Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.21B
• Dividend Yield: 1.23%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.57M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.69
• Revenue Growth: 24.07%
• EPS Growth: 27.40%
• Country: US
• Employees: 19,203
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 91
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.47
• Shares Outstanding: 136,948,060
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,765,810
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,573,260
• PEG Ratio: 1.61
• Price to Book (P/B): 6.84
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.01
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.89
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.37
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 10.71
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 3.59
• 1Y Price Target: $108.78
• Price Target Upside: -7.92% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11

Expeditors International's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive corporate events, balanced by neutral technical indicators. The company's efficient cost management and conservative leverage are key strengths, though recent revenue growth deceleration is a concern. Fair valuation and strategic leadership changes provide potential for future improvement.

Positive Factors

Cost Management

The company demonstrated strong cost control on purchased transportation and other expenses, contributing to higher-than-expected results.

Financial Performance

Expeditors International posted 1Q25 EPS of $1.47, up 26% year-year, above analyst and market estimates.

Revenue Growth

Gross Revenues were $2.67 billion, up 21% year-year, $247 million above the analyst's target.

Negative Factors

Demand Weakness

Customs brokerage strength should help somewhat offset overall demand weakness driven by tariffs.

Future Performance Uncertainty

The sustainability of the strong results in the recent quarters is uncertain, and estimates for future performance remain largely unchanged.

Import Volume Decline

Since the end of March they are seeing early signs that 'China to U.S. volumes are declining significantly.'

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management; customs brokerage, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services; and customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation services, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other supply chain solutions. It also provides optimization, trade compliance, consulting, cargo security, and solutions. In addition, it acts as a freight consolidator or as an agent for the airline, which carries the shipment. Further, the company provides ancillary services that include preparation of shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance services, negotiation of letters of credit, and the preparation of documentation to comply with local export laws. Its customers include retailing and wholesaling, electronics, technology, and industrial and manufacturing companies. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

How the Company Makes Money

Expeditors International generates revenue through its comprehensive logistics services, primarily in three key areas: airfreight services, ocean freight services, and customs brokerage and other services. The company's revenue model is based on the fees charged for arranging and managing the transportation of goods via air and sea, leveraging its global network of carriers and partners to provide cost-effective shipping solutions. Additionally, Expeditors earns income from customs brokerage fees, which involve managing the complexities of international trade regulations and ensuring the smooth clearance of goods through customs. The company also offers distribution and warehousing services, contributing to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with carriers, shippers, and technology providers enhance Expeditors' service offerings and operational efficiency, further supporting its financial performance.

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Expeditors International demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability margins, low leverage, and strong cash flow generation. Despite revenue growth challenges, the company maintains stability through effective cost management and a solid balance sheet.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 38.1% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin of 7.6% is stable, though showing a decrease from prior years due to revenue contraction. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 9.8% and 10.5%, respectively, reflecting good operating efficiency despite revenue pressures. Revenue growth has been challenging, with a significant decline from 2022 to 2023, but recent TTM figures suggest stabilization.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The equity ratio of 46.8% is strong, showcasing a solid base of equity financing. However, return on equity is moderate at 36.4% for TTM, reflecting pressure on profitability. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with low risk of financial distress.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.89, indicating effective cash conversion. Free cash flow generation remains robust with a modest decline year-over-year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.84, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash relative to earnings. This strong cash flow profile supports ongoing operations and potential investments despite revenue challenges.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
10.60B	9.30B	17.07B	16.52B	9.58B
	Gross Profit
1.35B	1.25B	2.17B	2.17B	1.16B
	EBIT
1.04B	939.93M	1.82B	1.91B	940.44M
	EBITDA
1.10B	1.01B	1.88B	1.98B	1.01B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
810.07M	752.88M	1.36B	1.42B	696.14M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.15B	1.51B	2.03B	1.73B	1.53B
	Total Assets
4.88B	4.62B	5.59B	7.61B	4.93B
	Total Debt
568.94M	527.73M	518.47M	467.66M	438.19M
	Net Debt
-579.38M	-985.15M	-1.52B	-1.26B	-1.09B
	Total Liabilities
2.53B	2.13B	2.48B	4.11B	2.26B
	Stockholders Equity
2.22B	2.39B	3.11B	3.49B	2.66B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
682.89M	1.01B	2.04B	832.25M	607.47M
	Operating Cash Flow
723.36M	1.05B	2.13B	868.49M	655.01M
	Investing Cash Flow
-40.52M	-39.43M	-87.71M	-36.65M	-46.03M
	Financing Cash Flow
-1.03B	-1.54B	-1.68B	-613.55M	-331.54M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 118.14
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.27, above the 50-day MA of 113.03, and above the 200-day MA of 116.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ZTO	76 Outperform	$15.04B	12.56	14.46%	3.64%	12.67%	-0.32%
EXPD	71 Outperform	$16.21B	19.65	37.70%	1.23%	24.07%	27.40%
CHRW	70 Outperform	$11.88B	23.96	32.11%	2.46%	-0.22%	65.52%
LSTR	69 Neutral	$5.04B	28.77	18.34%	0.97%	-4.72%	-22.46%
JBHT	68 Neutral	$14.69B	26.88	13.97%	1.17%	-3.82%	-12.80%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$4.43B	12.01	5.16%	249.23%	4.03%	-11.73%
XPO	64 Neutral	$15.09B	39.42	26.24%	―	1.94%	60.91%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Expeditors International Appoints Dan Wall as New CEO

Expeditors International is undergoing a leadership transition with Dan Wall taking over as CEO, continuing its strategic focus on growth and customer acquisition globally. The company is navigating a challenging trade environment with declining China-U.S. trade volumes and increasing operational costs, but remains optimistic about long-term trade flow and is investing in technology and cybersecurity to enhance its services.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPD) stock is a Sell with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expeditors International stock, see the EXPD Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on EXPD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EXPD is a Outperform.

Expeditors International’s overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive corporate events, balanced by neutral technical indicators. The company’s efficient cost management and conservative leverage are key strengths, though recent revenue growth deceleration is a concern. Fair valuation and strategic leadership changes provide potential for future improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on EXPD stock, click here.

Expeditors International Shareholders Approve Key Decisions

At the annual meeting on May 6, 2025, Expeditors International shareholders elected nine directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Spark’s Take on EXPD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EXPD is a Outperform.

Expeditors International exhibits strong financial health with robust cash flow and low leverage, positioning it well despite revenue growth challenges. The stock’s technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum, but recent leadership changes and a fair valuation provide potential for future improvement. Overall, the stock is moderately positioned within its industry.

To see Spark’s full report on EXPD stock, click here.

Expeditors International Declares Semi-Annual Dividend

On May 6, 2025, Expeditors International announced a semi-annual cash dividend of $0.77 per share, declared by its Board of Directors on May 5, 2025. This dividend will be payable on June 16, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 2, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning and stakeholder relations.

Spark’s Take on EXPD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EXPD is a Outperform.

Expeditors International shows strong financial performance with robust cash flow and low leverage, providing stability despite revenue growth challenges. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, but the fair valuation and positive corporate events, such as the appointment of new leadership, offer potential for future improvement. Overall, the stock is moderately positioned within its industry.

To see Spark’s full report on EXPD stock, click here.

Expeditors International Finalizes CEO Employment Agreement

On April 30, 2025, Expeditors International finalized an employment agreement with its CEO, Daniel R. Wall, effective April 1, 2025. The agreement outlines Mr. Wall’s compensation, including a base salary and potential incentives, and includes provisions for severance and non-compete clauses, indicating a strategic focus on leadership stability.

Spark’s Take on EXPD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EXPD is a Outperform.

Expeditors International shows strong financial performance with robust cash flow and low leverage, providing stability despite revenue growth challenges. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, but the fair valuation and positive corporate events, such as the appointment of new leadership, offer potential for future improvement. Overall, the stock is moderately positioned within its industry.

To see Spark’s full report on EXPD stock, click here.

Expeditors International Appoints New President of Global Products

On April 21, 2025, Expeditors International announced the appointment of Robert A. Martinez as the new President of Global Products, effective June 1, 2025. Martinez, who has been with the company since 2003, has held various leadership roles, most recently serving as Senior Vice President of The Americas. This leadership change is expected to strengthen Expeditors’ global product strategy and enhance its competitive positioning in the logistics industry.

Spark’s Take on EXPD Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, EXPD is a Outperform.

Expeditors International showcases strong financial performance with robust cash flow and low leverage, countering some revenue growth challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, but valuation remains fair. The recent leadership change is a positive strategic move, potentially boosting future performance. Overall, the stock is positioned moderately well within its industry.

To see Spark’s full report on EXPD stock, click here.

Expeditors International Appoints Kelly Blacker as New President

On March 19, 2025, Expeditors International announced the appointment of Kelly K. Blacker as the new President – Global Geographies, effective April 1, 2025. Ms. Blacker, who has been with the company since 1994, has held various leadership roles, including President – Global Products. Her extensive experience within the company is expected to strengthen Expeditors’ operational capabilities and enhance its strategic positioning in the global logistics market.