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Creative Media (CMCT) AI Stock Analysis

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CMCT

Creative Media

(NASDAQ:CMCT)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$3.00â–¼(-7.41% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

CMCT scores low primarily due to weak financial performance: significant ongoing losses, negative operating/free cash flow, and high leverage raise risk for an office-exposed REIT. Technicals add some support given strong recent momentum, and the earnings call points to improving underlying operations and potential FFO improvement, but negative FFO and refinancing/asset uncertainty (notably Oakland) keep the overall score constrained.

Positive Factors
Multifamily occupancy and NOI recoveryThe sharp improvement in multifamily occupancy and NOI indicates stronger asset-level execution and demand across a growing portfolio. High occupancy supports recurring rental income, while rents below asking levels may provide additional embedded upside as leases renew over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High and rising leverageThe substantial increase in leverage has reduced financial flexibility and increased sensitivity to refinancing costs and asset values. A debt load materially above the equity base can constrain investment, amplify earnings volatility, and make balance-sheet repair more important over the next several quarters.

Creative Media (CMCT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%CMCT-99.44%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$8.28M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
569.46K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.0
Beta (1Y)
3.91
Revenue Growth
-3.82%
EPS Growth
90.89%
Country
US
Employees
5
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Office

Creative Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Creative Media & Community Trust Corporation (CMCT) is a real estate investment trust. It owns, operates and develops premier multifamily and creative office assets in vibrant communities throughout the United States. CMCT is a leader in creative off...

How the Company Makes Money

CMCT primarily makes money from (1) rental income generated by leasing space in its owned properties to commercial tenants, and (2) other property-level income customary for retail/mixed-use real estate (e.g., reimbursements/expense recoveries from t...

Creative Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-36.35%|Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed clear operational improvements — notably a strong multifamily recovery (high occupancy and a 238% multifamily NOI increase), improving hotel performance after renovations, higher leased office occupancy outside Oakland, and meaningful improvements in FFO/Core FFO driven by reduced preferred dividends. However, results were tempered by significant noncash losses from unconsolidated entities (~$2.8 million), an Office NOI decline driven by JV fair value adjustments, ongoing negative FFO/Core FFO (though improved), and refinancing uncertainty at the Oakland office. Management emphasized balance sheet strengthening and active refinancing/asset-sale strategies to close valuation gaps.

Positive Updates

Multifamily Recovery and Major NOI Gain
Multifamily same-store occupancy reached 95.3% as of June 30, 2026 (management also cited 96.1% at company properties), up ~1,190–1,200 basis points year-over-year; multifamily NOI increased 238% year-over-year. In-place rents at Bay Area multifamily properties are ~12% below current asking rents, providing upside as leases roll to market.

Negative Updates

Increased Loss from Unconsolidated Entities
Loss from unconsolidated entities was $3.2 million in Q2 2026 versus $437,000 in Q2 2025 — an increase of ~$2.8 million — primarily driven by fair value adjustments and large noncash items, which materially depressed reported Segment NOI and overall results.

Company Guidance

Management's guidance was that they expect FFO to improve in 2026–2027 as operating trends strengthen across multifamily, office and hotel assets: excluding a $2.8M increase in JV losses consolidated NOI rose 22% YoY and core FFO improved by $3.6M. Q2 segment NOI was $9.3M (or $12.5M excluding loss from unconsolidated entities) versus $9.8M a year ago (or $10.3M ex‑loss); loss from unconsolidated entities was $3.2M (vs $0.437M). Reported FFO was negative $3.5M (‑$1.28/diluted share) and Core FFO negative $3.4M (‑$1.25/share), aided by a $4.3M reduction in preferred dividends and $0.8M lower transaction costs. Multifamily strength was highlighted: same‑store occupancy 95.3% (up 1,190 bps), CMCT multifamily occupancy ~96.1% (up >1,200 bps), multifamily segment occupancy 93.6% (vs 83.4% a year ago), multifamily NOI +238% (segment NOI $638k vs $189k) and in‑place rents ~12% below asking. Office leasing improved (≈16,000 sq ft executed; leased occupancy ex‑Oakland 84.4%, up 470 bps) though office NOI fell to $4.0M from $5.5M largely due to fair‑value adjustments; hotel NOI rose 11% (Q2 hotel NOI $4.6M vs $4.2M) after renovation of all 505 guestrooms (with a potential +8 rooms opportunity). Balance‑sheet actions include extending the 1150 Clay mortgage to mid‑2027, pursuing refinancing of the Sheraton Grand, and ongoing resolution of the matured Oakland office mortgage (that asset generated ≈$445k of income after debt service in Q2).

Creative Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is heavily pressured: the company is posting large net losses (about -38% net margin TTM) with negative gross profit, cash generation has turned negative (TTM operating cash flow -$15.5M; free cash flow about -$29.9M), and leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~2.03x) with negative ROE. Positive EBITDA margin (~22% TTM) is not translating into bottom-line or cash-flow stability.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

36Negative

Cash Flow

24Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue113.78M116.67M124.51M119.26M101.91M90.93M
Gross Profit-13.60M-11.98M51.70M51.84M47.53M47.68M
EBITDA25.16M28.31M39.65M37.54M37.18M31.74M
Net Income-42.09M-39.00M-25.18M-48.48M5.92M-850.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets782.94M859.19M889.55M891.20M690.25M660.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.77M15.44M20.26M19.29M46.19M22.31M
Total Debt498.77M509.77M505.73M471.56M184.27M201.15M
Total Liabilities536.98M592.94M562.49M514.43M312.52M249.53M
Stockholders Equity245.27M265.36M325.31M374.40M377.36M410.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-29.85M-15.00M-6.24M-1.33M23.59M42.23M
Operating Cash Flow-15.48M5.79M17.03M12.00M32.41M46.28M
Investing Cash Flow33.94M-16.40M-22.29M-88.69M-22.27M-12.70M
Financing Cash Flow-39.60M-4.57M13.90M63.45M13.69M-43.58M

Creative Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.24

Price Trends

50DMA3.41Negative
100DMA3.55Negative
200DMA53.09Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.08Positive
RSI45.90Neutral
STOCH14.92Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMCT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.91, below the 50-day MA of 3.41, and below the 200-day MA of 53.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMCT.

Creative Media Risk Analysis

Creative Media disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Creative Media reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Creative Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

CMCT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
NYCNYC49Neutral$18.84M1.2421.10%―-38.85%―
CMCTCMCT46Neutral$9.11M-0.03-16.06%―-3.82%90.89%
ONLONL45Neutral$139.19M-1.47-14.88%3.24%-6.53%-20.91%
FSPFSP42Neutral$44.70M-1.08-7.23%9.11%-5.12%7.99%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%CMCTFSPNYCONLNLOPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
CMCT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
CMCTCreative Media & Community Trust Corporation3.24-469.76-99.32%
FSPFranklin Street Properties0.44-0.74-62.67%
NYCNew York City Reit, Inc.6.06-2.95-32.74%
ONLOrion Office Reit, Inc.2.470.135.60%
NLOPNet Lease Office Properties8.88-1.56-14.94%

Creative Media Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Creative Media Reports Narrowed Loss, Strong Operational Progress

Positive
Aug 14, 2026

For the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, CMCT reported a narrowed net loss attributable to common stockholders of $11.0 million, or $4.03 per diluted share, driven mainly by lower preferred stock dividends despite modestly weaker segment net opera...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 20, 2026