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American Oncology Network (AONC) AI Stock Analysis

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AONC

American Oncology Network

(Other OTC:AONC)

Select Model
Rating:39.3Underperform
Price Target:$7.00▼(-69.57% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:01/22/26

The overall score of 39 reflects high risk due to weak financial fundamentals, including unprofitability, negative cash flow, and high leverage, combined with a bearish technical trend. Valuation also remains poor. While revenue growth offers a glimmer of potential, significant challenges persist.

Positive Factors
Top-line GrowthSustained multi-year revenue expansion indicates the platform is successfully scaling affiliated practices and ancillary services. Durable top-line growth supports network effects, bargaining power with payers and vendors, and provides a larger base to invest in operations and clinical programs over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Persistent lossesOngoing unprofitability undermines internal funding for growth and clinical investments, forcing reliance on external financing. Over a multi-month horizon, persistent losses increase refinancing risk, constrain strategic flexibility, and can impede execution of expansion or integration initiatives.

American Oncology Network (AONC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%AONC+84.00%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$672.71M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1,930
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-33.3
Beta (1Y)
0.49
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
1,914
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities

American Oncology Network Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

American Oncology Network, Inc. engages in the provision of community-based oncology management. The firm provides various services to patients, including laboratory services for routine and specialized testing, in-house professional and technical pa...

How the Company Makes Money

AON’s revenue model is based on providing management and support services to affiliated/partner oncology practices and, where applicable, operating or enabling ancillary services tied to outpatient cancer care. Key revenue streams include: (1) manage...

American Oncology Network Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2024(Q1-2024)|% Change Since:557.14%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and expansion through acquisitions, as well as the launch of an innovative analytics platform. However, these positives were offset by increased costs, a higher net loss, and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA.

Positive Updates

Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by $60.6 million or 20% compared to the same period last year, with revenue for Q1 2024 at $364.3 million.

Negative Updates

Increased Costs
Cost of revenue increased by $76.4 million, primarily due to higher drug and medical supply costs and increased cost per patient encounter.

Company Guidance

In the first quarter of 2024, American Oncology Network (AONC) reported a revenue increase of 20% to $364.3 million, up from $303.7 million in the previous year, driven by a 12.8% rise in revenue per encounter and a 6.2% increase in patient encounters. Despite these gains, the company experienced a net loss before non-controlling interest of $24.9 million, compared to a $1.5 million loss in the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA falling to $2 million from $4 million. The cost of revenue rose to $354.9 million, primarily due to higher drug and medical supply costs, while equity-based compensation accounted for $13.3 million. AONC's strategic growth included the addition of 17 new providers and significant acquisitions, enhancing its platform with the launch of Meaningful Insights Biotech Analytics (MiBA) to improve cancer care through AI-driven insights. The company ended the quarter with a total liquidity of $132.7 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $74.9 million, and maintained an $81.3 million outstanding balance under its PNC Loan Facility.

American Oncology Network Financial Statement Overview

Summary

AONC shows strong revenue growth but faces profitability challenges, high leverage, and persistent negative cash flows. The composite score reflects these significant risks, though revenue growth provides a modest positive.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

30Negative

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.76B1.76B1.28B1.15B943.75M724.74M
Gross Profit117.85M117.85M82.80M95.45M77.96M66.11M
EBITDA1.81M1.81M-39.35M23.09M7.85M25.94M
Net Income-3.97M-3.97M-5.54M2.59M-105.00K21.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets470.33M470.33M374.45M326.23M248.30M49.03K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.64M72.64M63.93M36.78M27.35M25.00K
Total Debt147.37M147.37M128.32M127.13M63.69M0
Total Liabilities362.32M362.32M303.74M264.21M22.26M24.87K
Stockholders Equity18.77M18.77M-161.73M62.02M312.62M24.17K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.08M-25.90M-30.40M-13.98M-34.66M25.02M
Operating Cash Flow74.12M-4.94M-18.12M-6.78M-26.34M37.24M
Investing Cash Flow824.00K-2.41M-35.40M-13.99M-333.50M-14.67M
Financing Cash Flow46.90M41.66M55.13M15.35M335.53M16.26M

American Oncology Network Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price23.00

Price Trends

50DMA14.56Positive
100DMA12.62Positive
200DMA11.55Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.47Positive
RSI68.43Neutral
STOCH50.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AONC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.09, above the 50-day MA of 14.56, and above the 200-day MA of 11.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AONC.

American Oncology Network Risk Analysis

American Oncology Network disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Oncology Network reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Anti-takeover provisions in our organizational documents could delay or prevent a change of control.Q4, 2023
2.Certain existing stockholders purchased our shares at a price below the current trading price of such shares, and may experience a positive rate of return based on the current trading price. Other investors and stockholders may not experience a similar rate of return.Q4, 2023
3.A market for our securities may not continue, which would adversely affect the liquidity and price of its securities.Q4, 2023

American Oncology Network Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

AONC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AGLAGL56Neutral$1.85B-17.66-51.94%―2.02%66.99%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
CYHCYH44Neutral$311.67M8.30-2.51%―-7.84%-88.93%
AONCAONC39Underperform$1.05B-33.335.56%―――

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%600%800%AONCCYHAGLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AONC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AONCAmerican Oncology Network, Inc. Class A23.0011.80105.36%
CYHCommunity Health Systems2.24-0.77-25.58%
AGLAgilon Health Inc115.66102.23761.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026