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Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) AI Stock Analysis

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RYAM

Rayonier Advanced Materials

(NYSE:RYAM)

Select Model
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:$7.00▲(7.86% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

RYAM scores in the low-50s primarily due to stressed profitability and still-elevated leverage, partially offset by improved TTM free cash flow. Technicals add pressure given the downtrend and negative momentum, while the earnings call provides some support from improving HPC performance and progress toward positive 2026 free cash flow, tempered by tariffs, Témiscaming carrying costs, and strategic-review uncertainty. Valuation provides limited help because the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses.

Positive Factors
Cellulose Specialties Pricing PowerThe substantial pricing premium indicates that RYAM’s high-purity products are differentiated from commodity cellulose and can capture greater value. Customer reliance on purity, yield, and technical performance may support stronger economics and strategic resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability PressureVery low margins and deep losses show that revenue is not currently translating into adequate operating returns. The deterioration from 2024 to 2025 and the TTM period indicates elevated earnings volatility and a pressured cost structure that could constrain investment and financial flexibility.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by Segment

-$75.00M-$50.00M-$25.00M$0.00$25.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%RYAM+3.84%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$483.66M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
972.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.2
Beta (1Y)
1.47
Revenue Growth
1.62%
EPS Growth
12.68%
Country
US
Employees
2,325
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty

Rayonier Advanced Materials Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. operates as a global supplier of specialty cellulose products, reaching markets across the United States, China, Canada, Japan, Europe, Latin America, and other Asian and international regions. Its operations are stru...

How the Company Makes Money

RYAM primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling cellulose-based products derived from wood. Its core revenue stream is the sale of cellulose specialties (high-purity cellulose), which are typically used by industrial customers as an input mat...

Rayonier Advanced Materials Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-6.08%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 23, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was cautiously positive. RYAM reported meaningful sequential improvements in consolidated results and HPC profitability, highlighted a substantial Cellulose Specialties pricing premium, generated positive year-to-date adjusted free cash flow, and described active strategic-review engagement. However, the company continues to face substantial impairments, commodity-cellulose losses, Témiscaming carrying costs and tariff impacts, below-prior-year Cellulose Specialties volumes, and a delayed strategic-review timeline.

Positive Updates

Improved Third-Quarter Financial Performance
Third-quarter net sales were $383 million, up 2% sequentially and 8% year-over-year. Excluding non-cash impairments in both periods, loss from continuing operations improved to $8 million from $20 million in the second quarter, a 60% sequential improvement. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $52 million from $40 million in the second quarter and $42 million in the prior-year quarter, up $12 million or 30% sequentially.

Negative Updates

Large Net Loss and Non-Cash Impairments
Loss from continuing operations was $229 million in the third quarter, including $221 million of non-cash impairments, primarily related to Témiscaming.

Company Guidance

RYAM expects CS volumes to exit the year at or near a run rate of 100,000 metric tons per quarter; full-year CS volumes are expected to remain below prior year levels, while second half CS volumes are expected to improve compared with the first half. The company’s second-half expectations for HPC remain consistent with its previous outlook, and it is working towards positive free cash flow for 2026, subject to tariff-related cash impacts and Témiscaming’s carrying costs. With Témiscaming production remaining idled, ongoing site carrying costs are estimated at $2 million-$3 million per month. RYAM is targeting a conclusion of the strategic review in Q1 2027 and plans to exit 2026 with momentum.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are mixed and risk-tilted. Profitability has deteriorated sharply with very weak margins and deep TTM losses (income statement score 24), while leverage remains meaningful despite improvement versus 2025 (balance sheet score 46). The main offset is improved TTM cash generation with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow (cash flow score 58), but multi-year cash flow volatility keeps the financial profile fragile.

Income Statement

24Negative

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.50B1.47B1.63B1.64B1.72B1.41B
Gross Profit67.43M118.78M165.58M88.15M123.08M74.72M
EBITDA105.18M136.87M173.69M81.32M176.94M121.82M
Net Income-366.11M-422.50M-39.00M-101.83M-14.92M66.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.76B2.13B2.18B2.35B2.45B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.00M75.39M125.22M75.77M151.80M291.82M
Total Debt771.00M779.02M729.82M777.46M853.13M928.71M
Total Liabilities1.43B1.43B1.41B1.44B1.52B1.63B
Stockholders Equity-35.00M316.56M713.88M746.45M829.31M814.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow81.02M-92.00M95.67M8.60M-69.41M140.01M
Operating Cash Flow98.35M24.00M203.61M136.27M68.81M233.22M
Investing Cash Flow-80.83M-114.00M-107.94M-127.28M-94.17M85.39M
Financing Cash Flow-31.44M30.00M-42.48M-86.95M-73.11M-156.66M

Rayonier Advanced Materials Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price6.49

Price Trends

50DMA7.69Negative
100DMA8.00Negative
200DMA8.65Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.24Negative
RSI50.98Neutral
STOCH68.61Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.89, below the 50-day MA of 7.69, and below the 200-day MA of 8.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RYAM.

Rayonier Advanced Materials Risk Analysis

Rayonier Advanced Materials disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rayonier Advanced Materials reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Rayonier Advanced Materials Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

RYAM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IOSPIOSP72Outperform$1.99B13.9310.42%2.26%4.73%―
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
FFFF61Neutral$246.51M-7.71-19.75%2.59%-7.63%-15.10%
SCLSCL55Neutral$1.61B357.110.36%2.33%10.02%-90.50%
NGVTNGVT51Neutral$2.53B35.79134.01%―-11.62%―
RYAMRYAM51Neutral$483.66M-1.20-207.27%―1.62%12.68%
MTXMTX46Neutral$2.05B-28.71-4.12%0.78%4.76%-19991.67%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%RYAMFFIOSPMTXSCLNGVTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RYAM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials6.490.396.39%
FFFuturefuel5.401.7346.94%
IOSPInnospec79.133.594.75%
MTXMinerals Technologies62.597.0712.74%
SCLStepan Company67.8525.8361.46%
NGVTIngevity63.7115.3131.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026