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IonQ (IONQ)
NYSE:IONQ
US Market

IonQ (IONQ) AI Stock Analysis

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IonQ

(NYSE:IONQ)

55Neutral
IonQ's strong revenue growth and strategic acquisitions are positive indicators, but challenges with profitability and cash flow weigh heavily. Technical momentum supports a moderate score, yet valuation concerns and ongoing losses are significant risks.
Positive Factors
Commercialization and Partnerships
IonQ reported better than expected revenue and reiterated its revenue guide.
Financial Performance
IonQ strengthened its financial position by raising $373 million, providing a solid foundation to advance its computing and networking initiatives.
Strategic Partnerships
IonQ announced a distributor agreement with Toyota Tsusho, enhancing its visibility and adoption in Japan's tech ecosystem.
Negative Factors
Revenue Guidance
The lack of upside to full-year revenue guidance and specifics on organic growth indicate a slowing in the systems business and a shift of management focus towards other opportunities in quantum.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of quantum interconnect company Lightsynq could suggest that the company now believes its prior strategy in that space may not be as viable as hoped.

IonQ (IONQ) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

IonQ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIonQ, Inc. engages in the development of general-purpose quantum computing systems. It sells access to quantum computers with 20 qubits. The company makes access to its quantum computers through cloud platforms, such as Amazon Web Services' (AWS) Amazon Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum, and Google's Cloud Marketplace, as well as through its cloud service. IonQ, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in College Park, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyIonQ generates revenue primarily through the provision of quantum computing services. The company offers access to its quantum computers on a pay-per-use basis via cloud platforms, including partnerships with major providers such as Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. These collaborations allow IonQ to reach a broader market by integrating its quantum computing solutions into existing cloud ecosystems, thus providing scalable and flexible computing resources to clients. Additionally, IonQ engages in direct partnerships with enterprises across various industries to develop customized quantum solutions, enabling them to tackle specific computational challenges. Revenue is also derived from research grants, collaborations with academic institutions, and government contracts aimed at advancing quantum technology research and development.

IonQ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IonQ's financial performance indicates strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability challenges. Despite a solid equity base and low leverage, the company has substantial net losses and negative cash flows, which need to be addressed for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
40
Negative
IonQ has demonstrated significant revenue growth, with a revenue increase from $2.1 million in 2021 to $43.1 million in 2024. However, the company is experiencing substantial losses, with a net income of -$331.6 million in 2024, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin improved to 52.2% in 2024, showing better cost management, but the net profit margin remains deeply negative.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a stockholders' equity of $383.9 million in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low at 0.046, indicating limited leverage use. However, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, suggesting challenges in generating returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
IonQ's cash flow statement reflects negative operating cash flows, with a free cash flow of -$123.7 million in 2024, indicating cash burn. While the operating cash flow to net income ratio shows consistency in cash flow relative to net losses, the company needs to focus on improving cash generation to support growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
43.07M22.04M11.13M2.10M0.00
Gross Profit
22.48M13.93M8.19M1.06M-143.00K
EBIT
-232.46M-157.75M-85.75M-38.69M-15.73M
EBITDA
-213.80M-147.38M-80.14M-36.14M-14.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-331.65M-157.77M-48.51M-106.19M-15.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
340.29M355.44M355.80M522.47M36.12M
Total Assets
508.39M553.58M597.99M642.03M60.48M
Total Debt
17.73M8.11M4.05M4.21M4.27M
Net Debt
-36.67M-27.56M-40.32M-394.81M-31.85M
Total Liabilities
124.53M68.59M29.78M50.80M6.78M
Stockholders Equity
383.86M484.99M568.21M591.23M53.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-123.67M-98.36M-57.26M-36.56M-23.68M
Operating Cash Flow
-105.68M-78.81M-44.70M-26.54M-12.01M
Investing Cash Flow
82.73M68.77M-309.06M-213.78M-11.68M
Financing Cash Flow
41.69M1.76M1.10M603.23M276.00K

IonQ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.99
Price Trends
50DMA
25.91
Positive
100DMA
31.64
Positive
200DMA
23.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.10
Negative
RSI
68.05
Neutral
STOCH
77.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IONQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.74, above the 50-day MA of 25.91, and above the 200-day MA of 23.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IONQ.

IonQ Risk Analysis

IonQ disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IonQ reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IonQ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$11.59B10.39-7.23%2.94%7.46%-10.76%
56
Neutral
$1.81B-30.47%45.57%-35.70%
55
Neutral
$3.58B-154.89%121.61%-13.50%
55
Neutral
$8.67B-52.11%69.92%-79.18%
51
Neutral
$3.44B-85.28%-28.38%-29.15%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IONQ
IonQ
34.99
26.11
294.03%
QUBT
Quantum Computing
12.87
12.12
1616.00%
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum
13.15
11.84
903.82%
RGTI
Rigetti Computing
11.85
10.72
948.67%

IonQ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant strategic advancements through acquisitions, strong revenue performance, and global partnerships, indicating solid progress in IonQ's growth strategy. However, increased operating expenses and continued net losses present challenges that need to be managed as the company scales.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Acquisitions
IonQ announced the proposed acquisition of Lightsynq, which is expected to accelerate their quantum computing roadmap and quantum internet capabilities. Additionally, IonQ acquired Capella to enhance their space-based quantum communication capabilities.
Revenue Performance
IonQ recognized revenue of $7.6 million for Q1 2025, beating the midpoint of their guidance range.
Partnerships and Global Expansion
IonQ signed MOUs with G-QuAT in Japan and Toyota Tsusho and Intellian in Korea, expanding their global partnerships and presence in quantum networking and computing.
Financial Position
IonQ ended the quarter with nearly $700 million in cash equivalents, indicating a strong financial position to support future growth and investments.
New Commercial Contracts
IonQ sold a Forte Enterprise system to EPB of Chattanooga for $22 million, marking them as the first commercial customer with both a quantum network and computer.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
Total operating costs and expenses for Q1 2025 were $83.2 million, up 38% from the prior year, driven by increased R&D and payroll-related expenses.
Net Loss
IonQ reported a net loss of $32.3 million in Q1 2025, although this was an improvement over the prior year's loss.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
IonQ experienced an adjusted EBITDA loss of $35.8 million for Q1 2025, compared to a $27 million loss in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During IonQ's first quarter 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance emphasizing their strategic focus on revenue targets for the year and the delivery of AQ 64. The company reported first-quarter revenue of $7.6 million and ended with nearly $700 million in cash equivalents. Their adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was $35.8 million, an increase from the previous year, as they continue to invest in R&D and expand their workforce. Revenue guidance for the second quarter is projected between $16 million and $18 million. IonQ highlighted their robust financial position and the strategic acquisitions of Lightsynq and Capella, which are expected to accelerate their quantum computing and networking capabilities, and potentially influence future revenue growth and cost structures.

IonQ Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
IonQ Acquires Controlling Stake in id Quantique
Neutral
May 6, 2025

IonQ, a company involved in the quantum computing industry, has completed its acquisition of a controlling stake in id Quantique SA on April 30, 2025. This transaction involved the issuance of 4,215,740 shares of IonQ’s common stock to the sellers, and a Registration Rights Agreement was established to provide certain rights to the sellers regarding the stock consideration.

Spark’s Take on IONQ Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, IONQ is a Neutral.

IonQ’s overall score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in quantum networking, counterbalanced by significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The company’s strategic acquisitions and new leadership aim to position it as a prominent player in the industry. However, ongoing financial headwinds and a challenged valuation underline the need for improved profitability to enhance shareholder value.

To see Spark’s full report on IONQ stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
IonQ Ends ATM Equity Offering Amid Market Turbulence
Neutral
Mar 11, 2025

On March 10, 2025, IonQ, Inc. announced the termination of its At-the-Market (ATM) equity offering program, which had raised over $372 million through the sale of 16,038,460 shares. The decision to end the program was influenced by recent market disruptions and the company’s assessment that it had secured sufficient capital to meet its needs, boosting its pro forma year-end cash balance to over $700 million. This move reflects IonQ’s strategic positioning to maintain its leadership in the quantum computing and networking sectors, despite turbulent market conditions.

Private Placements and Financing
IonQ Announces $500 Million Equity Offering Program
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

On February 26, 2025, IonQ announced an ‘at the market’ equity offering program, allowing the company to sell up to $500 million in common stock through Morgan Stanley and Needham as sales agents. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including scaling its quantum computing and networking businesses. The sales will depend on market conditions and other factors, with no obligation for IonQ to sell any shares.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
IonQ Announces Acquisition to Boost Quantum Leadership
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

IonQ reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting a significant year-over-year revenue growth of 95%, reaching $43.1 million. The company exceeded its financial guidance and secured $95.6 million in bookings for the year. IonQ also announced a definitive agreement to acquire a controlling stake in ID Quantique SA to bolster its leadership in quantum networking. The acquisition, along with strategic partnerships and expansions, positions IonQ as a prominent player in the global quantum industry, with a robust pipeline expected to drive future growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.