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Ava Risk Group Ltd.
(Sydney:AVA)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
▼(-24.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing losses and a shift to negative operating/free cash flow—despite moderate balance-sheet leverage. Technicals are neutral with only mild positive momentum signals, and valuation is constrained by the negative P/E tied to current unprofitability.
Positive Factors
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage gives Ava Risk Group some balance-sheet flexibility while it works to improve profitability and cash generation. Lower debt relative to equity can reduce financing pressure, preserve capacity for investment, and provide greater resilience if operating conditions remain difficult.
Negative Factors
Weak Profitability
Low gross margin and negative EBIT indicate that current revenue is not translating into sustainable operating profits. Continued cost pressure or limited operating leverage could restrict reinvestment, weaken earnings quality, and make future performance dependent on a material improvement in margins.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Moderate Leverage
Moderate leverage gives Ava Risk Group some balance-sheet flexibility while it works to improve profitability and cash generation. Lower debt relative to equity can reduce financing pressure, preserve capacity for investment, and provide greater resilience if operating conditions remain difficult.
Read all positive factors
Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$12.23M
Dividend Yield0.94%
Average Volume (3M)78.77K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.47
Revenue Growth-9.11%
EPS Growth50.00%
CountryAU
Employees48
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustrySecurity & Protection Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.01
Shares Outstanding291,099,100
10 Day Avg. Volume115,286
30 Day Avg. Volume78,768
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.06
Price to Book (P/B)0.53
Price to Sales (P/S)0.32
P/FCF Ratio-3.27
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$46.15M
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating globally, Ava Risk Group Limited delivers advanced technologies focused on managing and mitigating various risks. The company's operations are divided into two principal areas: Perimeter Security and Access Control Solutions. Within its ...
How the Company Makes Money
AVA primarily makes money by selling security technology solutions and associated services to customers that need physical security and intrusion detection. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Product/system sales: revenue from supplying pe...
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
33
Negative
| Breakdown | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 28.72M | 31.60M | 30.14M | 28.60M | 18.62M |
| Gross Profit | 3.65M | 20.28M | 18.00M | 5.65M | 3.95M |
| EBITDA | 1.08M | 906.00K | -2.52M | 1.42M | 1.36M |
| Net Income | -3.23M | -6.46M | -5.20M | -1.05M | 33.13M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 31.05M | 29.60M | 36.06M | 37.08M | 30.41M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.27M | 5.59M | 5.08M | 5.52M | 15.23M |
| Total Debt | 5.17M | 2.80M | 3.02M | 2.83M | 284.00K |
| Total Liabilities | 13.59M | 7.43M | 8.11M | 7.82M | 4.46M |
| Stockholders Equity | 17.47M | 22.17M | 27.95M | 29.25M | 25.95M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -2.84M | 3.70M | -3.26M | -4.60M | 1.09M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -2.63M | 4.17M | -535.00K | -2.18M | 2.48M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.97M | -2.96M | -2.73M | -7.94M | 35.07M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 5.73M | -719.00K | 2.92M | -1.34M | -39.73M |
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
0.05
Price Trends
0.04
Negative
0.04
Negative
0.05
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Negative
45.24
Neutral
8.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AVA.
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | AU$47.38M | 11.86 | 35.47% | 7.39% | -3.10% | -35.68% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | AU$2.32B | -33.53 | -19.02% | ― | 224.58% | -281.32% | |
58 Neutral | AU$1.58B | -49.55 | -9.56% | ― | 153.40% | -513.58% | |
52 Neutral | AU$239.64M | 320.56 | 1.95% | ― | 16.46% | ― | |
44 Neutral | AU$12.23M | -3.78 | -17.22% | 0.94% | -9.11% | 50.00% | |
42 Neutral | AU$3.33M | -4.21 | -55.03% | ― | -9.66% | 7.69% |
* Industrials Sector Average
AU:AVA
Ava Risk Group Ltd.
0.04
-0.04
-48.78%
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Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events
Ava Risk Group Sets October Date and Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM
Aug 31, 2026
Ava Risk Group Ltd. has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 29 October 2026 at 11:00 am AEDT, with detailed arrangements for shareholder attendance to be set out in a forthcoming Notice of Meeting. The board has formally authorised the announ...
Ava Risk Group Highlights FY26 Results and Forward-Looking Risks
Aug 28, 2026
Ava Risk Group Limited has released its FY26 results presentation, outlining its performance and strategic positioning in the smart security and sensing sector. The document also highlights the inherent uncertainty of forward-looking statements, u...
Ava Risk Group Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Statement for FY26
Aug 28, 2026
Ava Risk Group has lodged its latest corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026, confirming it is available via the company’s investor relations website in line with ASX requirements. The filing, supported by an Appendix ...
AVA Risk Group Highlights Governance Framework in 2026 Annual Report
Aug 28, 2026
AVA Risk Group Limited has released its annual report for the year ended 30 June 2026, detailing its corporate governance structure and key stakeholder relationships. The report confirms the company’s ASX listing, its core financial and audi...
Ava Risk Group Narrows Loss as EBITDA Improves Despite Revenue Decline
Aug 27, 2026
Ava Risk Group reported a 9% decline in consolidated revenue from operations to $28.7 million for the year ended 30 June 2026, compared with $31.6 million in the prior year. Despite the lower revenue, the company’s loss after tax attributabl...
Ava Risk Group taps veteran executive Bryant Henson to drive U.S.-led growth
Aug 2, 2026
Ava Risk Group has appointed Bryant Henson as Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, effective 24 August 2026, marking a key step in its next phase of global expansion. Henson, who will be based in the United States, brings more than two ...
Ava Risk Group Adds New Director Without Change in Shareholdings
Jul 21, 2026
Ava Risk Group Limited is an Australia-based company listed on the ASX that operates in the risk management and security technology sector. The group provides solutions and services aimed at protecting assets and infrastructure, serving industrial...
Ava Risk Group Adds Retired U.S. Rear Admiral to Board as Hale Capital Representative
Jul 21, 2026
Ava Risk Group has strengthened its board with the appointment of Rear Admiral Terence “Terry” McKnight, USN (Ret.), as a non-executive director, effective 21 July 2026. McKnight joins the board as the nominated representative of strat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.