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World Kinect (WKC) AI Stock Analysis

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WKC

World Kinect

(NYSE:WKC)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:$39.00â–²(11.02% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

Overall score reflects a tug-of-war between weak and volatile profitability (including TTM losses and thin margins) and improving forward-looking signals: bullish technical setup and a strongly positive earnings call with raised adjusted EPS guidance and solid cash generation. Valuation is constrained by the negative P/E, while the dividend provides modest support.

Positive Factors
Improving Earnings OutlookRaised guidance and record quarterly adjusted EPS indicate stronger earnings execution across the refocused portfolio. Combined with 12% consolidated gross profit growth, this provides a more supportive earnings base and could improve internally funded investment capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Loss-Making, Thin-Margin ProfileThe company’s very thin gross margin leaves limited room for operational or market missteps, while the TTM loss shows that revenue scale is not yet translating consistently into profit. Continued earnings volatility weakens confidence in sustainable returns on the capital base.

World Kinect (WKC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%WKC+44.78%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.80B
Dividend Yield
2.45%
Average Volume (3M)
997.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-12.0
Beta (1Y)
0.55
Revenue Growth
21.07%
EPS Growth
62.41%
Country
US
Employees
4,003
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

World Kinect Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

World Kinect Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy management company in the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in three segments: Aviation, Land, and M...

How the Company Makes Money

World Kinect primarily makes money by acting as a marketer and distributor of fuel and related energy solutions, earning margins and fees for arranging supply, managing logistics, and providing complementary services across its Aviation, Marine, and...

World Kinect Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-5.59%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. The company reported record adjusted EPS, double-digit consolidated gross profit growth, a significant marine gross profit increase, more than doubled land operating income, strong cash flow, and higher full-year EPS guidance. The main challenges were lower marine and land volumes, aviation physical inventory margin pressure, higher interest expense and taxes, and expectations for moderating market benefits and sequential declines in marine and land results during the fourth quarter.

Positive Updates

Record Adjusted EPS and Consolidated Gross Profit
Third-quarter adjusted EPS reached a record $0.99, up 83% year-over-year. Consolidated adjusted gross profit was $279 million, up 12% year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Aviation Physical Inventory Margin Pressure
Lower gross profit in the aviation physical inventory business partially offset commercial fuel resale and trip support gains because significant price movements negatively impacted margins during the quarter.

Company Guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2026, Aviation is expected to deliver strong year over year gross profit growth and remain relatively flat compared with the third quarter of 2026; Marine gross profit is expected to remain above the prior year level but declined sequentially; and Land adjusted operating income is expected to remain above the prior year level but declined sequentially driven principally by seasonality. The full year adjusted operating margin target for Land is 30%. Full year adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $3.52 to $3.62 per share, up from $3.20 to $3.40 per share, with approximately $3.02 of adjusted EPS delivered through the third quarter; the outlook continues to reflect a measured view of market conditions for the remainder of the year. The original 2026 adjusted EPS guidance was $2.20 to 2040¢.

World Kinect Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are mixed. The income statement is the main drag (loss-making TTM with very thin gross margin and volatile results), partly offset by a reasonably managed balance sheet (moderate leverage, meaningful equity) and still-positive but weakening operating/free cash flow.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

46Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.69B36.93B42.30B47.91B58.98B31.30B
Gross Profit951.00M534.60M714.70M784.33M522.00M66.10M
EBITDA89.90M-532.00M332.40M323.33M366.10M226.80M
Net Income-165.30M-614.00M67.40M52.90M114.10M73.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.04B5.86B6.73B7.38B8.16B5.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments217.90M193.50M382.90M304.30M298.40M652.20M
Total Debt693.80M697.10M1.06B1.08B1.05B673.60M
Total Liabilities5.75B4.56B4.78B5.43B6.17B4.03B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.30B1.95B1.94B1.98B1.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow46.20M227.30M191.70M14.80M59.90M111.20M
Operating Cash Flow106.00M292.90M259.90M102.40M138.50M150.40M
Investing Cash Flow-117.70M-170.00M64.50M-101.10M-724.90M-58.40M
Financing Cash Flow-278.60M-315.10M-230.60M-152.40M237.30M-113.60M

World Kinect Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price35.13

Price Trends

50DMA35.99Negative
100DMA35.84Negative
200DMA30.81Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.03Positive
RSI40.17Neutral
STOCH17.59Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WKC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.55, below the 50-day MA of 35.99, and above the 200-day MA of 30.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WKC.

World Kinect Risk Analysis

World Kinect disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. World Kinect reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.

  • Finance & Corporate5
  • Tech & Innovation3
  • Legal & Regulatory4
  • Production2
  • Ability to Sell6
  • Macro & Political5
Ability to Sell - Risks related to the company’s ability to sell goods and services

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Inability to adapt to and manage the benefits and risks of artificial intelligence could expose us to liability or put us at a disadvantage.Q4, 2025
2.We are subject to counterparty risk with respect to the bond hedge transactions which serve to mitigate the dilutive impact of our Convertible Notes.Q4, 2023
3.Our operations are subject to business interruptions and casualty losses.Q4, 2023

World Kinect Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

WKC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PSXPSX84Outperform$97.79B8.2240.75%1.94%29.13%755.53%
UGPUGP72Outperform$5.93B9.4220.80%6.96%20.26%31.82%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
SUNSUN64Neutral$12.95B10.5921.79%4.98%135.84%104.10%
WKCWKC62Neutral$1.81B-12.03-13.12%2.45%21.07%62.41%
CLNECLNE60Neutral$403.51M-5.27-13.62%―5.74%63.14%
CAPLCAPL53Neutral$759.27M15.71-55.84%10.36%9.12%3.86%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%WKCCLNEPSXUGPSUNCAPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
WKC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WKCWorld Kinect Corporation35.1310.9945.53%
CLNEClean Energy Fuels1.88-0.34-15.32%
PSXPhillips 66 (PSX)258.68123.1990.93%
UGPUltrapar Participacoes5.431.5941.59%
SUNSunoco LP65.3417.1835.68%
CAPLCrossamerica Partners LP20.271.276.67%

World Kinect Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

World Kinect Announces Leadership Transition and Governance Shift

Positive
Sep 17, 2026

On September 17, 2026, World Kinect Corporation announced that founder and long‑time leader Michael J. Kasbar will step down as Executive Chairman, effective December 31, 2026, while remaining on the Board. The Board appointed veteran director Ken Ba...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026