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Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) AI Stock Analysis

9 Followers
AU:AVA

Ava Risk Group Ltd.

(ASX:AVA)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:AUD 0.04▼(-17.78% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/29/26

Weak financial performance from revenue declines, losses, and cash burn is the dominant factor. Neutral technical signals offer minor support, while negative P/E weighs on valuation.

Positive Factors
Moderate LeverageModerate leverage gives Ava Risk Group some balance-sheet flexibility while it works to improve profitability and cash generation. Lower debt relative to equity can reduce financing pressure, preserve capacity for investment, and provide greater resilience if operating conditions remain difficult.
Negative Factors
Weak ProfitabilityLow gross margin and negative EBIT indicate that current revenue is not translating into sustainable operating profits. Continued cost pressure or limited operating leverage could restrict reinvestment, weaken earnings quality, and make future performance dependent on a material improvement in margins.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%60%AU:AVA-21.05%EWA+16.85%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
AUD 13.97M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
91.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.1
Beta (1Y)
0.43
Revenue Growth
-9.11%
EPS Growth
50.00%
Country
Australia
Employees
48
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Security & Protection Services

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating globally, Ava Risk Group Limited delivers advanced technologies focused on managing and mitigating various risks. The company's operations are divided into two principal areas: Perimeter Security and Access Control Solutions. Within its Per...

How the Company Makes Money

AVA primarily makes money by selling security technology solutions and associated services to customers that need physical security and intrusion detection. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Product/system sales: revenue from supplying perim...

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue volatility, persistent net losses, and inconsistent cash flows indicate weak financial performance, though moderate leverage offers some balance sheet stability.

Income Statement

32Negative

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue28.72M28.72M31.60M30.14M28.60M18.62M
Gross Profit3.65M3.65M20.28M18.00M5.65M3.95M
EBITDA1.08M1.08M3.83M-2.52M1.42M1.36M
Net Income-3.23M-3.23M-6.46M-5.20M-1.05M33.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets31.05M31.05M29.60M36.06M37.08M30.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.27M5.27M5.59M5.08M5.52M15.23M
Total Debt5.17M5.17M2.80M3.02M2.83M284.00K
Total Liabilities13.59M13.59M7.43M8.11M7.82M4.46M
Stockholders Equity17.47M17.47M22.17M27.95M29.25M25.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.84M-2.84M3.70M-3.26M-4.60M1.09M
Operating Cash Flow-2.63M-2.63M4.17M-535.00K-2.18M2.48M
Investing Cash Flow-2.97M-2.97M-2.96M-2.73M-7.94M35.07M
Financing Cash Flow5.73M5.73M-719.00K2.92M-1.34M-39.73M

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.04

Price Trends

50DMA0.04Negative
100DMA0.04Negative
200DMA0.05Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI46.18Neutral
STOCH0.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVA.

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

AU:AVA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AU:HITAU:HIT68NeutralAUD 49.08M11.9635.47%7.76%-3.10%-35.68%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
AU:DROAU:DRO63NeutralAUD 1.19B-37.54-9.56%―153.40%-513.58%
AU:EOSAU:EOS54NeutralAUD 1.69B-24.53-19.02%―224.58%-281.32%
AU:IMBAU:IMB52NeutralAUD 219.28M294.441.95%―16.46%―
AU:SP3AU:SP344NeutralAUD 2.50M-2.63-55.03%―-9.66%7.69%
AU:AVAAU:AVA40UnderperformAUD 13.10M-4.05-17.22%―-9.11%50.00%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%AU:AVAAU:DROAU:EOSAU:HITAU:IMBAU:SP3Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU:AVA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AU:AVAAva Risk Group Ltd.0.04-0.01-23.73%
AU:DRODroneShield Limited1.29-1.04-44.64%
AU:EOSElectro Optic Systems Holdings Limited7.803.0263.18%
AU:HITHitech Group Australia Limited1.09-0.44-28.76%
AU:IMBIntelligent Monitoring Group Limited0.52-0.05-8.04%
AU:SP3Spectur Ltd.0.01-0.02-64.29%

Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Ava Risk Group Sets October Date and Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM

Aug 31, 2026

Ava Risk Group Ltd. has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 29 October 2026 at 11:00 am AEDT, with detailed arrangements for shareholder attendance to be set out in a forthcoming Notice of Meeting. The board has formally authorised the announcem...

Ava Risk Group Highlights FY26 Results and Forward-Looking Risks

Aug 28, 2026

Ava Risk Group Limited has released its FY26 results presentation, outlining its performance and strategic positioning in the smart security and sensing sector. The document also highlights the inherent uncertainty of forward-looking statements, unde...

Ava Risk Group Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Statement for FY26

Aug 28, 2026

Ava Risk Group has lodged its latest corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026, confirming it is available via the company’s investor relations website in line with ASX requirements. The filing, supported by an Appendix 4G key, s...

AVA Risk Group Highlights Governance Framework in 2026 Annual Report

Aug 28, 2026

AVA Risk Group Limited has released its annual report for the year ended 30 June 2026, detailing its corporate governance structure and key stakeholder relationships. The report confirms the company’s ASX listing, its core financial and audit partner...

Ava Risk Group Narrows Loss as EBITDA Improves Despite Revenue Decline

Aug 27, 2026

Ava Risk Group reported a 9% decline in consolidated revenue from operations to $28.7 million for the year ended 30 June 2026, compared with $31.6 million in the prior year. Despite the lower revenue, the company’s loss after tax attributable to shar...

Ava Risk Group taps veteran executive Bryant Henson to drive U.S.-led growth

Aug 2, 2026

Ava Risk Group has appointed Bryant Henson as Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, effective 24 August 2026, marking a key step in its next phase of global expansion. Henson, who will be based in the United States, brings more than two dec...

Ava Risk Group Adds New Director Without Change in Shareholdings

Jul 21, 2026

Ava Risk Group Limited is an Australia-based company listed on the ASX that operates in the risk management and security technology sector. The group provides solutions and services aimed at protecting assets and infrastructure, serving industrial, c...

Ava Risk Group Adds Retired U.S. Rear Admiral to Board as Hale Capital Representative

Jul 21, 2026

Ava Risk Group has strengthened its board with the appointment of Rear Admiral Terence “Terry” McKnight, USN (Ret.), as a non-executive director, effective 21 July 2026. McKnight joins the board as the nominated representative of strategic investor H...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026