Axe Compute Inc AI Stock Analysis
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Axe Compute Inc (AGPU) AI Stock Analysis
Axe Compute Inc
(NASDAQ:AGPU)
The score is held back primarily by very weak profitability and still-negative free cash flow despite revenue rebound and improved operating cash flow. Technicals are mixed with negative MACD and price below key mid-term averages. Offsetting these risks, corporate actions (contract extension, debt retirement, portfolio refocus, and capacity expansion) improve longer-term business positioning and governance, but valuation remains hard to justify on earnings due to losses.
Axe Compute Inc (AGPU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $87.78M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 337.18K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.1
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.73
- Revenue Growth
- 204.84%
- EPS Growth
- -591.53%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 14
- Sector
- Technology
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
Axe Compute Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Axe Compute Inc., established in 2002 and formerly known as Predictive Oncology Inc. until its December 2025 renaming, is an enterprise that leverages profound scientific insights and artificial intelligence...
Axe Compute Inc Earnings Call Summary
The call presents a contrast between a weak, transitional Q1 driven by legacy revenue decline, token mark-to-market losses, and higher operating cash use, versus significant forward-looking commercial momentum: a $260 million signed build that will generate roughly $21 million in quarterly revenue when live, a large (>36,000 GPU, $4.3B) advanced pipeline, and a business model that converts deals into owned, amortizable GPU assets. Given management’s emphasis on recent large contract wins, an expanding pipeline and the expectated revenue ramp in subsequent quarters, the positives around future revenue visibility and asset-building appear to materially outweigh the near-term accounting losses and cash burn outlined for Q1.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that the centerpiece April $260M, 36‑month Axe build (2,304 NVIDIA B300s, 4.8 MW, U.S. Tier 3, targeted deployment Q3 2026) should translate into roughly $21M of revenue per quarter for the 36‑month term once live (first installment expected this month; if the cluster launches in month 2 of the next quarter ~2/3 of that quarter’s $21M would be recognized); leadership reiterated a goal of closing roughly $1B of transactions this year and pointed to a pipeline of ~45 advanced prospects representing >36,000 GPUs (≈72% or ~26,000 Blackwell/Grace Blackwell requests) with total contract value >$4.3B and a majority of commitments at 36‑ and 60‑month terms. Other metrics disclosed: $12M of compute transactions closed in February, Q1 revenue of $35k, Q1 net loss of $7.7M (including a $4.3M noncash Aethir mark‑to‑market; underlying operating loss ≈$3.4M), cash down from $10.8M to $6.9M (operating cash use $3.7M), digital asset holdings fair value $20.2M and digital asset receivable $15.4M (vests through Dec 2028: $9.4M current, $5.9M noncurrent), and contract liabilities up to $786k (≈$650k related to Compute Services).
Axe Compute Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financials are mixed: TTM revenue rebounded sharply and operating cash flow turned positive, but profitability is extremely weak (gross margin ~1.6% and net margin roughly -77.7%) and free cash flow remains negative. The balance sheet shows low recent leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04), but strongly negative ROE and historical equity volatility increase risk.
Income Statement
18Very NegativeBalance Sheet
56NeutralCash Flow
40Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.26M | 125.28K | 1.62M | 1.63M | 1.51M | 1.42M |
| Gross Profit | 53.68K | 52.66K | 797.68K | 1.02M | 1.00M | 933.66K |
| EBITDA | -239.79M | -232.17M | -10.16M | -11.28M | -13.95M | -12.13M |
| Net Income | -253.50M | -233.10M | -12.20M | -13.98M | -25.74M | -19.66M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 100.38M | 52.89M | 4.97M | 14.42M | 25.73M | 43.77M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.91M | 10.79M | 734.67K | 8.73M | 22.07M | 28.20M |
| Total Debt | 1.66M | 1.67M | 2.13M | 2.73M | 180.32K | 879.33K |
| Total Liabilities | 66.33M | 5.17M | 5.18M | 6.15M | 3.97M | 3.51M |
| Stockholders Equity | 34.05M | 47.72M | -202.61K | 8.27M | 21.77M | 40.27M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -5.15M | -42.58M | -11.97M | -13.21M | -12.85M | -13.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 11.98M | -9.96M | -11.96M | -13.19M | -12.37M | -12.21M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -50.36M | -31.99M | 22.49K | -302.37K | -475.70K | -10.61M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 59.65M | 52.01M | 3.94M | 148.90K | 6.72M | 50.34M |
Axe Compute Inc Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGPU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.92, below the 50-day MA of 9.92, and above the 200-day MA of 6.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AGPU.
Axe Compute Inc Risk Analysis
Axe Compute Inc disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Axe Compute Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksAxe Compute Inc Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
- AGPU52Neutral
FEMY43Neutral
WOK43Neutral
GCTK38Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% |
| AGPU | 52Neutral | $92.50M | -0.05 | -2273.26% | ― | 204.84% | -591.53% |
| FEMY | 43Neutral | $11.73M | -0.31 | -225.98% | ― | 21.86% | 73.27% |
| WOK | 43Neutral | $5.58M | -0.01 | -18.55% | ― | ― | ― |
| GCTK | 38Underperform | $284.19K | -0.00 | -2135.52% | ― | ― | 99.51% |
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGPU | Axe Compute Inc. | 7.71 | 1.63 | 26.81% | |
| GCTK | Glucotrack, Inc. | 0.22 | -155.78 | -99.86% | |
| FEMY | Femasys, Inc. | 1.42 | -14.51 | -91.08% | |
| WOK | WORK Medical Technology Group LTD | 1.20 | -40898.80 | -100.00% |
Axe Compute Inc Corporate Events
Axe Compute Appoints Guang Yang as Independent Director
PositiveOn November 9, 2026, Axe Compute appointed Guang Yang as an independent Class II director, bringing its Board to five members, a majority of whom were independent, with two vacancies remaining. Yang also became chair of the Audit Committee and was de...
Axe Compute Reconstitutes Board Committees Following Director Departures
NeutralFollowing October 27, 2026, resignations by Charles L. Nuzum, Daniel E. Handley and Gregory S. St. Clair, Axe Compute’s Board had four directors, including three independent directors, and three vacancies. On November 2, 2026, the continuing independ...
Axe Compute Extends Georgia AI Cluster Contract Term
PositiveOn September 30, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. acquired full ownership of Duos Edge AI – GPUaaS, LLC, the special purpose vehicle that holds the Axe Compute AI cluster in Columbus, Georgia, retiring approximately $87.8 million of asset-backed debt and agree...
Axe Compute Completes Helomics Divestiture to DataMEDS AI
PositiveOn September 11, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. entered into a stock purchase agreement to sell its wholly owned Helomics Corporation, an AI-driven cancer diagnostics laboratory, to Health IT firm DataMEDS AI, Inc. in an all-stock transaction that closed the...
Axe Compute Expands AI Data Center Capacity Partnership
PositiveOn August 17, 2026, Axe Compute Inc. announced agreements with Duos Technologies Group for 55 MW of new AI data center capacity across multiple U.S. locations, building on an existing 10 MW deployment in Georgia and representing more than $500 millio...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026