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Ferrari (RACE) AI Stock Analysis

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RACE

Ferrari

(NYSE:RACE)

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Positive Factors
Best-in-class profitabilityFerrari’s unusually high margins indicate strong pricing power, premium product positioning, and operating leverage. This profitability provides a durable buffer against cost inflation and supports continued investment in new models, brand development, and technology while preserving attractive earnings potential.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverageAlthough leverage has improved from earlier periods, debt remains meaningful for an auto manufacturer and has recently increased. This can constrain financial flexibility, raise financing sensitivity, and reduce the room available for investment or shareholder distributions if demand or operating conditions weaken.

Ferrari Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by GeographyBreaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Ferrari is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.

€0.00€500.00M€1.00B€1.50B€2.00BMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Ferrari’s growth has shifted from an early China bounce to being driven by Rest of EMEA (and a steadily stronger Americas), making Europe the dominant engine of recent revenue gains. Mainland China remains volatile and underperforming versus prior peaks, creating a clear upside risk if Chinese demand doesn’t recover. Italy shows a late, sharp lift—likely model- or event-driven—while Rest of APAC is growing but cyclical. That geographic concentration raises sensitivity to European macro and model cadence rather than broad-based global recovery.

Data provided by:The Fly

Ferrari (RACE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%RACE+3.86%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$74.02B
Dividend Yield
1.01%
Average Volume (3M)
421.53K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
39.5
Beta (1Y)
0.87
Revenue Growth
11.09%
EPS Growth
11.73%
Country
US
Employees
5,743
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Manufacturers

Ferrari Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ferrari N.V., established in Maranello, Italy, in 1947, operates as a prestigious automotive company focused on the design, engineering, manufacturing, and global sales of high-performance luxury sports vehicles. Its diverse product range features st...

Ferrari Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 02, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:4.79%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, supported by double-digit EBIT growth, revenue growth, industrial Free Cash Flow above EUR 565 million, a EUR 219 million net cash position, healthy demand extending into 2028, strong personalization, successful model launches, and raised full-year guidance. The main challenges were foreign-exchange headwinds, lower shipments during model changeover including weaker China-region shipments, and higher depreciation, marketing, and Formula 1-related costs.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Financial Performance
Q3 revenues reached EUR 1.29 billion, EBIT exceeded EUR 560 million and grew double digits, and industrial Free Cash Flow exceeded EUR 565 million. Performance was supported by a strong sports car mix and solid personalization trends.

Negative Updates

Foreign-Exchange Headwind and Negative Hedge Variance
Currency effects reduced revenue growth from almost 10% at constant currency to 7% including the headwind, mainly related to the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen. Ferrari continued to record a negative variance from prior-year hedges and referenced an overall full-year foreign-exchange impact of between EUR 150 million and EUR 200 million.

Company Guidance

Ferrari raised its full-year guidance, with Q4 assumptions including a stronger contribution from personalizations, supported by the higher concentration of special versions planned in the fourth quarter, a further improved U.S. dollar to euro exchange rate compared to Q3, including hedges, and lower Formula 1 costs reflecting the current second position in the championship ranking, while assuming that all four remaining races will be confirmed; volumes were not adjusted, volumes benefit from an easy comp with last year, Q4 year-over-year will increase, ASP is expected to be slightly higher, H2 slightly better compared to H1, and the mix price variance is expected to be slightly better in H2 compared to H1. The personalization assumption started at approximately 20%, is currently above that level, and the last quarter will not make an exception; the Q4 euro-dollar assumption is approximately more than 1.15, blended between spot and hedges, the overall full-year foreign exchange impact is expected to be between EUR 150 million and EUR 200 million, and the company uses a 12-month rolling foreign exchange rate policy with a view to be approximately 70% hedged.

Ferrari Risk Analysis

Ferrari disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ferrari reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Ferrari Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

RACE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IT:SLIT:SL68NeutralEUR 1.32B11.6121.17%2.91%1.88%2.86%
IT:PIRCIT:PIRC64NeutralEUR 7.33B13.408.40%4.83%-0.77%0.46%
IT:YACHTIT:YACHT62NeutralEUR 874.64M10.118.97%4.36%1.16%-3.56%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
IT:PINFIT:PINF48NeutralEUR 78.66M-87.54-3.16%―77.50%89.32%
IT:STLAMIT:STLAM45NeutralEUR 15.64B198.430.30%―-2.15%-525.09%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%50%RACEIT:STLAMIT:PINFIT:PIRCIT:SLIT:YACHTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RACE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RACEFerrari NV422.4013.863.39%
IT:STLAMStellantis N.V.3.97-4.74-54.44%
IT:PINFPininfarina SPA1.000.1416.05%
IT:PIRCPirelli & C. SpA6.700.8213.98%
IT:SLSanlorenzo S.p.A.36.124.3613.73%
IT:YACHTFerretti S.p.A.2.52-0.11-4.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.