Negative

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue209.76M209.76M183.09M204.54M177.00M72.93M
Gross Profit14.77M14.77M19.02M16.39M156.51M65.02M
EBITDA17.87M9.40M10.95M15.41M7.04M-8.94M
Net Income-15.18M-15.18M-17.60M1.51M-5.63M-12.54M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets97.78M97.78M108.18M131.47M130.19M89.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.48M6.48M7.33M8.50M10.83M2.75M
Total Debt44.57M44.57M40.20M47.83M46.66M15.18M
Total Liabilities74.05M74.05M71.53M77.00M83.73M37.73M
Stockholders Equity23.73M23.73M36.65M54.47M46.46M52.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.44M-5.44M7.63M3.03M3.42M-2.59M
Operating Cash Flow-4.21M-4.21M10.33M6.71M4.96M-950.00K
Investing Cash Flow-302.00K-302.00K-3.38M-13.74M-26.78M-35.01M
Financing Cash Flow3.67M3.67M-8.01M4.86M31.90M36.31M

Avada Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.07

Price Trends

50DMA0.09Negative
100DMA0.10Negative
200DMA0.10Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI14.22Positive
STOCH79.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.08, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 14.22 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVD.

Avada Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AU:AVD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
AU:DEMAU:DEM56NeutralAUD 36.00M-32.35-7.59%―23.31%50.00%
AU:AEIAU:AEI46NeutralAUD 11.87M-2.1863.59%―-1.99%-14.88%
AU:EGLAU:EGL46NeutralAUD 28.73M-4.97-14.21%―-0.09%-228.23%
AU:PETAU:PET45NeutralAUD 5.00M-1.63-48.20%―308.85%-44.44%
AU:ECTAU:ECT38UnderperformAUD 38.13M-5.74-27.29%――29.52%
AU:AVDAU:AVD38UnderperformAUD 5.95M-0.40-65.31%―14.56%3.92%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%AU:AVDAU:PETAU:EGLAU:AEIAU:ECTAU:DEMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
AU:AVD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:AVDAvada Group Limited0.07-0.13-65.00%
AU:PETPhoslock Environmental Technologies Limited0.01-0.02-66.67%
AU:EGLEnvironmental Group Limited0.07-0.16-68.09%
AU:AEIAeris Environmental Ltd0.04-0.02-27.59%
AU:ECTEnvironmental Clean Technologies Limited0.09-0.03-29.17%
AU:DEMDe.mem Ltd.0.110.000.00%

Avada Group Limited Corporate Events

Avada Group Formalises Governance With New Securities Trading Policy

Oct 9, 2026

Avada Group Limited has approved a comprehensive Securities Trading Policy that sets out who within the organisation may trade in its securities, which instruments are covered, and the restrictions that apply. The policy is designed to regulate secur...

Avada Director Daniel Crowley Increases Indirect Shareholding via Special Crossing

Sep 27, 2026

Avada Group Limited has reported a change in the shareholding of director Daniel James Crowley, detailing adjustments to both his direct and indirect interests in the company’s ordinary shares. The filing notes that Crowley holds shares persona...

Avada Group issues FY26 results with strong investor caution

Aug 31, 2026

Avada Group Limited has released its FY26 results presentation, dated 28 August 2026 and based on the annual report lodged on 31 August 2026. The document is positioned as an informational summary of the company’s activities and statutory finan...

Avada Group lifts revenue and strengthens platform amid mixed regional conditions

Aug 30, 2026

Avada Group Limited reported a 14.6% rise in FY26 revenue to $209.8 million, driven by strong growth in Queensland and New South Wales, while adjusted EBITDA edged up to $13.1 million despite higher operating costs and a statutory loss after tax of $...

Avada Group sets out growth-focused vision in 2026 annual report

Aug 30, 2026

Avada Group Limited, the largest listed integrated traffic management provider in Australia, operates an extensive footprint across key eastern states and New Zealand. With 22 depots, more than a thousand vehicles and a sizeable traffic controller wo...

Avada Group lifts revenue but posts loss amid impairment and going-concern uncertainty

Aug 30, 2026

Avada Group Limited reported a 14.6% increase in revenue to $209.8 million for the year ended 30 June 2026, driven by strong growth in Queensland and New South Wales. The Group also recorded adjusted EBITDA of $13.1 million, reflecting improving unde...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026