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Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) AI Stock Analysis

SPHR

Sphere Entertainment

(NYSE:SPHR)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$110.00â–²(4.71% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The score is held back primarily by weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD) and limited valuation support (negative P/E and no dividend yield). Financial performance is a relative positive due to the 2026 profitability and cash-flow rebound plus improved leverage, but revenue decline and historical volatility keep the overall score below average.

Positive Factors
DeleveragingMaterial debt reduction improves financial flexibility and lowers the balance-sheet burden supporting Sphere’s venue strategy. A stronger capital structure can provide greater capacity to fund operations, absorb event-related variability, and pursue growth without relying as heavily on additional borrowing.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionA top-line decline is a fundamental concern for a venue-driven business because utilization, event demand, and related guest spending underpin multiple revenue streams. Continued contraction could reduce operating leverage and make it harder for recent margin and earnings improvements to persist.

Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%SPHR+43.77%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.77B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
776.13K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-45.8
Beta (1Y)
1.55
Revenue Growth
17.17%
EPS Growth
-187.98%
Country
US
Employees
2,200
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Entertainment

Sphere Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Sphere Entertainment Co. is a prominent player in the entertainment sector, specializing in orchestrating, staging, and hosting a diverse array of live events. This encompasses musical concerts, family-oriented productions, and unique special occasio...

How the Company Makes Money

Sphere Entertainment primarily generates revenue from operating its Sphere venue through multiple, venue-driven monetization channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) Ticketing and event-related revenue: income from selling tickets to events held at...

Sphere Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, with strong Sphere revenue and adjusted operating income growth, nearly 3.6 million Wizard of Oz tickets sold, expanding sponsorship momentum, progress on Abu Dhabi and National Harbor, and an ambitious global venue pipeline. These positives outweighed declines at MSG Networks, higher expenses, seasonal summer softness and the stated design-related expansion bottleneck.

Positive Updates

Strong Consolidated Quarterly Results
For the June quarter, the company generated total revenues of $313.6 million and adjusted operating income of $50.9 million.

Negative Updates

MSG Networks Revenue and AOI Decline
MSG Networks generated $87.3 million in revenue and $11 million in adjusted operating income, compared with $107.1 million in revenue and $36.5 million in adjusted operating income in the prior-year period.

Company Guidance

Sphere’s Abu Dhabi construction is expected to be completed by the end of 2029, while Sphere at National Harbor could be open in under 4 years, with an agreement for third-party financing expected in the near term in addition to $200 million in state, local and private incentives. Rocky Horror Picture Show at Sphere is expected to debut in 2027, the new version of Wizard of Oz is hoped for sometime in September, and Rocky Horror is expected in March; management estimated 3 to 4 Sphere experiences by the end of ’27, said the company has capacity to develop 5 to 6 spheres simultaneously and that its team could take on another 2, 3, 4 over the coming 1.5 years, with a goal to have 5 spheres opened in 5-plus years and another 5 that are under construction. Management said another expansion announcement is very possible this year and, if not by the end of this year, certainly by the first quarter, while the Exosphere and sponsorship business is expected to remain a true growth driver in the next few quarters as well as into next year, with the company on track in growth for ’26 and good potential of pipeline deals for ’27.

Sphere Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show a meaningful 2026 turnaround (positive net income, strong gross and EBITDA margins) alongside improved leverage and positive operating/free cash flow. Offsetting this, revenue declined (~8% in 2026) and results have been historically volatile, reducing confidence that the recovery is consistently repeatable.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Dec 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.33B1.22B1.03B1.03B573.83M610.05M
Gross Profit724.58M630.07M222.57M479.06M231.62M289.78M
EBITDA548.04M464.17M81.47M-23.86M378.81M-43.05M
Net Income119.82M33.41M-200.65M-200.65M502.77M-194.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.22B4.43B4.79B4.79B4.97B5.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments630.15M521.26M559.76M559.76M131.97M747.31M
Total Debt938.37M961.46M1.52B1.52B1.32B1.09B
Total Liabilities1.97B2.20B2.37B2.37B2.39B3.36B
Stockholders Equity2.25B2.23B2.42B2.42B2.58B1.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow333.50M191.00M-309.41M-309.41M-1.02B-663.88M
Operating Cash Flow373.24M243.35M-19.66M-19.66M153.59M141.34M
Investing Cash Flow8.66M-3.90M-45.18M-45.18M-653.92M-804.16M
Financing Cash Flow-229.30M-233.34M209.73M209.73M85.54M-30.39M

Sphere Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price105.05

Price Trends

50DMA127.93Negative
100DMA141.00Negative
200DMA130.56Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-5.08Negative
RSI37.46Neutral
STOCH44.80Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPHR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 105.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 108.24, below the 50-day MA of 127.93, and below the 200-day MA of 130.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPHR.

Sphere Entertainment Risk Analysis

Sphere Entertainment disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sphere Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Financing AgreementsQ2, 2026
2.Letters of CreditQ2, 2026
3.SphereQ2, 2026

Sphere Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

SPHR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MSGEMSGE76Outperform$3.81B57.125.95%―12.52%82.30%
IMAXIMAX74Outperform$2.78B66.4111.87%―14.79%22.14%
LYVLYV70Outperform$41.92B-161.0473.28%―10.75%-146.20%
CNKCNK66Neutral$4.54B20.8526.76%0.93%4.54%-23.98%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
AMCAMC60Neutral$2.73B-3.0031.43%―6.41%-19.34%
SPHRSPHR48Neutral$3.92B-45.85-3.17%―17.17%-187.98%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%SPHRCNKIMAXLYVAMCMSGEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SPHR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SPHRSphere Entertainment Co.105.0531.6243.06%
CNKCinemark38.5110.0735.40%
IMAXIMAX Corporation50.4916.9350.45%
LYVLive Nation Entertainment178.8744.0832.70%
AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings3.280.7831.20%
MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.79.5034.9678.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026