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ACELYRIN, INC. (SLRN)
NASDAQ:SLRN
US Market

ACELYRIN, INC. (SLRN) AI Stock Analysis

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ACELYRIN, INC.

(NASDAQ:SLRN)

40Underperform
SLRN faces significant financial challenges with no current revenue generation and reliance on external financing. However, the announced merger with Alumis Inc. is a positive strategic development that may improve future prospects. Technical indicators are mixed, and the company's valuation metrics are unattractive due to ongoing losses. Investors should be cautious, considering the high risk associated with the company's current financial situation.
Positive Factors
Efficacy Potential
The Ph3 regimen of 100mg LD + 50mg Q2W could potentially increase drug exposure, possibly boosting its efficacy.
Regimen Flexibility
All patients will be able to receive lonigutamab after 24 weeks through 52 weeks of treatment, allowing for potentially longer-term treatment compared to fixed dose regimens.
Safety Profile
Lonigutamab's safety profile looks promising versus competitors, with no hearing impairment, no hyperglycemia, and no elevation of circulating IGF1.
Negative Factors
Dosing Concerns
Concerns exist on a more frequent dosing interval for lonigutamab versus subQ competition.
Efficacy Uncertainty
Shares are weak post the disclosure on the selection of Q2W for the Ph3 dosing regimen and uncertainty surrounding efficacy expectations for a Ph3 dose not tested in the Ph1b/2 study.
Trial Outcome
Acelyrin recently announced that the PhII/III study evaluating izokibep in uveitis did not meet the trial's primary endpoint of time to treatment failure.

ACELYRIN, INC. (SLRN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

ACELYRIN, INC. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAcelyrin, Inc., a clinical biopharma company, focuses on identifying, acquiring, and accelerating the development and commercialization of transformative medicines. The company's lead product candidate is izokibep, a small protein therapeutic designed to inhibit IL-17A with high potency, which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for use in the treatment of Hidradenitis Suppurativa, Psoriatic Arthritis, and uveitis, as well as in Phase 2 clinical trials for use in the treatment of Axial Spondyloarthritis. It is also developing lonigutamab, a humanized immunoglobulin G1 (IgG1) monoclonal antibody against insulin-like growth factor 1 receptor, which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for use in the treatment of thyroid eye disease; and SLRN-517, a fully human IgG1 monoclonal antibody targeting c-KIT, which is in preclinical stage for use in the treatment of chronic urticaria. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Agoura Hills, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyACELYRIN, INC. generates revenue primarily through the commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company's revenue model is centered around the successful development and sale of its drug candidates. This includes income from product sales once a drug is approved by regulatory bodies and launched in the market. Additionally, ACELYRIN may enter into strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on product sales. These partnerships can significantly contribute to the company's earnings by expanding its reach and accelerating the development and distribution of its therapies.

ACELYRIN, INC. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ACELYRIN, INC. faces significant financial challenges with no revenue and substantial net losses, typical for early-stage biotech firms. The strong cash position provides a buffer, but reliance on external financing poses risks if product development does not progress as planned.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
The company has consistently reported zero revenue over the years, indicating a lack of commercialized products or services. The net losses are substantial, with no gross or net profit margins, highlighting ongoing operational challenges without revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a strong cash position relative to its debt, with a low debt-to-equity ratio due to minimal debt levels. However, negative stockholders' equity in earlier years indicates financial instability and potential risk to investors, though recent improvements are noted.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Negative free cash flow indicates that the company is consuming cash, likely due to its development stage without revenue. Operating cash flows are negative, reflecting high R&D or operational expenses. The reliance on financing activities to support cash needs highlights the potential risk of dilution or debt increases.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.00-115.00K0.000.00
EBIT
-316.26M-422.06M-254.68M-41.79M
EBITDA
-316.26M-381.53M-64.77M-41.84M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-248.23M-381.64M-250.46M-41.84M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
447.88M721.33M326.07M102.24M
Total Assets
491.14M742.69M332.96M102.30M
Total Debt
6.27M1.19M0.000.00
Net Debt
-67.62M-216.90M-278.56M-102.24M
Total Liabilities
32.85M86.35M444.35M144.36M
Stockholders Equity
458.29M656.34M-111.39M-42.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-305.17M-182.00M-61.52M-29.98M
Operating Cash Flow
-303.92M-169.71M-61.52M-4.98M
Investing Cash Flow
154.87M-447.74M-47.87M-25.00M
Financing Cash Flow
5.39M568.44M274.26M124.72M

ACELYRIN, INC. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.36
Price Trends
50DMA
2.48
Negative
100DMA
2.47
Negative
200DMA
3.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
47.94
Neutral
STOCH
53.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLRN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.34, below the 50-day MA of 2.48, and below the 200-day MA of 3.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLRN.

ACELYRIN, INC. Risk Analysis

ACELYRIN, INC. disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACELYRIN, INC. reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ACELYRIN, INC. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$243.38M-41.31%-7.93%
52
Neutral
$5.15B3.56-42.52%2.83%14.56%-0.53%
47
Neutral
$239.47M-33.88%-22.66%
46
Neutral
$253.37M-23.68%14.60%
44
Neutral
$246.62M-33.52%27.92%
40
Underperform
$244.20M-44.54%36.27%
33
Underperform
$236.99M-139.56%-33.79%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SLRN
ACELYRIN, INC.
2.36
-2.33
-49.68%
ATXS
Astria Therapeutics
4.23
-5.48
-56.44%
ITOS
iTeos Therapeutics
6.66
-10.36
-60.87%
AVIR
Atea Pharmaceuticals
2.72
-1.32
-32.67%
CMPX
Compass Therapeutics
1.82
0.26
16.67%
CADL
Candel Therapeutics
4.81
-5.39
-52.84%

ACELYRIN, INC. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 27, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -7.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant progress in pipeline prioritization and financial management, offset by challenges in clinical development decisions and safety considerations.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Reprioritization of Pipeline
The company has refocused its pipeline to prioritize the development of lonigutamab for thyroid eye disease (TED), showing positive proof-of-concept data with rapid improvements noted within 3 weeks.
Successful Financial Management
The company ended the third quarter with $562.4 million in cash. R&D expenses decreased from $74.6 million in Q3 2023 to $31.6 million in Q3 2024, mainly due to reduced clinical activity in certain trials.
Positive End of Phase II Meeting with FDA
The company completed a positive end of Phase II meeting with the FDA for the lonigutamab program, aligning on important elements for the Phase III registrational program.
Manufacturing Commitments Resolved
Resolved outstanding manufacturing commitments for izokibep, resulting in a net expense of $7.2 million, with a $35.7 million credit voucher for future manufacturing services.
Uveitis Program Progress
Completed enrollment for Phase IIb/III uveitis trial, with results expected in December. Potential for significant market opportunity given its orphan disease status.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Clinical Development
The decision to discontinue internal development of izokibep in HS and PSA due to data-driven analysis highlights challenges in clinical prioritization.
Potential Hearing-Related Safety Concerns
The company is focusing on minimizing Cmax to mitigate hearing-related safety liabilities with lonigutamab, indicating potential safety challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Acelyrin, Inc., the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates regarding their pipeline progress and financial position. The focus was on their lead product candidate, lonigutamab, targeting thyroid eye disease (TED), with plans to start a Phase III program in Q1 2025, following alignment with the FDA on dosing strategies that allow treatment up to 52 weeks. The company also highlighted their ongoing Phase IIb/III trial of izokibep for uveitis, with top-line results anticipated in December 2024. Financially, Acelyrin ended the quarter with $562.4 million in cash, projecting a year-end cash position between $435 million and $450 million, providing an operational runway through mid-2027. The company reduced research and development expenses to $31.6 million from $74.6 million a year prior, and general and administrative expenses to $12.3 million from $19.9 million, largely due to decreased clinical activity and stock-based compensation, respectively.

ACELYRIN, INC. Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
ACELYRIN, INC. Amends Merger Agreement with Alumis
Neutral
Apr 21, 2025

On February 6, 2025, ACELYRIN, INC. entered into a merger agreement with Alumis Inc., which was later amended on April 20, 2025. The merger will result in ACELYRIN becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Alumis, with Alumis stockholders owning approximately 52% and ACELYRIN stockholders owning about 48% of the combined company’s common stock. The boards of both companies have unanimously recommended the merger as beneficial for their respective stockholders. A special meeting for ACELYRIN stockholders to vote on the merger is scheduled for May 19, 2025.

Spark’s Take on SLRN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SLRN is a Underperform.

The overall score reflects significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators for ACELYRIN, INC. However, the potential merger and strategic pipeline developments provide some optimism. Investors should be cautious, noting the high-risk nature of the company’s financial position and the need for successful product development.

To see Spark’s full report on SLRN stock, click here.

M&A Transactions
ACELYRIN, INC. Announces Merger with Alumis Inc.
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

On February 6, 2025, ACELYRIN, INC. and Alumis Inc. announced a definitive merger agreement under which ACELYRIN will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Alumis in an all-stock transaction. The merger, unanimously approved by the boards of both companies, is expected to create a late-stage clinical biopharma company focused on developing and commercializing transformative therapies for immune-mediated diseases. The merged entity will operate under the Alumis name with a pro forma cash position of approximately $737 million, providing financial flexibility for future developments. The transaction is anticipated to close in the second quarter of 2025, subject to customary approvals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.