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Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS) AI Stock Analysis

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XERS

Xeris Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:XERS)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:$11.50â–²(9.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/02/26

The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and cash generation (strong operating/free cash flow and high gross margins) and supportive price momentum (clear multi-timeframe uptrend with positive MACD). These positives are tempered by elevated balance-sheet risk (negative equity with meaningful debt) and weak valuation optics from ongoing GAAP losses (negative P/E), despite a generally positive earnings-call outlook with raised/tightened revenue guidance.

Positive Factors
Commercial growth and marginsStrong growth across the commercial portfolio, especially Recorlev, is improving operating leverage and supporting tighter full-year guidance. The combination of rising revenue, high gross margins, and faster adjusted EBITDA growth indicates that the established products can fund continued expansion over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Fragile balance sheetHigh debt combined with negative shareholders’ equity leaves Xeris with a limited capital cushion relative to its obligations. This weakens financial flexibility, increases sensitivity to operating setbacks, and may constrain how much the company can invest in products and development without additional financing.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals (XERS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%XERS+40.78%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.91B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.38M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-107.7
Beta (1Y)
1.10
Revenue Growth
36.33%
EPS Growth
54.68%
Country
US
Employees
435
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, focusing on the development and commercialization of therapeutic solutions for individuals across the fields of endocrinology, neurology, and gastroenterology. Its current portfo...

How the Company Makes Money

Xeris makes money primarily by selling its FDA-approved prescription medicines. Its key revenue stream is net product revenue generated from U.S. sales of Gvoke, Keveyis, and Recorlev, which are distributed through pharmaceutical channels (e.g., whol...

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:28.98%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized strong commercial momentum (notably Recorlev’s 81% YoY growth), improved profitability (86% gross margin, adjusted EBITDA +50% YoY), strategic wins (Keveyis patent protection, retirement of convertible notes) and material pipeline progress for XP-8121 (multiple patents, Phase III planned by year-end). Lowlights were largely manageable: a one-time non-cash GAAP charge of ~$31M, higher near-term SG&A and R&D investments to fund growth and XP-8121, earlier-year softness in Gvoke that has since rebounded, and some remaining timing/enrollment uncertainty around Phase III. Overall, positive commercial execution and balance sheet actions outweigh the near-term charges and increased investment cadence.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong YoY Growth
Total revenue of $92.1M and net product revenue of $91M in Q2 2026, representing year-over-year growth of ~29% (total revenue) and ~34% (net product revenue). First half revenue growth of 33% and company raised the bottom end of full-year 2026 guidance to $385M–$390M (tightened $5M range).

Negative Updates

One-Time GAAP Charge Related to Convertible Notes
A one-time non-cash GAAP re-measurement charge of approximately $31M was recognized in Q2 related to the convertible notes exchange agreement; management noted this does not impact adjusted EBITDA and expects no additional income statement charge in Q3.

Company Guidance

Xeris raised the bottom end of its 2026 total revenue guidance and tightened the range to $385–$390 million (a $5M band), implying roughly 33% growth at the midpoint, backed by strong H1 performance and Q2 results: total revenue $92.1M (up 29% YoY), net product revenue $91M (up 34% YoY), Recorlev $56.8M (up 81% YoY, +$25.3M), Gvoke $22.5M (up ~8% sequentially), and Keveyis $11.7M. Q2 gross margin was ~86% (≈400 bps improvement YoY); Q2 R&D was $10.7M (+$2.6M YoY) and management expects R&D to rise ≈$25M vs. 2025; Q2 SG&A was $61M and full‑year SG&A is now expected to increase ≈$50M vs. 2025 (vs. prior ~$45M guidance). Adjusted EBITDA was $19.3M in Q2 (up $6.7M YoY, >50% growth) and is forecast to increase in absolute dollars for 2026; the company also eliminated $34M of convertible debt (saving ≈$3M annually) while taking a one‑time non‑cash remeasurement charge of ~ $31M in Q2, and expects H2 uplift from Recorlev expansion and seasonal Gvoke demand.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating trends are improving with solid TTM revenue ($335.4M, +6.53%) and very strong gross margin (~83%), and cash metrics are strong (TTM operating cash flow $66.5M; free cash flow $64.9M, +37.47%). Offsetting this, balance-sheet risk is significant (negative equity of -$9.7M with $289.4M debt) and TTM net income remains negative (-$17.2M), keeping overall financial quality below top-tier.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue335.41M291.85M203.07M163.91M110.25M49.59M
Gross Profit279.54M238.43M166.24M135.27M87.61M36.27M
EBITDA16.59M12.71M-13.99M-23.73M-69.31M-113.67M
Net Income-17.16M554.00K-54.84M-62.26M-94.66M-122.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets411.90M383.53M323.06M322.60M344.52M304.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.75M111.04M71.62M72.45M121.97M102.43M
Total Debt289.44M37.76M271.45M229.19M198.06M88.07M
Total Liabilities421.64M369.84M352.68M329.38M299.33M209.13M
Stockholders Equity-9.73M13.69M-29.61M-6.78M45.19M95.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.38M27.93M-37.85M-49.29M-103.42M-96.62M
Operating Cash Flow56.61M28.63M-36.98M-47.02M-102.89M-95.53M
Investing Cash Flow-938.00K-696.00K4.88M-6.00M34.46M97.96M
Financing Cash Flow6.69M11.39M36.17M-1.61M127.47M27.25M

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price10.46

Price Trends

50DMA9.40Positive
100DMA8.78Positive
200DMA7.54Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.28Positive
RSI55.04Neutral
STOCH28.59Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XERS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.46, above the 50-day MA of 9.40, and above the 200-day MA of 7.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XERS.

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Xeris Pharmaceuticals disclosed 83 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xeris Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The Transaction Agreement may be terminated in accordance with its terms and the Transaction may not be completed.Q2, 2021
2.Failure to successfully integrate the businesses of Xeris and Strongbridge in the expected timeframe may adversely affect the combined company’s future results.Q2, 2021
3.We will be subject to business uncertainties while the Transaction, including the Scheme, are pending.Q2, 2021

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

XERS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ADMAADMA79Outperform$2.49B13.2739.59%―8.04%-18.53%
HRMYHRMY77Outperform$2.16B11.1718.55%―24.25%-0.83%
XERSXERS64Neutral$1.89B-107.72-426.33%―36.33%54.68%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
PHVSPHVS51Neutral$2.43B-11.30-61.24%――9.42%
BCRXBCRX49Neutral$2.19B-6.10127.62%―68.72%-737.08%
MNKDMNKD46Neutral$1.20B-28.1778.60%―30.46%-223.84%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%XERSBCRXMNKDADMAHRMYPHVSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
XERS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
XERSXeris Pharmaceuticals10.462.7535.67%
BCRXBioCryst Pharmaceuticals8.241.2117.21%
MNKDMannKind Corporation3.93-1.77-31.05%
ADMAADMA Biologics Inc10.48-3.55-25.30%
HRMYHarmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc.34.413.4711.23%
PHVSPharvaris N.V.34.3312.5357.48%

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Expands Board with New Independent Director

Positive
Nov 2, 2026

On November 2, 2026, Xeris expanded its Board of Directors from eight to nine members and appointed Menassie Taddese as a Class II director, with his term running through the 2029 annual meeting. Taddese also joined the Audit Committee and was determ...

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings

Xeris Pharmaceuticals Files Patent Suits to Protect KEVEYIS

Positive
Oct 14, 2026

On October 13, 2026, Xeris Pharmaceuticals filed two patent infringement lawsuits in the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey against Torrent Pharma-affiliated entities, Cycle Pharmaceuticals, Lemed Pharmacy entities, and Rising Pharma-...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements

Xeris Highlights XP-8121 Strategy and Growth Roadmap

Positive
Sep 9, 2026

On September 9, 2026, Xeris Biopharma hosted an XP‑8121 program overview to outline its strategy for becoming what it calls the next great biopharmaceutical company. Executives highlighted strong commercial performance from Recorlev, Gvoke and...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2026