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Hongli Group, Inc.
(NASDAQ:HLP)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(175.59% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/24/26
The score is driven primarily by a recovering but still volatile financial profile (earnings and cash flow rebounded in 2025, but cyclicality and uneven cash conversion persist). Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, though overbought signals raise near-term risk. Valuation is the main drag given the extremely high P/E and no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
Revenue and earnings recovery
The return to positive earnings alongside 17.1% revenue growth shows that the business can recover when operating conditions improve. This strengthens near-term financial capacity and provides a base for reinvestment, although the durability of the recovery still depends on sustaining demand and margins.
Negative Factors
Cyclical earnings and margin durability
The wide earnings swings across recent years indicate meaningful cyclicality and reduce confidence that improved 2025 profitability will persist. Repeated contractions can weaken planning visibility, pressure margins, and make future investment decisions more dependent on industry conditions rather than steady operating progress.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and earnings recovery
The return to positive earnings alongside 17.1% revenue growth shows that the business can recover when operating conditions improve. This strengthens near-term financial capacity and provides a base for reinvestment, although the durability of the recovery still depends on sustaining demand and margins.
Read all positive factors
Hongli Group, Inc. (HLP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$262.33M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)159.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)132.5
Beta (1Y)0.28
Revenue Growth38.96%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees167
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength58
IndustrySteel
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding74,738,750
10 Day Avg. Volume219,153
30 Day Avg. Volume159,902
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.19
Price to Book (P/B)1.32
Price to Sales (P/S)3.90
P/FCF Ratio115.58
Enterprise Value/Market Cap158.93K
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.13M
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.54M
Enterprise Value/Ebitda12.85M
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Hongli Group, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Hongli Group Inc., through its affiliated entities, specializes in the engineering, tailoring, production, and distribution of cold roll-formed steel profiles. These precision components are utilized in a variety of machinery and equipment, with a...
Hongli Group, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 19.60M | 14.11M | 16.00M | 20.28M | 21.71M |
| Gross Profit | 6.38M | 4.52M | 5.25M | 7.01M | 7.65M |
| EBITDA | 3.24M | -463.81K | 2.62M | 4.31M | 4.66M |
| Net Income | 1.94M | -1.88M | 864.72K | 2.93M | 3.20M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 72.19M | 65.01M | 32.13M | 36.16M | 21.85M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.89M | 909.72K | 815.67K | 2.09M | 484.39K |
| Total Debt | 11.52M | 9.38M | 9.11M | 16.53M | 6.48M |
| Total Liabilities | 14.36M | 11.52M | 11.02M | 22.69M | 10.36M |
| Stockholders Equity | 57.83M | 53.49M | 21.11M | 13.47M | 11.49M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 660.82K | -446.54K | 21.13K | -7.04M | 134.98K |
| Operating Cash Flow | 878.27K | -414.03K | 884.92K | 2.49M | 1.14M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.26M | -33.31M | -2.25M | -11.67M | -3.05M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.26M | 33.51M | 382.09K | 10.84M | 983.36K |
Hongli Group, Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
1.27
Price Trends
2.01
Positive
1.45
Positive
1.18
Positive
Market Momentum
0.33
Negative
85.54
Negative
82.71
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.74, below the 50-day MA of 2.01, and above the 200-day MA of 1.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.71 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HLP.
Hongli Group, Inc. Risk Analysis
Hongli Group, Inc. disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hongli Group, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Hongli Group, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $10.43B | 7.12 | -0.05% | 2.87% | 2.86% | -36.73% | |
61 Neutral | $301.71M | 10.89 | 18.07% | 0.38% | 61.80% | 214.07% | |
58 Neutral | $262.33M | 132.45 | 3.43% | ― | 38.96% | ― | |
50 Neutral | $125.59M | -29.66 | -5.25% | 1.54% | -34.20% | -59.08% | |
42 Neutral | $97.07M | -0.93 | -48.12% | ― | -66.17% | -135.27% | |
41 Neutral | $6.28M | -2.35 | -3.47% | ― | -12.79% | -406.58% |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
HLP
Hongli Group, Inc.
3.51
2.05
140.41%
FRD
Friedman Industries
41.83
21.09
101.67%
ACNT
Ascent Industries
13.94
1.73
14.17%
ZKIN
Zk International Group Co
1.34
-0.88
-39.59%
HUDI
Huadi International Group
0.44
-1.00
-69.51%
Hongli Group, Inc. Corporate Events
Hongli Group Appoints Michael W. Zhang as Chairman Amid Strategic Diversification Push
Oct 5, 2026
Effective September 29, 2026, Hongli Group Inc. announced a significant leadership reshuffle at the board level, with former chairman Jie Liu stepping down from that role while remaining chief executive officer. On the same date, director Chenglon...
Hongli Group Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Rule
Aug 12, 2026
Hongli Group Inc., a cold roll formed steel profile manufacturer with extensive operations in China and overseas, announced that it has regained compliance with Nasdaq’s minimum bid price rule for continued listing on the Nasdaq Capital Mark...
Hongli Group Finalizes Dual-Class Share Structure With Amended Cayman Charter
Jul 30, 2026
Hongli Group Inc. reported that its amended and restated memorandum and articles of association have become effective following shareholder approvals granted at an extraordinary general meeting on June 5, 2026. After completing the required filing...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.