Want to see ALLR full AI Analyst Report?
Allarity Therapeutics (ALLR) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q2, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 14, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1ALLR Sponsor LLC (the "Subsidiary"), our fully-owned subsidiary, which we consolidate as a variable interest entity, may expose us to additional financial, operational, regulatory, accounting, conflicts-of-interest and reputational risks.
We have determined that Subsidiary is a variable interest entity and that we are its primary beneficiary because we have the power to direct the activities that most significantly affect its economic performance and have the obligation to absorb losses or the right to receive benefits that could potentially be significant to the Subsidiary. Accordingly, we consolidate the Subsidiary in our condensed consolidated financial statements. The Subsidiary may incur formation, professional, offering, operating, and other costs. The Subsidiary also may make investments, advances or other capital commitments and may enter into indemnification, reimbursement or support arrangements. Amounts invested or advanced by us or the Subsidiary may not be recoverable, and the Subsidiary may incur additional wind-down, professional or other expenses.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Sales of our common stock under our equity line of credit with Tumim Stone Capital LLC may result in substantial dilution to our stockholders, may adversely affect the market price of our common stock and may not provide us with the full amount of capital contemplated by the facility.
On January 28, 2026, we entered into a Common Stock Purchase Agreement with Tumim Stone Capital LLC, or Tumim, under which we have the right, but not the obligation, to direct Tumim to purchase up to $6.0 million of newly issued shares of our common stock, subject to the conditions and limitations contained in the agreement. During the six months ended June 30, 2026, we sold 2,000 shares under the agreement for gross proceeds of $2,000, and approximately $5.998 million remained available under the facility as of June 30, 2026. Any issuances under the facility will dilute the ownership and voting interests of our existing stockholders. Tumim may resell shares it acquires into the public market, and such sales, or the perception that such sales may occur, could cause or contribute to a decline in the market price of our common stock. A decline in our market price could increase the number of shares that we would need to issue to raise the same amount of proceeds, result in further dilution and make it more difficult for us to raise additional capital on favorable terms.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 3Our obligations under the Streeterville financing may materially impair our liquidity and financing flexibility, and a trigger event or default could result in acceleration, increased amounts owed, enforcement against restricted cash, pledged equity and subsidiary guarantors, and dilution to our stockholders.
On March 2, 2026, we entered into a Note Purchase Agreement with Streeterville Capital, LLC, or Streeterville, under which we issued an A-1 Note and a B Note for aggregate gross proceeds of $20.0 million. The A-1 Note had an initial stated principal amount of approximately $10.93 million, including an original issue discount and transaction-expense reimbursement, bears interest at 9% per annum compounded daily and matures on September 2, 2027. The B Note has a principal amount of $10.0 million, bears interest at 5% per annum compounded daily and also matures on September 2, 2027. Although no redemptions, covenant breaches or defaults had occurred as of June 30, 2026, there can be no assurance that we will remain in compliance with the financing documents or have sufficient cash to satisfy all redemptions and other obligations when due. We may need to raise additional capital to make payments under the notes, including through issuances of common stock or other equity-linked securities. Any such financing could be highly dilutive, could be available only on unfavorable terms or might not be available at all. A default or enforcement action also could trigger defaults under other agreements, materially adversely affect our liquidity and ability to continue our development programs and cause the market price of our common stock to decline.
Risk Highlights Q2, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 82
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 1We have limited experience in drug discovery and drug development and may not receive regulatory approval to market stenoparib.
Prior to the acquisition of our therapeutic candidate, we were not involved in and had no control over their preclinical and clinical development. In addition, we rely upon the parties from whom we have acquired our therapeutic candidate from to have conducted such research and development in accordance with the applicable protocol, legal, regulatory, and scientific standards, having accurately reported the results of all clinical trials conducted prior to our acquisition of the applicable therapeutic candidate, and having correctly collected the data from these studies and trials. To the extent any of these has not occurred, our expected development time and costs may be increased, which could adversely affect our prospects for marketing approval of, and receiving any future revenue from, the therapeutic candidate. We are dependent on our ability to advance the development of our therapeutic candidate. If we are unable to complete the clinical development of, obtain marketing approval for or successfully commercialize our therapeutic candidate, either alone or with a collaborator, or if we experience significant delays in doing so, our business could be substantially harmed. If we do not obtain the regulatory approval for and successfully commercialize our therapeutic candidate or experience significant delays in doing so, we may never generate any revenue or become profitable. We are investing a significant portion of our efforts and financial resources in the advancement of stenoparib. Our prospects are substantially dependent on our ability, or those of any future collaborator, to develop, obtain marketing approval for and successfully commercialize therapeutic candidate in one or more disease indications. The success of stenoparib will depend on several factors, including the following: - our ability to successfully complete clinical trials to obtain regulatory approval for our therapeutic candidate without significant delay; - advancing our DRP-guided Phase 2 clinical trial of stenoparib as a treatment for ovarian cancer; - establishment of a safety, tolerability and efficacy profile that is satisfactory to the FDA or any comparable foreign regulatory authority for marketing approval; - obtaining and maintaining patent, trade secret protection and regulatory exclusivity, both in the U.S. and relevant global markets; - the performance of our future collaborators, if any; - the extent of any required post-marketing approval commitments to applicable regulatory authorities; - establishment of supply arrangements with third-party raw materials suppliers and manufacturers; - establishment of arrangements with third-party manufacturers to obtain finished drug product that is appropriately packaged for sale; - protection of our rights in our intellectual property portfolio; - successful launch of commercial sales following any marketing approval; - a continued acceptable safety profile following any marketing approval; - commercial acceptance by patients, the medical community and third-party payors; and - our ability to compete with other therapies. Many of these factors are beyond our control, including the results of clinical trials, the time required for the FDA or any comparable foreign regulatory authorities to review any regulatory submissions we may make, potential threats to our intellectual property rights and the manufacturing, marketing and sales efforts of any future collaborator. If we are unable to develop, receive marketing approval for and successfully commercialize stenoparib on our own or with any future collaborator or experience delays as a result of any of these factors or otherwise, our business could be substantially harmed. The regulatory approval processes of the FDA and comparable foreign authorities are lengthy, time consuming, expensive and inherently unpredictable, and if we are ultimately unable to obtain regulatory approval for stenoparib, our business will be substantially harmed. The time required to obtain approval by the FDA and comparable foreign authorities is unpredictable but can take many years following the commencement of clinical trials and depends upon numerous factors, including the substantial discretion of the regulatory authorities. The results of preclinical studies and early clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate may not be predictive of the results of later-stage clinical trials. Therapeutic candidates in later stages of clinical trials may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy traits despite having progressed through preclinical studies and initial clinical trials. It is not uncommon for companies in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries to suffer significant setbacks in advanced clinical trials due to nonclinical findings made while clinical studies were underway and safety or efficacy observations made in clinical studies, including previously unreported adverse events. Our future clinical trial results may not be successful, and notwithstanding any potential promising results in earlier studies, we cannot be certain that we will not face similar setbacks. The historical failure rate for therapeutic candidates in our industry is high. In addition, approval policies, regulations, or the type and amount of clinical data necessary to gain approval may change during the course of a therapeutic candidate's clinical development and may vary among jurisdictions. We have not obtained final regulatory approval for any therapeutic candidate and it is possible that our existing therapeutic candidate or any therapeutic candidates we may seek to develop in the future will never obtain regulatory approval. Stenoparib could fail to receive regulatory clearance or marketing approval for many reasons, including the following: - the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with the design or implementation of our clinical trials, including, but not limited to, the use of genomic or biomarker signatures to identify patients that may respond to drug efficacy; - we may be unable to demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities that a therapeutic candidate is safe and effective for its proposed indication; - we may be unable to identify and recruit a sufficient number of patients with relevant genomic or biomarker signatures in order to conduct clinical trials on our therapeutic candidate or the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may not approve a DRP companion diagnostic that is required to select patients responsive to our therapeutic candidate; - the results of clinical trials may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities for approval; - the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with our interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials; - the data collected from clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate may not be sufficient to support the submission of an NDA, or other submission or to obtain regulatory approval in the U.S. or elsewhere; - the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may fail to approve the manufacturing processes or facilities of third-party manufacturers with which we contract for clinical and commercial supplies; and - the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering our clinical data insufficient for approval. We may not have the necessary capabilities, including adequate staffing, to successfully manage the execution and completion of any clinical trials we initiate in a way that leads to our obtaining marketing approval for our therapeutic candidate in a timely manner, or at all. This lengthy approval process as well as the unpredictability of future clinical trial results may result in our failing to obtain regulatory approval to market our therapeutic candidate, which would significantly harm our business, results of operations and prospects. In addition, even if we were to obtain approval, regulatory authorities may approve our therapeutic candidate for fewer or more limited indications than we request, may not approve the price we intend to charge for our drugs, may grant approval contingent on the performance of costly post-marketing clinical trials, may approve a therapeutic candidate with a label that does not include the labeling claims necessary or desirable for the successful commercialization of that therapeutic candidate or may restrict its distribution. Any of the foregoing restrictions or requirements could materially harm the commercial prospects for our therapeutic candidate. We have not successfully filed an NDA to the FDA or similar drug approval filings to comparable foreign authorities, for any therapeutic candidate, and we cannot be certain that our therapeutic candidate will be successful in clinical trials or receive regulatory approval. Further, our therapeutic candidate may not receive regulatory approval even if it is successful in clinical trials. If we do not receive regulatory approval for our therapeutic candidate, we may be unable to continue our operations. Even if we successfully obtain regulatory approvals to market our therapeutic candidate, our revenues will be dependent, in part, upon the size of the markets in the territories for which we gain regulatory approval and have commercial rights. If the market for patients that we are targeting for our therapeutic candidate is not as significant as we estimate, or if the price we charge for our therapeutic candidate is too high, we may not generate significant revenues from sales of such drug, if approved. We plan to seek regulatory approval to commercialize our therapeutic candidate both in the U.S. and the European Union and in additional foreign countries. While the scope of regulatory approval is similar in other countries, to obtain separate regulatory approval in many other countries we must comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements of such countries regarding safety and efficacy and governing, among other things, clinical trials and possible limitations placed upon commercial sales, pricing and distribution of our therapeutic candidate, and we cannot predict success in these jurisdictions.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 2We may expend our limited resources to pursue a particular therapeutic candidate or indication and fail to capitalize on therapeutic candidates or indications that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood of success.
Because we have limited financial and managerial resources, we focus on research programs that we identify for specific indications using our proprietary DRP companion diagnostics platform. As a result, we may forego or delay pursuit of opportunities with other therapeutic candidates or for other indications, even those that we have begun investigating and that may have shown promise, that later prove to have greater commercial potential. Our resource allocation decisions may cause us to fail to capitalize on viable commercial therapies or profitable market opportunities. Our spending on current and future research and development programs and therapeutic candidates for specific indications may not yield any commercially viable products. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular therapeutic candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that therapeutic candidate through collaboration, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such therapeutic candidate.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 3If we encounter difficulties enrolling patients in our clinical trials, our clinical development activities could be delayed or otherwise adversely affected.
We may experience difficulties in patient enrollment in our clinical trials for a variety of reasons, including committee and staff shortages causing delays at processing the trials at the investigator sites resulting in delayed and slow patient enrollment. The timely completion of clinical trials in accordance with their protocols depends, among other things, on our ability to enroll enough patients who remain in the study until its conclusion. The enrollment of patients depends on many factors, including: - the patient eligibility criteria defined in the protocol;- the size and health of the patient population required for analysis of the trial's primary endpoints;- the proximity of patients to study sites;- the design of the trial;- our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators with the appropriate competencies and experience;- clinicians' and patients' perceptions as to the potential advantages of the therapeutic candidate being studied in relation to other available therapies, including any new drugs that may be approved for the indications we are investigating;- our ability to obtain and maintain patient consents;- sufficient number of patients willing to consent to a recent biopsy; and - the risk that patients enrolled in clinical trials will drop out of the trials before completion. In addition, our clinical trials will compete with other clinical trials for therapeutic candidates that are in the same therapeutic areas as our therapeutic candidate, and this competition will reduce the number and types of patients available to us, because some patients who might have opted to enroll in our trials may instead opt to enroll in a trial being conducted by one of our competitors. Since the number of qualified clinical investigators is limited, we expect to conduct some of our clinical trials at the same clinical trial sites that some of our competitors use, which will reduce the number of patients who are available for our clinical trials at such clinical trial site. Moreover, because our therapeutic candidate represent a departure from more commonly used methods for cancer treatment, potential patients and their doctors may be inclined to use conventional therapies rather than enroll patients in any future clinical trial. Delays in patient enrollment may result in increased costs or may affect the timing or outcome of our current or planned clinical trials, which could prevent completion of these trials and adversely affect our ability to advance the development of our therapeutic candidate.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 4We may encounter substantial delays in our preclinical studies or clinical trials or we may fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of applicable regulatory authorities.
Before obtaining marketing approval from regulatory authorities for the sale of our therapeutic candidate, we must conduct extensive clinical trials to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of the therapeutic candidate for its intended indications. Preclinical studies and clinical trials are expensive, time-consuming and uncertain as to outcome. We cannot guarantee that any preclinical studies or clinical trials will be conducted as planned or completed on schedule, if at all. A failure of one or more preclinical studies or clinical trials can occur at any stage of testing. Events that may prevent successful or timely completion of preclinical or clinical development include: - delays in conducting experiments or preclinical studies or unsatisfactory results from such experiments or studies;- delays in reaching a consensus with regulatory authorities on trial design;- delays in reaching agreement or failing to agree on acceptable terms with prospective CROs and clinical trial sites;- delays in opening sites and recruiting suitable patients to participate in our clinical trials;- delays in enrollment due to travel or quarantine policies, or other factors, related to pandemics or other events outside our control;- imposition of a clinical hold by regulatory authorities as a result of a serious adverse event, concerns with a class of therapeutic candidates or after an inspection of our clinical trial operations or trial sites;- delays in having patients complete participation in a trial or return for post-treatment follow-up;- occurrence of serious adverse events associated with the therapeutic candidate that are viewed to outweigh its potential benefits; or - changes in regulatory requirements and guidance that require amending or submitting new clinical protocols. For instance, committee and staff shortages causing delays at processing the trials at the investigator sites resulting in delayed and slow patient enrollment, which may delay, limit or prevent our employees and CROs from continuing research and development activities, impede the ability of patients to enroll or continue in clinical trials, or impede testing, monitoring, data collection and analysis or other related activities, any of which could delay our clinical trials and increase our development costs, and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, current inflation levels could lead to further increases in the costs for clinical supply both in the U.S. and Europe, which could lead to further increases in our development costs and materially affect our results of operations. Any inability to timely and successfully complete preclinical and clinical development could result in additional costs to us or impair our ability to achieve regulatory and commercialization milestones. In addition, if we make manufacturing or formulation changes to our therapeutic candidate, we may need to conduct additional testing to bridge our modified therapeutic candidate to earlier versions. Clinical trial delays could also shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize our therapeutic candidate, if approved, or allow our competitors to bring comparable drugs to market before we do, which could impair our ability to successfully commercialize our therapeutic candidate and may harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Additionally, if the results of our clinical trials are inconclusive or if there are safety concerns or serious adverse events associated with our therapeutic candidate, we may: - be delayed in obtaining marketing approval, if at all;- obtain approval for indications or patient populations that are not as broad as intended or desired;- obtain approval with labeling that includes significant use or distribution restrictions or safety warnings;- be subject to additional post-marketing testing requirements;- be required to perform additional clinical trials to support approval or be subject to additional post-marketing testing requirements;- have regulatory authorities withdraw, or suspend, their approval of the drug or impose restrictions on its distribution in the form of a modified risk evaluation and mitigation strategy, or REMS;- be subject to the addition of labeling statements, such as warnings or contraindications;- be sued; or - experience damage to our reputation. Our drug development costs will also increase if we experience delays in testing or obtaining marketing approvals. We do not know whether any of our preclinical studies or clinical trials will begin as planned, need to be restructured or be completed on schedule, if at all. Further, we, the FDA or an institutional review board ("IRB") may suspend our clinical trials at any time if it appears that we or our collaborators are failing to conduct a trial in accordance with regulatory requirements, including the FDA's current Good Clinical Practice ("GCP"), regulations, that we are exposing participants to unacceptable health risks or if the FDA finds deficiencies in our Investigational New Drug ("IND") Applications, or INDs, or the conduct of these trials. Therefore, we cannot predict with any certainty the schedule for commencement and completion of future clinical trials. If we experience delays in the commencement or completion of our clinical trials, or if we terminate a clinical trial prior to completion, the commercial prospects of our therapeutic candidate could be negatively impacted, and our ability to generate revenues from our therapeutic candidate may be delayed or eliminated entirely.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 5Clinical trials are very expensive, time-consuming and difficult to design and implement, and involve uncertain outcomes. Furthermore, results of earlier preclinical studies and clinical trials may not be predictive of results of future preclinical studies or clinical trials.
The risk of failure for our therapeutic candidate is substantial. It is impossible to predict when or if our therapeutic candidate will prove effective or safe or effective in humans or will receive regulatory approval. To obtain the requisite regulatory approvals to market and sell our therapeutic candidate, we must demonstrate through extensive preclinical studies and clinical trials that our therapeutic candidate is safe and effective in humans for use in each target indication. Preclinical investigation and clinical testing is expensive and can take many years to complete, and the outcome is inherently uncertain. Failure can occur at any time during the preclinical investigation or clinical trial process, or during the regulatory approval process. In addition, the results of preclinical studies and earlier clinical trials may not be predictive of the results of later-stage preclinical studies or clinical trials. The results generated to date in preclinical studies and clinical trials for our therapeutic candidate do not ensure that later preclinical studies or clinical trials will demonstrate similar results. Therapeutic candidates in later stages of clinical trials may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy traits despite having progressed through preclinical and earlier stage clinical trials. In later-stage clinical trials, we will likely be subject to more rigorous statistical analyses than in completed earlier stage clinical trials. Several companies in the pharmaceutical industry have suffered significant setbacks in later-stage clinical trials due to adverse safety profiles or lack of efficacy, notwithstanding promising results in earlier trials, and we cannot be certain that we will not face similar setbacks. Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many companies that have believed their therapeutic candidates performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and clinical trials have nonetheless failed to obtain marketing approval of their products. In some instances, there can be significant variability in safety or efficacy results between different clinical trials of the same therapeutic candidate due to numerous factors, including changes in clinical trial procedures set forth in protocols, differences in the size and type of the patient populations, adherence to the dosing regimen and other clinical trial protocols, and the rate of dropout among clinical trial participants. If we fail to produce positive results in our planned preclinical studies or clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate, the development timeline and regulatory approval and commercialization prospects for our therapeutic candidate, and, correspondingly, our business and financial prospects, would be materially and adversely affected.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 6Even if we are successful in completing all preclinical studies and clinical trials, we may not be successful in commercializing stenoparib.
Even if we complete the necessary preclinical studies and clinical trials, the marketing approval process is expensive, time-consuming and uncertain and may prevent us from obtaining approvals for the commercialization of stenoparib. If we are not able to obtain, or if there are delays in obtaining, required regulatory approvals, we will not be able to commercialize stenoparib, and our ability to generate revenue will be materially impaired. Stenoparib and the activities associated with its development and commercialization, including their design, testing, manufacture, safety, efficacy, recordkeeping, labeling, storage, approval, advertising, promotion, sale and distribution, export and import are subject to comprehensive regulation by the FDA and other regulatory agencies in the U.S. and by the European Medicines Agency (the "EMA") and similar regulatory authorities outside of the U.S. Failure to obtain marketing approval for a therapeutic candidate will prevent us from commercializing the therapeutic candidate. We have not submitted an application for or received marketing approval for stenoparib in the U.S. or in any other jurisdiction. We have only limited experience in filing and supporting the applications necessary to gain marketing approvals and expect to rely on third-party clinical research organizations or other third-party consultants or vendors to assist us in this process. Securing marketing approval requires the submission of extensive preclinical and clinical data and supporting information to regulatory authorities for each therapeutic indication to establish the therapeutic candidate's safety and efficacy. Securing marketing approval also requires the submission of information about the drug manufacturing process to, and inspection of manufacturing facilities by, the regulatory authorities. Stenoparib may not be effective, may be only moderately effective or may prove to have undesirable or unintended side effects, toxicities or other characteristics that may preclude our obtaining marketing approval or prevent or limit commercial use. New cancer drugs frequently are indicated only for patient populations that have not responded to an existing therapy or have relapsed. If stenoparib receives marketing approval, the accompanying label may limit the approved use of stenoparib in this way, which could limit sales of stenoparib. The process of obtaining marketing approvals, both in the U.S. and abroad, is expensive, may take many years, if approval is obtained at all, and can vary substantially based upon a variety of factors, including the type, complexity and novelty of the therapeutic candidates involved. Changes in marketing approval policies during the development period, changes in or the enactment of additional statutes or regulations, or changes in regulatory review for each submitted drug application, may cause delays in the approval or rejection of an application. Regulatory authorities have substantial discretion in the approval process and may refuse to accept any application or may decide that our data is insufficient for approval and require additional preclinical, clinical or other studies. In addition, varying interpretations of the data obtained from preclinical studies and clinical trials could delay, limit or prevent marketing approval of a therapeutic candidate. Any marketing approval we ultimately obtain may be limited or subject to restrictions or post-approval commitments that render the approved drug not commercially viable.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 7Stenoparib may cause undesirable side effects or have other properties that could delay or prevent their regulatory approval, limit the commercial profile of an approved label, or result in significant negative consequences following marketing approval, if any.
Undesirable side effects caused by stenoparib could cause us or regulatory authorities to interrupt, delay or halt clinical trials and could result in a more restrictive label or the delay or denial of regulatory approval by the FDA or other comparable foreign authorities. The clinical evaluation of stenoparib in patients is still in the early stages and it is possible that there may be side effects associated with their use. In such an event, we, the FDA, the IRBs at the institutions in which our studies are conducted, or the DSMB could suspend or terminate our clinical trials or the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities could order us to cease clinical trials or deny approval of stenoparib for any or all targeted indications. Treatment-related side effects could also affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete the clinical trial or result in potential product liability claims. In addition, these side effects may not be appropriately recognized or managed by the treating medical staff. We expect to have to train medical personnel using stenoparib to understand the side effect profiles for our clinical trials and upon any commercialization of stenoparib. Inadequate training in recognizing or managing the potential side effects of stenoparib could result in patient injury or death. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly. Additionally, if stenoparib receives marketing approval, and we or others later identify undesirable side effects caused by stenoparib, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including: - regulatory authorities may withdraw approvals of stenoparib; - we may be required to recall stenoparib or change the way such stenoparib is administered to patients; - additional restrictions may be imposed on the marketing or distribution of stenoparib or the manufacturing processes for stenoparib or any component thereof; - regulatory authorities may require additional warnings on the label, such as a "black box" warning or contraindication; - we may be required to implement Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies (REMS) or create a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients; - we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; - stenoparib may become less competitive; and - our reputation may suffer. Any of these events could prevent us from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the particular therapeutic candidate or for particular indications of a therapeutic candidate, if approved, and could significantly harm our business, results of operations and prospects. We are leveraging our proprietary DRP companion diagnostics platform in an attempt to create a pipeline of therapeutic candidates using biomarker identification and patient stratification for the development of oncology drugs in a personalized medicine approach. While we believe that applying our proprietary DRP companion diagnostics platform to drugs that have failed, been abandoned or otherwise failed to meet clinical endpoints and then developing a precision oncology approach that identifies the mechanism of action, potential combination drug usage and potentially responsive patient population is a strategy, our approach has not been approved by the FDA or any equivalent foreign regulatory authority. While we have retrospectively validated our proprietary DRP companion diagnostics platform in 35 clinical trials conducted by other companies, we have not yet received approval from the FDA or other regulatory agency to market a companion diagnostic. Because our approach is both innovative and in the early stages of development, the cost and time needed to develop stenoparib is difficult to predict, and our efforts may not result in the successful discovery and development of commercially viable medicines. We may also be incorrect about the effects of stenoparib on the diseases of our defined patient populations, which may limit the utility of our approach or the perception of the utility of our approach. Furthermore, our estimates of our defined patient populations available for study and treatment may be lower than expected, which could adversely affect our ability to conduct clinical trials and may also adversely affect the size of any market for medicines we may successfully commercialize. Our approach may not result in time savings, higher success rates or reduced costs as we expect it to, and if not, we may not attract collaborators or develop new drugs as quickly or cost effectively as expected and therefore we may not be able to commercialize our approach as originally expected.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 8Delays in clinical testing could result in increased costs to us and delay our ability to generate revenue.
Although we intend to advance our ongoing DRP-guided Phase 2 clinical trial of stenoparib as a treatment for ovarian cancer, being conducted at trial sites in Europe, we are exploring certain clinical trials for other indications, there can be no assurance that the FDA will accept our proposed trial designs. We may experience delays in our clinical trials and we do not know whether planned clinical trials will begin on time, need to be redesigned, enroll patients on time or be completed on schedule, if at all. Clinical trials can be delayed for a variety of reasons, including delays related to: - obtaining regulatory clearance to commence a trial or obtaining regulatory approval to utilize a DRP companion diagnostic in a trial to select and treat patients; - reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective contract research organizations, or CROs, and clinical trial sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and trial sites; - delays in our CRO's schedules relating to testing patients involved in our clinical trials; - obtaining institutional review board, or IRB, approval at each site; - recruiting suitable patients to participate in a trial; - clinical sites deviating from trial protocol or dropping out of a trial; - addressing patient safety concerns that arise during the course of a trial; - having patients complete a trial or return for post-treatment follow-up; - adding a sufficient number of clinical trial sites; or - manufacturing sufficient quantities and quality of a therapeutic candidate for use in clinical trials. We may also experience numerous unforeseen events during, or as a result of, clinical trials that could delay or prevent our ability to receive marketing approval or commercialize our therapeutic candidate, including: - we may receive feedback from regulatory authorities that requires us to modify the design of our clinical trials; - we may not have the ability to test patients for our clinical trials that require a specific genomic or biomarker signature in order to qualify for enrollment; - clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate may produce negative or inconclusive results, and we may decide, or regulators may require us, to conduct additional clinical trials or abandon drug development program; - the number of patients required for clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate may be larger than we anticipate, enrollment in these clinical trials may be slower than we anticipate or participants may drop out of these clinical trials at a higher rate than we anticipate; - our third-party contractors may fail to comply with regulatory requirements or meet their contractual obligations to us in a timely manner, or at all; - the cost of clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate may be greater than we anticipate; - the supply or quality of our therapeutic candidate or other materials necessary to conduct clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate may be insufficient or inadequate; - regulators may revise the requirements for approving our therapeutic candidate, or such requirements may not be as we anticipate; and - any future collaborators that conduct clinical trials may face any of the above issues and may conduct clinical trials in ways they view as advantageous to themselves but that are suboptimal for us. If we are required to conduct additional clinical trials or other testing of our therapeutic candidate beyond those that we currently contemplate, if we are unable to successfully complete clinical trials of our therapeutic candidate or other testing, if the results of these trials or tests are not positive or are only modestly positive or if there are safety concerns, we may: - incur unplanned costs; - be delayed in obtaining marketing approval for stenoparib or not obtain marketing approval at all; - obtain marketing approval in some countries and not in others; - obtain marketing approval for indications or patient populations that are not as broad as intended or desired; - obtain marketing approval with labeling that includes significant use or distribution restrictions or safety warnings, including boxed warnings; - be subject to additional post-marketing testing requirements; or - have the drug removed from the market after obtaining marketing approval. Furthermore, we intend to rely on CROs, cancer research centers and clinical trial sites to ensure the proper and timely conduct of our clinical trials and we intend to have agreements governing their committed activities. They may not perform as required or we may face competition from other clinical trials being conducted by other pharmaceutical companies. We could encounter delays if a clinical trial is suspended or terminated by us, by the Institutional Review Board or IRB of the institutions in which such trials are being conducted, by the Data Safety Monitoring Board, or DSMB, for such trial or by the FDA or other regulatory authorities. Such authorities may impose such a suspension or termination due to a number of factors, including failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with regulatory requirements or our clinical protocols, inspection of the clinical trial operations or trial site by the FDA or other regulatory authorities resulting in the imposition of a clinical hold, unforeseen safety issues or adverse side effects, failure to demonstrate a benefit from using a drug, changes in governmental regulations or administrative actions or lack of adequate funding to continue the clinical trial. Further, conducting clinical trials in foreign countries, as we may do for stenoparib, presents additional risks that may delay completion of our clinical trials. These risks include the failure of enrolled patients in foreign countries to adhere to clinical protocol as a result of differences in healthcare services or cultural customs, managing additional administrative burdens associated with foreign regulatory schemes, as well as political and economic risks relevant to such foreign countries. If we experience delays in the completion of, or termination of, any clinical trial of stenoparib, the commercial prospects of stenoparib will be harmed, and our ability to generate revenues from stenoparib will be delayed. In addition, any delays in completing our clinical trials will increase our costs, slow down stenoparib's development and approval process and jeopardize our ability to commence drug sales and generate revenues. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly. In addition, many of the factors that cause, or lead to, a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of stenoparib.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 9We may depend on enrollment of patients with specific genomic or biomarker signatures, identified through DRP companion diagnostics, in our clinical trials in order for us to continue development of stenoparib. If we are unable to enroll patients with specific genomic or biomarker signatures in our clinical trials, our research, development and commercialization efforts could be adversely affected.
The timely completion of clinical trials in accordance with their protocols depends, among other things, on our ability to enroll a sufficient number of patients with genomic or biomarker signatures we have identified by our DRP companion diagnostics platform, and who remain in the study until its conclusion. We may experience difficulties in patient enrollment in our clinical trials for a variety of reasons. Patient enrollment is affected by many factors including the size and nature of the patient population with the specific genomic or biomarker signature we have identified, the proximity of patients to clinical sites, the eligibility criteria for the trial, the design of the clinical trial, the size of the patient population required for analysis of the trial's primary endpoints, the proximity of patients to study sites, our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators with the appropriate competencies and experience, our ability to obtain and maintain patient consents, the risk that patients enrolled in clinical trials will drop out of the trials before completion, and competing clinical trials and clinicians' and patients' perceptions as to the potential advantages of the drug being studied in relation to other available therapies, including any new drugs that may be approved for the indications we are investigating. We will compete with other pharmaceutical companies for clinical sites, physicians and the limited number of patients who fulfill the stringent requirements for participation in oncology clinical trials. Also, due to the confidential nature of clinical trials, we do not know how many of the eligible patients may be enrolled in competing studies and who are consequently not available to us for our clinical trials. Our clinical trials may be delayed or terminated due to the inability to enroll enough patients. The delay or inability to meet planned patient enrollment may result in increased costs and delay or termination of our trials, which could have a harmful effect on our ability to develop drugs.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 10Smerud Medical Research International and Chosa ApS are responsible for the development of our LiPlaCis in conjunction with our DRP companion diagnostic.
We have out-licensed our LiPlaCis DRP companion diagnostic to Chosa ApS, an affiliate of our long-time CRO partner Smerud Medical Research International, in our efforts to advance the clinical development of this asset. Chosa ApS intends to conduct expanded enrollment of a DRP-guided Phase 2 clinical trial in Europe for LiPlaCis, with the intent of establishing sufficient clinical results to garner the interest of a larger pharmaceutical acquirer or partner to advance the program through Phase 3 clinical trials and, if approved, to market. Although Chosa ApS and SMERUD will be solely responsible for the development of LiPlaCis, we intend to support these clinical trials with our proprietary DRP companion diagnostics and our clinical trial and regulatory expertise, as requested. Under the agreements, we are entitled to receive certain specified milestone payments from Chosa ApS and SMERUD. As a result of these agreements, we rely on Chosa ApS and SMERUD for the further development of LiPlaCis.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 11A Breakthrough Therapy designation by the FDA for stenoparib may not lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process, and it does not increase the likelihood that stenoparib will receive marketing approval.
We may seek a breakthrough therapy designation for stenoparib. A breakthrough therapy is defined as a drug that is intended, alone or in combination with one or more other drugs, to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the drug may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. For drugs and biologics that have been designated as breakthrough therapies, interaction and communication between the FDA and the sponsor of the trial can help to identify the most efficient path for clinical development while minimizing the number of patients placed in ineffective control regimens. Drugs designated as breakthrough therapies by the FDA are also eligible for accelerated approval. Designation as a breakthrough therapy is within the discretion of the FDA. Accordingly, even if we believe stenoparib meets the criteria for designation as a breakthrough therapy, the FDA may disagree and instead determine not to make such designation. Even if we receive Breakthrough Therapy designation, the receipt of such designation for a therapeutic candidate may not result in a faster development process, review or approval compared to drugs considered for approval under conventional FDA procedures and does not assure ultimate approval by the FDA. In addition, even if stenoparib qualifies as a breakthrough therapy, the FDA may later decide that the drug no longer meets the conditions for qualification or decide that the time period for FDA review or approval will not be shortened.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 12We may rely on orphan drug status to commercialize stenoparib, and even if orphan drug status is approved, such approval may not confer marketing exclusivity or other commercial advantages or expected commercial benefits.
We may rely on orphan drug exclusivity for stenoparib. In the U.S., orphan drug designation entitles a party to financial incentives such as opportunities for grant funding towards clinical trial costs, tax advantages and user-fee waivers. In addition, if a drug that has orphan drug designation subsequently receives the first FDA marketing approval for the disease for which it has such designation, the drug is entitled to orphan drug exclusivity. Orphan drug exclusivity in the U.S. provides that the FDA may not approve any other applications, including a full NDA, to market the same drug for the same indication for seven years, and except in limited circumstances the applicable exclusivity period is ten years in Europe. The European exclusivity period can be reduced to six years if a drug no longer meets the criteria for orphan drug designation or if the drug is sufficiently profitable so that market exclusivity is no longer justified. Even if we, or any future collaborators, obtain orphan drug designation for a therapeutic candidate, we, or they, may not be able to obtain or maintain orphan drug exclusivity for that therapeutic candidate. We may not be the first to obtain marketing approval of any therapeutic candidate for which we have obtained orphan drug designation for the orphan-designated indication due to the uncertainties associated with developing pharmaceutical products, and it is possible that another company also holding orphan drug designation for the same therapeutic candidate will receive marketing approval for the same indication before we do. If that were to happen, our applications for that indication may not be approved until the competing company's period of exclusivity expires. In addition, exclusive marketing rights in the U.S. may be limited if we seek approval for an indication broader than the orphan-designated indication or may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if we are unable to assure enough of the drug to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition. Further, even if we, or any future collaborators, obtain orphan drug exclusivity for a drug, that exclusivity may not effectively protect the drug from competition because different drugs with different active moieties may be approved for the same condition. Even after an orphan drug is approved, the FDA can subsequently approve the same drug with the same active moiety for the same condition if the FDA concludes that the later drug is clinically superior in that it is shown to be safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care or the manufacturer of the drug with orphan exclusivity is unable to maintain sufficient drug quantity. Orphan drug designation neither shortens the development time or regulatory review time of a drug nor gives the drug any advantage in the regulatory review or approval process, nor does it prevent competitors from obtaining approval of the same therapeutic candidate as ours for indications other than those in which we have been granted orphan drug designation. On August 3, 2017, the U.S. Congress passed the FDA Reauthorization Act of 2017, or FDARA. FDARA, among other things, codified the FDA's preexisting regulatory interpretation, to require that a drug sponsor demonstrate the clinical superiority of an orphan drug that is otherwise the same as a previously approved drug for the same rare disease to receive orphan drug exclusivity. The new legislation reverses prior precedent holding that the Orphan Drug Act unambiguously requires that the FDA recognize the orphan exclusivity period regardless of a showing of clinical superiority. The FDA may further reevaluate the Orphan Drug Act and its regulations and policies. We do not know if, when or how the FDA may change the orphan drug regulations and policies in the future, and it is uncertain how any changes might affect our business. Depending on what changes the FDA may make to its orphan drug regulations and policies, our business could be adversely impacted. It is unclear how the new Trump administration will impact the scope of the orphan drug exclusivity.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 13We may in the future develop therapeutic candidates in combination with other therapies and that may expose us to additional risks.
We may develop future therapeutic candidates for use in combination with one or more currently approved cancer therapies. Even if any therapeutic candidate we develop was to receive marketing approval or be commercialized for use in combination with other existing therapies, we would continue to be subject to the risks that the FDA or similar foreign regulatory authorities could revoke approval of the therapy used in combination with stenoparib or that safety, efficacy, manufacturing or supply issues could arise with these existing therapies. Combination therapies are commonly used for the treatment of cancer, and we would be subject to similar risks if we develop stenoparib for use in combination with other drugs or for indications other than cancer. This could result in our own products being removed from the market or being less successful commercially. We may also evaluate stenoparib in combination with one or more other cancer therapies that have not yet been approved for marketing by the FDA or similar foreign regulatory authorities. We will not be able to market and sell stenoparib in combination with any such unapproved cancer therapies that do not ultimately obtain marketing approval. If the FDA or similar foreign regulatory authorities do not approve or revoke the approval of these other drugs, or if safety, efficacy, manufacturing or supply issues arise with the drugs we choose to evaluate in combination with stenoparib, we may be unable to obtain approval of or market stenoparib.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 14The development and use of artificial intelligence, or AI, presents risks and challenges that can impact our business including by posing security risks to our confidential information, proprietary information, and personal data and could give rise to legal and/or regulatory actions, damage our reputation or otherwise materially harm our business.
Artificial intelligence, or AI, is increasingly being used in the biopharmaceutical, pharmaceutical, technology, and consumer health industries. We may develop and incorporate AI technology in certain of our products and services. Issues relating to the use of new and evolving technologies such as AI, machine learning, generative AI, and large language models, may cause us to experience perceived or actual brand or reputational harm, technical harm, competitive harm, legal liability, cybersecurity risks, privacy risks, compliance risks, security risks, ethical issues, and new or enhanced governmental or regulatory scrutiny, and we may incur additional costs to resolve such issues. Litigation or government regulation related to the use of AI may also adversely impact our ability to develop and offer products that use AI, as well as increase the cost and complexity of doing so. In addition, uncertainties regarding developing legal and regulatory requirements and standards may require significant resources to modify and maintain business practices to comply with U.S. and non-U.S. laws concerning the use of AI, the nature of which cannot be determined at this time. In addition, the European Union recently passed the Artificial Intelligence Act, whose regulations will be developed over the coming year and, in the U.S., the recent Executive Order concerning artificial intelligence may result in extensive new federal rule-making. Further, market demand and acceptance of AI technologies are uncertain, and we may be unsuccessful in our product development efforts. We plan to develop policies governing the use of AI to help reasonably ensure that such AI is used in a trustworthy manner by our employees, contractors, and authorized agents and that our assets, including intellectual property, competitive information, personal information we may collect or process, and customer information, are protected. Any failure by our personnel, contractors, or other agents to adhere to our established policies could violate confidentiality obligations or applicable laws and regulations, jeopardize our intellectual property rights, cause or contribute to unlawful discrimination, or result in the misuse of personally identifiable information or the injection of malware into our systems, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
- Innovation / R&D - Risk 15Our failure to successfully acquire, develop, and market additional therapeutic candidates could impair our ability to grow.
As part of our growth strategy, we may evaluate, acquire, license, develop and/or market additional therapeutic candidates and technologies. We anticipate these investments will constitute a material portion of our business. However, our internal research capabilities are limited, and we may be dependent upon pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical companies, academic scientists and other researchers to sell or license therapeutic candidates or technologies to us. The success of this strategy depends partly upon our ability to identify, select, and acquire promising pharmaceutical therapeutic candidates for further development together with our proprietary DRP companion diagnostics platform. The process of proposing, negotiating, and implementing a license or acquisition of a therapeutic candidate is lengthy and complex. Other companies, including some with substantially greater financial, marketing and sales resources, may compete with us for the license or acquisition of therapeutic candidates and technologies. We have limited resources to identify and execute the acquisition or in-licensing of potential therapeutic candidates and technologies and to integrate them into our current infrastructure. Moreover, we may devote resources to potential acquisitions or in-licensing opportunities that are never completed, or we may fail to realize the anticipated benefits of such efforts. Furthermore, we may not be able to acquire the rights to additional therapeutic candidates on terms that we find acceptable, or at all. In addition, future acquisitions of intellectual property rights may entail numerous operational and financial risks, including: - exposure to unknown liabilities; - disruption of our business and diversion of our management's and technical personnel's time and attention to develop acquired therapeutic candidates or technologies; - incurrence of substantial debt or dilutive issuances of securities to pay for acquisition costs; - higher than expected acquisition costs; and - increased authorization expenses. Any therapeutic candidate that we acquire may require additional development efforts prior to commercial sale or out-licensing, including extensive clinical testing and approval by the FDA and applicable foreign regulatory authorities. All therapeutic candidates are prone to risks of failure typical of pharmaceutical drug development, including the possibility that a therapeutic candidate will not be shown to be sufficiently safe and effective for approval by regulatory authorities. In addition, we cannot provide assurance that any drugs that we may develop or approved drugs that we may acquire will be manufactured profitably or achieve market acceptance.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.