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Cars.com, Inc. (CARS)
NYSE:CARS

Cars (CARS) AI Stock Analysis

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CA

Cars

(NYSE:CARS)

74Outperform
Cars.com showcases strong financial health with a robust balance sheet and cash flow, despite a declining net profit margin. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, presenting short-term risks. The company's valuation remains reasonable, supported by strategic initiatives and positive corporate events. However, mixed earnings call sentiment and uncertainties in revenue guidance pose potential challenges.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The completion of the DealerClub acquisition could be a game changer for Cars Commerce, providing an end-to-end solution to manage the entire lifecycle of a vehicle.
Market Position
Cars Commerce gained market share as dealer count increased by 44 sequentially to 19,250 dealers, representing the strongest quarter of sequential organic growth since mid-2022.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
CARS delivered 4Q24 revenue of $180.4MM, missing the Street's $183.8MM as well as the low of guidance which was ~$181.5MM.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth remains sluggish with no relief due to tariff uncertainty, capping potential stock appreciation.

Cars (CARS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cars Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCars (CARS) is a leading digital automotive platform that connects car buyers with sellers, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services for the automotive industry. The company operates primarily in the online automotive marketplace sector, providing car buyers with detailed vehicle listings, reviews, and research tools, while enabling dealers and manufacturers to effectively market their inventory to a broad audience.
How the Company Makes MoneyCars makes money primarily through its online advertising model, where automotive dealers and manufacturers pay for listing their vehicles on the platform. The company's revenue streams include dealer subscription fees for premium listings, display advertising, and lead generation services that connect potential buyers with dealers. Additionally, Cars generates income from its data analytics services, which offer insights into consumer behavior and market trends, helping car dealers optimize their sales strategies. Strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers and financial institutions also contribute to the company's earnings by expanding its reach and enhancing its service offerings.

Cars Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cars demonstrates an impressive financial position supported by a strong balance sheet and robust cash flow generation. While revenue growth and operating efficiency are evident, the decline in net profit margin highlights potential cost pressures or competitive challenges. The elimination of debt and solid cash flow metrics position the company well for future growth and stability in the dynamic vehicles industry.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 4.35% increase from the previous year and consistent gross profit margins of over 80%. However, net profit margin has declined significantly from 17.19% to 6.70%, indicating increased costs or reduced pricing power. EBITDA and EBIT margins remain stable, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a significant improvement in debt position, moving to zero total debt, enhancing financial stability. The equity ratio is strong at 45.99%, and ROE is healthy at 9.42%, indicating good returns for shareholders. The improvement in stockholders' equity over time reflects strong financial health.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Cash flow from operations has increased by 11.56%, indicating strong cash generation. Free cash flow has grown by 29.03%, enhancing liquidity. The company exhibits a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting effective conversion of income into cash. Stability in cash flow is a positive indicator for financial resilience.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
719.15M689.18M653.88M623.68M547.50M
Gross Profit
594.82M566.98M538.92M509.48M445.97M
EBIT
53.50M54.12M66.04M48.34M7.33M
EBITDA
201.24M151.53M161.43M151.57M-796.38M
Net Income Common Stockholders
48.19M118.44M17.21M7.72M-817.12M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
50.67M39.20M31.71M39.07M67.72M
Total Assets
1.11B1.17B1.02B1.01B1.08B
Total Debt
455.29M483.25M472.38M466.32M583.90M
Net Debt
404.62M444.05M440.67M427.25M516.18M
Total Liabilities
600.38M680.34M640.44M640.27M735.54M
Stockholders Equity
511.49M492.11M384.43M366.93M340.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
149.52M115.84M108.80M118.81M121.90M
Operating Cash Flow
152.52M136.72M128.51M138.00M138.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-24.60M-97.05M-84.38M-39.45M-16.71M
Financing Cash Flow
-115.96M-31.75M-51.49M-127.20M-67.73M

Cars Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.95
Price Trends
50DMA
11.41
Negative
100DMA
14.06
Negative
200DMA
15.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
44.72
Neutral
STOCH
60.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CARS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.35, below the 50-day MA of 11.41, and below the 200-day MA of 15.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CARS.

Cars Risk Analysis

Cars disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cars reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cars Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$688.61M16.299.35%2.24%-57.33%
71
Outperform
$427.47M57.501.50%-2.26%
62
Neutral
$427.58M6.630.12%40.31%-204.86%
61
Neutral
$6.98B11.352.88%3.90%2.65%-21.84%
48
Neutral
$84.43M-130.43%-14.45%78.09%
40
Underperform
$823.38M260.24%9.33%50.69%
VRVRM
38
Underperform
$10.93M-49.90%-96.51%77.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CARS
Cars
10.95
-7.57
-40.87%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
51.74
-12.88
-19.93%
RMBL
RumbleON
2.23
-3.85
-63.32%
UXIN
Uxin
4.38
1.31
42.67%
CANG
Cango
4.12
2.53
159.12%
VRM
Vroom, Inc.
26.25
1.61
6.53%

Cars Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment with strong performance in audience growth, dealer count, and product adoption, particularly in the Dealer Club and AccuTrade segments. However, these highlights were counterbalanced by revenue decline, uncertainty in OEM ad spending, and pressured dealer revenue. The suspension of full-year revenue guidance further reflected the uncertainties faced by the company.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Unique Visitors
The Cars.com marketplace reached a record 29 million average monthly unique visitors in Q1, with overall traffic of 70 million visits, marking a 1% year-over-year increase after adjusting for an extra leap day in 2024.
Strong Growth in Dealer Club and AccuTrade
Dealer Club increased active users by 60% in its first two months of integration, and AccuTrade appraisal volume was up 16% quarter over quarter, with over 813,000 appraisals conducted in Q1.
OEM Business Growth
OEM business grew 6% year over year, indicating the value automakers place on the high-quality end market audience provided by Cars.com.
Share Repurchase and Cash Flow
Cars.com repurchased $22 million of shares during Q1, and strong free cash flow was noted, supporting capital return commitments for the year.
Successful Dealer Growth
Dealer count rose to 19,250 dealers, marking the best quarter of sequential organic customer growth since mid-2022.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline and Uncertainty
First quarter revenue was slightly down year over year, and the company suspended full-year revenue guidance due to uncertainty stemming from tariffs and media spending trends.
Pressured Dealer Revenue
Dealer revenue was down 2% year over year, primarily due to a softer than normal start to the year for marketplace and some pressure on media products such as in-market video.
OEM Spending Uncertainty
While OEM revenue grew by 6%, some OEMs have shifted to month-to-month spending commitments due to uncertainty, impacting visibility on future ad spending.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA performance of $51 million in Q1 was down slightly year over year, with a margin of 28.3% that exceeded outlook but still reflects revenue mix challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Cars.com First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on various financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a revenue of $179 million, aligning with their guidance range, and highlighted an adjusted EBITDA that exceeded expectations by over a point. Strong free cash flow enabled a share repurchase of $22 million, surpassing capital return commitments. The dealer count increased to 19,250, reflecting the best sequential organic customer growth since mid-2022. The company highlighted the addition of over 100 new website customers and an increase in AccuTrade appraisals by 16% quarter over quarter, reaching 813,000 appraisals. Cars.com also noted a record 29 million average monthly unique visitors, with overall traffic up 1% year over year, adjusted for a leap day in 2024. While the OEM business grew by 6% year over year, the company expressed caution due to potential shifts in dealer and OEM ad spending, leading to the suspension of full-year revenue guidance until visibility improves. Despite this uncertainty, Cars.com reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for fiscal 2025 between 29-31%, supported by strong consumer engagement and product innovation.

Cars Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cars’ Accidental Newsletter Highlights Q1 Achievements
Positive
Apr 18, 2025

On April 17, 2025, Cars inadvertently sent an internal marketing newsletter to an external mailing list, revealing significant achievements in Q1, including a record number of unique visitors on Cars.com and a successful LinkedIn event discussing tariffs. The company highlighted its strategic initiatives, such as the AccuTrade appraisal tool and DealerClub, to capitalize on market shifts due to tariffs. These efforts have resulted in increased engagement and brand growth, positioning Cars as a leader in the automotive digital marketing space.

Spark’s Take on CARS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, CARS is a Outperform.

Cars.com shows strong financial performance with robust cash flow and a solid balance sheet, which are significant strengths. Despite these positives, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which might concern short-term investors. The company’s reasonable valuation and positive strategic initiatives, including acquisitions, are expected to support long-term growth. Overall, the stock is positioned well for future appreciation, but current market conditions may pose short-term challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on CARS stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Cars Commerce Announces Leadership Transition for 2025
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

Doug Miller, President and Chief Commercial Officer of Cars Commerce, will depart the company by March 31, 2025, with Lisa Gosselin appointed as his successor effective February 24, 2025. Gosselin, with over 25 years of experience in SaaS, adtech, and data, is expected to enhance Cars Commerce’s platform and growth strategy, focusing on optimizing go-to-market strategies and driving revenue growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.