Ava Risk Group Ltd. AI Stock Analysis
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Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) AI Stock Analysis
Ava Risk Group Ltd.
(ASX:AVA)
The overall score is deeply pressured by the company's severe financial distress. The primary risk is the combination of persistent net losses and negative operating cash flow, which threatens the company's financial sustainability. The collapsing gross margins and shrinking equity base further amplify this risk. While the balance sheet leverage is not yet extreme, the deteriorating fundamentals and weak technical trend provide no counterbalance, resulting in a very low score.
Ava Risk Group Ltd. (AVA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
- Market Cap
- AUD 13.97M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 91.83K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -4.3
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.43
- Revenue Growth
- -9.11%
- EPS Growth
- 50.00%
- Country
- Australia
- Employees
- 48
- Sector
- Industrials
- Sector Strength
- 63
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating globally, Ava Risk Group Limited delivers advanced technologies focused on managing and mitigating various risks. The company's operations are divided into two principal areas: Perimeter Security and Access Control Solutions. Within its Per...
How the Company Makes Money
AVA primarily makes money by selling security technology solutions and associated services to customers that need physical security and intrusion detection. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Product/system sales: revenue from supplying perim...
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is critically weak. The company is unprofitable with a TTM net loss margin of -11.2% and collapsing gross margins. Most alarmingly, operating cash flow is deeply negative, indicating the core business is burning cash and is not self-sustaining. The only positive is recent revenue growth, which is overshadowed by severe profitability and liquidity issues.
Income Statement
35NegativeBalance Sheet
55NeutralCash Flow
20Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2026 | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 28.72M | 28.72M | 31.60M | 30.14M | 28.60M | 18.62M |
| Gross Profit | 3.65M | 3.65M | 20.28M | 18.00M | 5.65M | 3.95M |
| EBITDA | 1.08M | 1.08M | 3.83M | -2.52M | 1.42M | 1.36M |
| Net Income | -3.23M | -3.23M | -6.46M | -5.20M | -1.05M | 33.13M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 31.05M | 31.05M | 29.60M | 36.06M | 37.08M | 30.41M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.27M | 5.27M | 5.59M | 5.08M | 5.52M | 15.23M |
| Total Debt | 5.17M | 5.17M | 2.80M | 3.02M | 2.83M | 284.00K |
| Total Liabilities | 13.59M | 13.59M | 7.43M | 8.11M | 7.82M | 4.46M |
| Stockholders Equity | 17.47M | 17.47M | 22.17M | 27.95M | 29.25M | 25.95M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -2.84M | -2.84M | 3.70M | -3.26M | -4.60M | 1.09M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -2.63M | -2.63M | 4.17M | -535.00K | -2.18M | 2.48M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.97M | -2.97M | -2.96M | -2.73M | -7.94M | 35.07M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 5.73M | 5.73M | -719.00K | 2.92M | -1.34M | -39.73M |
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and above the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.08 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AVA.
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
AU:HIT68Neutral
AU:DRO63Neutral
AU:EOS54Neutral
AU:IMB52Neutral
AU:SP344Neutral- AU:AVA40Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AU:HIT | 68Neutral | AUD 50.70M | 12.06 | 35.47% | 7.26% | -3.10% | -35.68% |
| Sector * | 63Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
| AU:DRO | 63Neutral | AUD 1.19B | -37.16 | -9.56% | ― | 153.40% | -513.58% |
| AU:EOS | 54Neutral | AUD 1.73B | -24.16 | -19.02% | ― | 224.58% | -281.32% |
| AU:IMB | 52Neutral | AUD 215.10M | 291.67 | 1.95% | ― | 16.46% | ― |
| AU:SP3 | 44Neutral | AUD 2.08M | -2.63 | -55.03% | ― | -9.66% | 7.69% |
| AU:AVA | 40Underperform | AUD 13.10M | -4.32 | -17.22% | ― | -9.11% | 50.00% |
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AU:AVA | Ava Risk Group Ltd. | 0.05 | -0.01 | -18.64% | |
| AU:DRO | DroneShield Limited | 1.25 | -1.08 | -46.57% | |
| AU:EOS | Electro Optic Systems Holdings Limited | 7.73 | 2.95 | 61.72% | |
| AU:HIT | Hitech Group Australia Limited | 1.17 | -0.37 | -23.88% | |
| AU:IMB | Intelligent Monitoring Group Limited | 0.53 | -0.04 | -6.25% | |
| AU:SP3 | Spectur Ltd. | 0.01 | -0.02 | -64.29% |
Ava Risk Group Ltd. Corporate Events
Ava Risk Group Sets October Date and Nomination Deadline for 2026 AGM
Ava Risk Group Ltd. has scheduled its Annual General Meeting for 29 October 2026 at 11:00 am AEDT, with detailed arrangements for shareholder attendance to be set out in a forthcoming Notice of Meeting. The board has formally authorised the announcem...
Ava Risk Group Highlights FY26 Results and Forward-Looking Risks
Ava Risk Group Limited has released its FY26 results presentation, outlining its performance and strategic positioning in the smart security and sensing sector. The document also highlights the inherent uncertainty of forward-looking statements, unde...
Ava Risk Group Files Updated ASX Corporate Governance Statement for FY26
Ava Risk Group has lodged its latest corporate governance statement for the year ended 30 June 2026, confirming it is available via the company’s investor relations website in line with ASX requirements. The filing, supported by an Appendix 4G key, s...
AVA Risk Group Highlights Governance Framework in 2026 Annual Report
AVA Risk Group Limited has released its annual report for the year ended 30 June 2026, detailing its corporate governance structure and key stakeholder relationships. The report confirms the company’s ASX listing, its core financial and audit partner...
Ava Risk Group Narrows Loss as EBITDA Improves Despite Revenue Decline
Ava Risk Group reported a 9% decline in consolidated revenue from operations to $28.7 million for the year ended 30 June 2026, compared with $31.6 million in the prior year. Despite the lower revenue, the company’s loss after tax attributable to shar...
Ava Risk Group taps veteran executive Bryant Henson to drive U.S.-led growth
Ava Risk Group has appointed Bryant Henson as Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, effective 24 August 2026, marking a key step in its next phase of global expansion. Henson, who will be based in the United States, brings more than two dec...
Ava Risk Group Adds New Director Without Change in Shareholdings
Ava Risk Group Limited is an Australia-based company listed on the ASX that operates in the risk management and security technology sector. The group provides solutions and services aimed at protecting assets and infrastructure, serving industrial, c...
Ava Risk Group Adds Retired U.S. Rear Admiral to Board as Hale Capital Representative
Ava Risk Group has strengthened its board with the appointment of Rear Admiral Terence “Terry” McKnight, USN (Ret.), as a non-executive director, effective 21 July 2026. McKnight joins the board as the nominated representative of strategic investor H...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026