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Freddie Mac
(OTC:FMCC)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-30.07% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/16/26
The score is primarily supported by solid TTM profitability and continued revenue growth, but is materially weighed down by clear technical weakness (price below major moving averages with bearish MACD) and higher financial risk signals from historical leverage plus weaker, decelerating free cash flow. Valuation contributes negatively because the negative P/E is not meaningful and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth and Profitability
TTM revenue growth of about 8%, following a multi-year climb, indicates continued expansion in Freddie Mac’s core housing-finance activity. Combined with improved net income, this supports scale, ongoing guarantee activity, and greater capacity to absorb or reinvest through the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Structural Leverage
Although TTM reported debt-to-equity is about 0.23, the annual record shows ratios of roughly 48x to 106x from 2021–2025. That history signals a structurally leveraged model with sensitivity to funding and market conditions, potentially constraining resilience during stress.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth and Profitability
TTM revenue growth of about 8%, following a multi-year climb, indicates continued expansion in Freddie Mac’s core housing-finance activity. Combined with improved net income, this supports scale, ongoing guarantee activity, and greater capacity to absorb or reinvest through the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Freddie Mac (FMCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.39B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.16M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.98
Revenue Growth5.94%
EPS Growth85.02%
CountryUS
Employees7,334
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Mortgages
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)>-0.01
Shares Outstanding650,059,600
10 Day Avg. Volume3,159,202
30 Day Avg. Volume2,161,365
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.25
Price to Book (P/B)0.47
Price to Sales (P/S)0.25
P/FCF Ratio1.69
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.47K
Enterprise Value/Revenue26.08
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit26.08
Enterprise Value/Ebitda27.30
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$8.17Price Target Upside42.77% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)4.07
Revenue Forecast (FY)$24.65B
Freddie Mac Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, commonly known as Freddie Mac, is a key participant in the United States' secondary mortgage market. Its primary activities involve acquiring residential mortgage loans, encompassing both single-family homes...
How the Company Makes Money
Freddie Mac primarily makes money through two major business activities: (1) guaranteeing credit risk on mortgage-backed securities it issues or guarantees and (2) earning returns on investments in mortgage-related assets.
1) Net interest income ...
Freddie Mac Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2024
(Q3-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Freddie Mac's Q3 2024 earnings call presented strong financial growth and effective execution of its mission to support affordable housing, despite minor increases in delinquency rates and decreased noninterest income due to lower investment gains.Positive Updates
Strong Net Income Growth
Freddie Mac reported a net income of $3.1 billion for Q3 2024, representing a 16% increase year-over-year, driven by higher net revenues and lower noninterest expenses.
Negative Updates
Slight Increase in Delinquency Rates
The single-family serious delinquency rate increased by 4 basis points to 54 basis points. The multifamily delinquency rate increased by 1 basis point to 39 basis points.
Read all updates
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Net Income Growth
Freddie Mac reported a net income of $3.1 billion for Q3 2024, representing a 16% increase year-over-year, driven by higher net revenues and lower noninterest expenses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2024, Freddie Mac reported robust financial performance, earning $3.1 billion, which marked a 16% year-over-year increase in net income. The company's net worth rose to $56 billion, supported by net revenues of $5.8 billion, up 3% from the previous year. This growth was driven by a 5% increase in net interest income, attributed to lower debt-related expenses and mortgage portfolio expansion, which reached $3.5 trillion. The single-family segment reported $2.6 billion in net income, with a 2% portfolio increase, while the multifamily segment achieved a 47% rise in net income, largely due to a credit reserve release. Freddie Mac continued its commitment to affordable housing, with 51% of home purchases supporting first-time buyers and 68% of financed multifamily units affordable to low-income families. Additionally, the company made strides in sustainability, introducing minimum lease standards for multifamily properties and offering forbearance options for homeowners affected by natural disasters.Freddie Mac Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 134.97B | 132.56B | 120.27B | 107.66B | 81.34B | 62.24B |
| Gross Profit | 134.97B | 132.56B | 120.27B | 107.66B | 81.34B | 62.24B |
| EBITDA | 128.94B | 122.91B | 112.92B | 100.02B | 77.06B | 59.15B |
| Net Income | 12.95B | 10.73B | 11.86B | 10.54B | 9.33B | 12.11B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.52T | 3.50T | 3.39T | 3.28T | 3.21T | 3.03T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 88.66B | 90.74B | 61.30B | 5.04B | 12.19B | 12.47B |
| Total Debt | 3.42T | 3.41T | 3.30T | 3.21T | 3.16T | 2.98T |
| Total Liabilities | 3.44T | 3.43T | 3.33T | 3.23T | 3.17T | 3.00T |
| Stockholders Equity | 77.77B | 70.38B | 59.58B | 47.72B | 37.02B | 28.03B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 14.28B | 19.37B | 6.63B | 7.62B | 11.93B | 16.35B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 14.28B | 19.37B | 6.63B | 7.62B | 11.93B | 16.35B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 44.01B | 4.74B | 9.62B | 44.25B | 11.40B | 24.25B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -58.24B | -24.32B | -16.74B | -52.21B | -27.11B | -54.34B |
Freddie Mac Technical Analysis
Negative
5.72
Price Trends
4.94
Negative
5.42
Negative
6.26
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.39
Positive
25.36
Positive
16.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FMCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.18, above the 50-day MA of 4.94, and below the 200-day MA of 6.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.36 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FMCC.
Freddie Mac Risk Analysis
Freddie Mac disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Freddie Mac reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Freddie Mac Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
56 Neutral | $32.51B | 73.40 | 2.40% | 5.58% | 95.19% | ― | |
55 Neutral | $3.11B | 7.91 | 9.14% | 2.00% | 24.08% | 0.60% | |
54 Neutral | $2.39B | -994.59 | 17.88% | ― | 5.94% | 85.02% | |
46 Neutral | $1.13B | 28.37 | 2.33% | 8.21% | 9.22% | -65.41% | |
46 Neutral | $1.74B | -13.48 | -20.07% | 37.04% | 11.65% | -440.08% | |
41 Neutral | $190.31M | -1.86 | -30.86% | 23.07% | 17.11% | 9.17% |
* Financial Sector Average
FMCC
Freddie Mac
3.68
-7.20
-66.18%
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Freddie Mac Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Freddie Mac appoints new chief risk officer leadership
Neutral
Oct 2, 2026
Effective October 1, 2026, Freddie Mac ended the employment of Anil Hinduja, who had been serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer. On the same date, John Glessner, previously Executive Vice President of Investments and Capital M...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.