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ASM International (ASMIY) AI Stock Analysis

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ASMIY

ASM International

(Other OTC:ASMIY)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:$868.00â–²(13.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

ASM International earns a solid overall score driven by its phenomenal business momentum and a pristine, highly resilient balance sheet. The company's exceptional earnings report, highlighted by achieving long-term revenue targets years ahead of schedule, heavily supports the bullish outlook. However, the overall score is constrained by significant near-term technical weakness—as the stock is caught in a strong downtrend—and a premium valuation that requires the company to maintain its flawless execution.

Positive Factors
ALD and technology expansionASM’s position in ALD is reinforced by rising process complexity at 1.4 and 2 nanometers, while new materials and epitaxy applications can expand its served market. This supports durable technology relevance, deeper customer integration, and potential share gains as leading-edge production scales.
Negative Factors
Supply-chain execution riskTight component availability could constrain ASM’s ability to convert strong customer demand into timely shipments. Persistent supplier pressure may also raise costs, delay installations, and make the ambitious 2027 growth plan more dependent on successful capacity coordination.

ASM International (ASMIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%ASMIY+26.37%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$37.43B
Dividend Yield
0.50%
Average Volume (3M)
6,195
Price to Earnings (P/E)
33.5
Beta (1Y)
1.36
Revenue Growth
19.12%
EPS Growth
30.54%
Country
US
Employees
4,519
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

ASM International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ASM International N.V., together with its subsidiary companies, operates internationally, focusing on the design, production, sales, and maintenance of cutting-edge equipment and specialized materials vital for creating semiconductor devices. Their g...

How the Company Makes Money

ASMI primarily makes money by selling semiconductor manufacturing equipment (capital equipment) and by providing recurring services and support associated with its installed base. The company’s largest revenue stream is the sale of deposition tools—e...

ASM International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-2.93%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 22, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. ASM reported record revenue, significant year-on-year growth, improved operating profitability, strong cash generation, expanding customer visibility, and a 2027 revenue target of more than EUR 5.7 billion that reaches the prior 2030 target three years early. The company also highlighted substantial opportunities in 1.4 nanometer, high-performance DRAM, advanced packaging, photonics, PECVD, and Flowable Carbon. The main negative topics were tight supply-chain conditions, incomplete conversion of customer visibility into purchase orders, a currency translation loss, higher expenses and an R&D impairment, limited expected China growth, and regulatory uncertainty. These challenges were explicitly acknowledged but did not outweigh the breadth and magnitude of the reported growth and opportunity.

Positive Updates

Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Strong Growth
Q3 revenue reached a new record of $1.16 billion, at the upper end of the guided range at constant currencies. Revenue increased 44% year-on-year at constant currencies and 14% sequentially; the CEO also described year-on-year growth as 45%.

Negative Updates

Supply Chain Constraints and 2027 Execution Risk
Supply chain conditions are increasingly tight, with stress at several critical suppliers and some components in short supply. Management described the supply chain as challenging, acknowledged that there is risk, and said it will remain an increased risk going into 2027.

Company Guidance

ASM expects Q4 revenue of EUR 1.23 billion, plus or minus 5%, at constant currencies, full-year revenue growth of approximately 35% at constant currencies, equipment revenue growth of more than 40%, full-year gross margin of around 52%, SG&A of around 8% of revenue, and full-year CapEx to exceed EUR 250 million; for 2027, it projects revenue to exceed EUR 5.7 billion at constant currencies, with industry growth over 30%, R&D at least low double digits, SG&A below 7%, equipment growth exceeding service products growth, 1.4 nanometer the biggest contributor, further growth in 2 nanometer, strong growth in memory, and the recovery in power, analog, and wafer to strengthen further, while it expects good growth continuing beyond 2027 into 2028 and 1.4 nanometer HVM production in 2028.

ASM International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ASM International demonstrates an exceptional financial profile with robust top-line expansion, impressive operating margins, and a practically debt-free balance sheet. Despite the capital-intensive nature of the sector, its stellar 25.9% return on equity and substantial free cash flow generation underscore highly efficient operations.

Income Statement

88Very Positive

Balance Sheet

95Very Positive

Cash Flow

86Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.71B3.05B2.93B2.63B2.41B1.73B
Gross Profit1.92B1.58B1.48B1.27B1.14B828.13M
EBITDA1.41B1.15B990.54M834.57M628.93M694.92M
Net Income994.61M695.14M685.73M752.07M389.11M494.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.67B5.33B5.16B4.23B3.75B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.36B1.03B926.00M637.26M419.31M491.51M
Total Debt95.49M63.97M35.26M33.56M28.12M23.46M
Total Liabilities1.92B1.33B1.41B999.92M1.00B469.33M
Stockholders Equity4.75B4.00B3.75B3.23B2.75B2.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow732.49M815.59M532.92M418.18M333.01M223.79M
Operating Cash Flow1.10B1.03B897.65M735.89M541.49M380.64M
Investing Cash Flow-567.64M-608.59M-349.97M-289.04M-474.88M-114.40M
Financing Cash Flow-325.20M-301.13M-301.03M-236.05M-132.60M-240.26M

ASM International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price767.99

Price Trends

50DMA921.04Negative
100DMA974.95Negative
200DMA933.88Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-41.46Positive
RSI33.97Neutral
STOCH14.40Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASMIY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 767.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 859.41, below the 50-day MA of 921.04, and below the 200-day MA of 933.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -41.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ASMIY.

ASM International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

ASMIY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
LRCXLRCX80Outperform$288.21B32.8071.75%0.50%33.36%48.32%
ASMIYASMIY76Outperform$39.43B33.4922.92%0.50%19.12%30.54%
AMATAMAT73Outperform$303.09B31.6540.44%0.54%7.77%38.45%
KLACKLAC73Outperform$203.52B37.2387.02%0.56%15.80%25.58%
ONTOONTO70Outperform$9.93B68.966.50%―8.08%-33.87%
VECOVECO62Neutral$2.29B85.092.62%―-2.52%-64.30%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%200%ASMIYAMATKLACLRCXONTOVECODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ASMIY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ASMIYAsm International767.99142.4422.77%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.369.40137.1559.06%
KLACKla Corporation149.7929.8024.83%
LRCXLam Research Corp221.4359.9937.16%
ONTOOnto Innovation184.8253.0740.28%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc36.006.8523.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026