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Tenable Holdings (TENB) AI Stock Analysis

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TENB

Tenable Holdings

(NASDAQ:TENB)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:$45.00â–²(10.40% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/29/26

TENB scores well overall primarily on improving operating performance and strong, rising free cash flow, reinforced by a very positive earnings update with raised guidance and strong platform adoption. Technicals also support the score given a clear uptrend, though momentum is stretched. The biggest offset is valuation risk from an extremely high P/E, alongside balance-sheet weakness from negative equity and higher debt.

Positive Factors
Recurring RevenueA 95% recurring-revenue mix and 12% growth in current remaining performance obligations provide durable visibility into future sales. This subscription foundation supports retention-led expansion, steadier planning, and resilience as Tenable broadens coverage across customer environments.
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet RiskNegative equity and sharply higher debt weaken financial flexibility even as operating results improve. The capital structure leaves Tenable more sensitive to earnings volatility and refinancing or covenant pressures, while strong cash generation would take time to materially reduce total debt.

Tenable Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.

$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00M$200.00M$250.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

The Americas remain Tenable’s anchor, but EMEA is becoming an increasingly important growth engine, expanding faster over the period and recovering from a brief early-2026 pullback. APAC is smaller yet notably consistent, suggesting a broadening international base rather than dependence on one region. The European postal-service win and FedRAMP High authorization could further support EMEA momentum, while rising Tenable One adoption may improve expansion across geographies. Still, the recent regional volatility reinforces that stronger bookings and platform adoption must translate into sustained revenue acceleration.

Data provided by:The Fly

Tenable Holdings (TENB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%TENB+57.98%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$4.26B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.19M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
283.4
Beta (1Y)
1.25
Revenue Growth
9.53%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
1,995
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Tenable Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tenable Holdings, Inc. is a cybersecurity firm that specializes in providing comprehensive solutions to identify and manage an organization's exposure to cyber risks. Their services extend globally, catering to clients across the Americas, Europe, th...

How the Company Makes Money

Tenable primarily makes money by selling cybersecurity software through recurring subscriptions and related services. Its core revenue stream is subscription revenue from customers licensing access to Tenable’s platforms and products (including cloud...

Tenable Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-16.34%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Highlights significantly outweighed the limited lowlights, with accelerating net dollar expansion, record Tenable One adoption, strong platform conversions, higher profitability, raised full-year guidance, robust Hexa AI usage and multiple competitive wins. The main cautions were that Q4 revenue growth is guided below the Q3 rate and that the business impact of PHP2Shell remains unquantified.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Full-Year Guidance Raised
Third-quarter revenue was $276.4 million, up 9.5% year-over-year and above the high end of the guided range. Tenable raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $1.084 billion to $1.087 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.6% at the midpoint, and expects fourth-quarter revenue of $277 million to $280 million, up 6.9% year-over-year at the midpoint.

Negative Updates

Q4 Revenue Growth Moderates Versus Q3
Fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $277 million to $280 million implies 6.9% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, below the 9.5% year-over-year revenue growth reported for Q3.

Company Guidance

For full year 2026, Tenable raised its guidance range for revenue to $1.084 billion to $1.087 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.6% at the midpoint; non-GAAP operating income to $270 million to $273 million or 25.0% of revenue at the midpoint, which is a year-over-year increase of 310 basis points; non-GAAP net income to $250 million to $253 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 29.4% at the midpoint; and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share to a range of $2.16 to $2.19, representing a year-over-year increase of $0.59 at the midpoint. For Q4, Tenable expects revenue to be in the range of $277 million to $280 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.9% at the midpoint; non-GAAP income from operations to be in the range of $67.1 million to $70.1 million or 24.6% of revenue at the midpoint; non-GAAP net income to be in the range of $63.6 million to $66.6 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 13.6% at the midpoint; and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.56 to $0.58 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of $0.09 at the midpoint. CCB growth will probably tick up slightly in Q4, the 107% expansion rate probably stays, remains intact in Q4, and gross margin will probably remain about there, in the low 80s.

Tenable Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong and improving cash generation (consistently positive and growing free cash flow) and a clear profitability inflection with durable high gross margins are major positives. However, balance-sheet risk is significant: stockholders’ equity is negative in TTM and total debt increased sharply, reducing financial flexibility despite better earnings.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

86Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B999.40M900.02M798.71M683.19M541.13M
Gross Profit833.86M780.47M700.35M615.13M528.40M434.73M
EBITDA110.74M47.44M46.24M-8.95M-44.09M-27.56M
Net Income15.78M-36.12M-36.30M-78.28M-92.22M-46.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.77B1.75B1.74B1.61B1.44B1.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments495.26M402.18M577.19M473.97M567.43M512.29M
Total Debt841.09M465.56M422.31M413.31M423.12M422.09M
Total Liabilities1.80B1.42B1.34B1.26B1.17B1.03B
Stockholders Equity-26.47M326.38M399.95M346.34M270.87M215.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow279.65M254.65M213.23M141.10M112.00M90.20M
Operating Cash Flow289.56M266.75M217.48M149.85M131.15M96.77M
Investing Cash Flow12.95M-174.58M-41.43M-212.62M-128.04M-391.59M
Financing Cash Flow-155.34M-234.09M-79.40M1.25M23.32M397.65M

Tenable Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price40.76

Price Trends

50DMA39.75Positive
100DMA37.88Positive
200DMA29.83Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.55Positive
RSI44.74Neutral
STOCH19.75Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TENB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.59, above the 50-day MA of 39.75, and above the 200-day MA of 29.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TENB.

Tenable Holdings Risk Analysis

Tenable Holdings disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tenable Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We have incorporated and may in the future further incorporate generative and other types of artificial intelligence, or AI, processes, algorithms, and technologies into certain of our products and services. This technology is new and developing, and may generate output that is inaccurate or flawed or may not achieve market acceptance, which could result in operational, financial, regulatory, and reputational harm and other adverse consequences to our business.Q3, 2024
2.We have incorporated and may in the future further incorporate generative and other types of artificial intelligence, or AI, processes, algorithms, and technologies into certain of our products and services. This technology is new and developing, and may generate output that is inaccurate or flawed or may not achieve market acceptance, which could result in operational, financial, regulatory, and reputational harm and other adverse consequences to our business.Q2, 2024
3.We have incorporated and may in the future further incorporate generative and other types of artificial intelligence, or AI, processes, algorithms, and technologies into certain of our products and services. This technology is new and developing, and may generate output that is inaccurate or flawed or may not achieve market acceptance, which could result in operational, financial, regulatory, and reputational harm and other adverse consequences to our business.Q1, 2024

Tenable Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

TENB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
QLYSQLYS81Outperform$6.04B28.6336.47%―11.00%16.10%
CRWDCRWD77Outperform$235.37B6437.781.29%―24.30%―
TENBTENB70Outperform$4.29B283.458.46%―9.53%―
PANWPANW69Neutral$264.18B700.521.68%―24.49%-68.55%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
RPDRPD58Neutral$986.92M70.367.41%―-0.97%-40.36%
VRNSVRNS57Neutral$5.66B-37.08-31.72%―18.07%-30.64%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%TENBPANWQLYSVRNSRPDCRWDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TENB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TENBTenable Holdings40.7614.7056.41%
PANWPalo Alto Networks322.24119.3458.82%
QLYSQualys Inc172.9433.4824.01%
VRNSVaronis Systems48.9415.7747.54%
RPDRapid7 Inc.14.410.957.06%
CRWDCrowdstrike Holdings226.6194.1771.10%

Tenable Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Tenable Holdings Secures New $400 Million Credit Facility

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

On October 13, 2026, Tenable Holdings closed a new $400 million senior secured revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase Bank acting as administrative and collateral agent, featuring a $40 million letter of credit sublimit and a five-year maturit...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Tenable Adds Cloud Security Leader Charlie Bell to Board

Positive
Oct 6, 2026

On October 5, 2026, Tenable’s board expanded from 10 to 11 members and appointed longtime cloud and security executive Charlie Bell as a Class III director, with his term running until the 2027 annual shareholder meeting. Bell, currently an executive...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing

Tenable Holdings Completes Convertible Notes Offering and Buybacks

Positive
Sep 15, 2026

On September 15, 2026, Tenable Holdings, Inc. completed an $800 million private offering of 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, including the full exercise of the purchasers’ option, and put in place an indenture that details conversion triggers...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026