CSX (CSX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $58.63B
• Dividend Yield: 1.56%
• Average Volume (3M): 16.71M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.7
• Beta (1Y): 0.78
• Revenue Growth: -2.39%
• EPS Growth: -7.80%
• Country: US
• Employees: 23,400
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 91
• Industry: Railroads
• EPS (TTM): 0.34
• Shares Outstanding: 1,878,545,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 13,451,363
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 16,705,526
• PEG Ratio: -2.52
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.46
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 20.04
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.24
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.25
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 14.38
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.59
• 1Y Price Target: $32.53
• Price Target Upside: 4.23% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 20

CSX demonstrates strong financial health and profitability, supported by efficient cash flow management. However, the company faces challenges with revenue growth and operational issues highlighted in the latest earnings call, which negatively impact sentiment. The stock shows mixed technical signals with some bullish momentum but overbought conditions, and its valuation appears fair with a moderate P/E ratio. Overall, CSX is a stable performer but needs to address growth and operational hurdles to enhance its stock potential.

Positive Factors

Labor Relations

CSX and the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers & Trainmen agreed to a new 5-year tentative agreement covering approximately 3,400 locomotive engineers.

Long-term Growth

CSX is expected to achieve its three-year EPS CAGR target as infrastructure projects are completed and service improves.

Valuation

Analyst reiterates a Buy rating on CSX due to attractive relative valuation, with shares trading below the peer average.

Negative Factors

Earnings Performance

CSX reported a headline 7% earnings miss as weather, mix, and service challenges from network outages negatively impacted the quarter.

Market Visibility

Company sees comps getting easier in the second half, but sounded less confident in profit growth in the back half of the year due to limited visibility to volume trends.

Operational Challenges

CSX faced a tough first quarter, with severe winter weather, flooding, and yard congestion disrupting operations—compounded by infrastructure projects.

CSX Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services. The company offers rail services; and transportation of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. It transports chemicals, agricultural and food products, automotive, minerals, forest products, fertilizers, and metals and equipment; and coal, coke, and iron ore to electricity-generating power plants, steel manufacturers, and industrial plants, as well as exports coal to deep-water port facilities. The company also offers intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 30 terminals transporting manufactured consumer goods in containers; and drayage services, including the pickup and delivery of intermodal shipments. It serves the automotive industry with distribution centers and storage locations, as well as connects non-rail served customers through transferring products, such as plastics and ethanol from rail to trucks. The company operates approximately 19,500 route mile rail network, which serves various population centers in 23 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, as well as owns and leases approximately 3,500 locomotives. It also serves production and distribution facilities through track connections. CSX Corporation was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.

How the Company Makes Money

CSX makes money primarily through the transportation of freight via its extensive rail network. The company's revenue streams are diversified across various industries, with significant contributions from sectors such as coal, intermodal (the transportation of shipping containers and truck trailers), chemicals, automotive, and agricultural products. CSX charges customers for the transportation of goods, leveraging its rail infrastructure to offer cost-effective and efficient logistics solutions. Additionally, the company may generate revenue through partnerships with other transportation providers and logistics services, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. Key factors contributing to CSX's earnings include its operational efficiency, strategic pricing, and investments in technology and infrastructure to improve service reliability and network capacity.

CSX Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CSX displays solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. While the company has maintained a stable balance sheet and high returns on equity, addressing revenue growth could enhance future performance.

Income Statement

CSX has maintained strong profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 35.3% and EBIT Margin of 34.5% in TTM. The Net Profit Margin is also robust at 22.7%. However, there's a slight decline in revenue over the past year, indicating a need to address top-line growth.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits a solid balance sheet with a low Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.09, reflecting prudent financial leverage. The Return on Equity is impressive at 26.6%, indicating efficient equity utilization. However, the Equity Ratio of 28.2% shows limited asset funding through equity, which could be a concern if liabilities rise.

Cash Flow

CSX demonstrates strong cash flow management with a high Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.67 and a positive Free Cash Flow of $2.69 billion in TTM. The company's ability to convert net income into cash effectively supports its financial health.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
14.28B	14.54B	14.66B	14.85B	12.52B	10.58B
	Gross Profit
5.04B	5.34B	5.67B	5.79B	5.14B	4.36B
	EBIT
4.93B	5.25B	5.56B	6.02B	5.59B	4.36B
	EBITDA
6.72B	7.07B	7.34B	7.39B	6.65B	5.76B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
3.24B	3.47B	3.71B	4.17B	3.78B	2.77B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.15B	1.00B	1.44B	2.09B	2.32B	3.13B
	Total Assets
43.20B	42.76B	42.41B	41.91B	40.53B	39.79B
	Total Debt
19.61B	18.99B	19.09B	18.05B	16.37B	16.70B
	Net Debt
18.48B	18.06B	17.74B	16.09B	14.13B	13.58B
	Total Liabilities
31.02B	30.26B	30.27B	29.29B	27.03B	26.68B
	Stockholders Equity
12.18B	12.51B	12.13B	12.63B	13.50B	13.11B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
2.69B	2.72B	3.27B	3.49B	3.31B	2.64B
	Operating Cash Flow
5.42B	5.25B	5.55B	5.62B	5.10B	4.26B
	Investing Cash Flow
-2.75B	-2.60B	-2.29B	-2.13B	-1.88B	-649.00M
	Financing Cash Flow
-3.01B	-3.06B	-3.87B	-3.77B	-4.11B	-1.44B

CSX Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 31.21
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 31.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.02, above the 50-day MA of 28.97, and below the 200-day MA of 32.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.67 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CSX.

CSX Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
FDX	80 Outperform	$54.99B	14.41	14.74%	2.40%	0.34%	-8.45%
NSC	75 Outperform	$55.48B	16.81	24.52%	2.19%	0.70%	135.08%
ODFL	74 Outperform	$36.20B	32.11	26.59%	0.62%	-2.63%	-6.12%
CSX	73 Outperform	$58.63B	18.66	26.13%	1.56%	-2.39%	-7.80%
UPS	71 Outperform	$85.80B	14.78	35.96%	6.44%	1.30%	-0.76%
JBHT	68 Neutral	$14.69B	26.88	13.97%	1.17%	-3.82%	-12.80%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$4.44B	11.99	5.16%	249.23%	4.01%	-11.87%

CSX Corporate Events

CSX Elects Board and Approves Executive Compensation

On May 7, 2025, CSX Corporation held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where twelve directors were elected to the board. Additionally, shareholders ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and approved, on a non-binding basis, the compensation of CSX’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (CSX) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CSX stock, see the CSX Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on CSX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CSX is a Outperform.

CSX demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability and cash flow management. However, recent earnings challenges, revenue decline, and bearish technical indicators weigh on the stock. The moderate valuation and positive corporate governance changes provide a balanced outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on CSX stock, click here.