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Bunzl
(OTC:BZLFY)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
â–²(7.61% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by durable financials (steady margins and strong cash conversion) offset by muted growth and some leverage risk. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, but overbought signals raise near-term risk. Valuation is reasonable rather than compelling, and the earnings call suggests gradual improvement with moderate growth guidance but continued margin and execution headwinds.
Positive Factors
Resilient distribution model
Bunzl’s core model sells essential, repeat consumables to diversified business end-markets, creating predictable, high-frequency demand. Scale purchasing, local distribution and procurement services make relationships sticky, supporting steady revenue and margin durability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Muted organic revenue growth
Prolonged flat or negative underlying revenue limits operating leverage typical of distribution businesses. Dependence on acquisitions to deliver growth raises integration risk and makes organic market-share recovery critical for sustainable profit expansion and long-term EPS improvement.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Resilient distribution model
Bunzl’s core model sells essential, repeat consumables to diversified business end-markets, creating predictable, high-frequency demand. Scale purchasing, local distribution and procurement services make relationships sticky, supporting steady revenue and margin durability over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Bunzl (BZLFY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$11.58B
Dividend Yield2.73%
Average Volume (3M)6.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.8
Beta (1Y)0.52
Revenue Growth5.45%
EPS Growth7.68%
CountryUS
Employees26,777
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryIndustrial - Distribution
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.15
Shares Outstanding648,625,550
10 Day Avg. Volume12,705
30 Day Avg. Volume6,609
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.02
Price to Book (P/B)1.21
Price to Sales (P/S)0.29
P/FCF Ratio4.51
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.25
Revenue Forecast (FY)$16.39B
Bunzl Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Bunzl plc operates as a global distribution and services enterprise. Its operations span North America, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and a broad international footprint. Serving the food retail sector, including grocery stores,...
How the Company Makes Money
Bunzl primarily makes money by buying large volumes of everyday non-food consumables from manufacturers, then distributing them to business customers at a markup, leveraging scale purchasing, logistics, and local distribution networks. Revenue is ...
Bunzl Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 02, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 01, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: management acknowledged a challenging 2025 with execution issues (notably in North America distribution), margin and profit declines, and difficult end-market conditions, while highlighting a strong cash generation, successful corrective actions that moderated margin declines in H2, Q4 new business wins (>USD 100m), improving underlying revenue momentum, operational efficiencies, and meaningful progress on own brand and Nisbets synergies. Given the balance of significant operational challenges and clear evidence of recovery actions and financial resilience, the tone is cautiously constructive but not fully recovered.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Underlying Momentum
Group revenue increased 3.0% at constant exchange rates in 2025, with underlying revenue growth of 0.4% for the year and improvement during the year to 0.9% in H2 (vs 0.2% in H1). New business wins in Q4 contributed to the H2 acceleration.
Negative Updates
Adjusted Operating Profit and Margin Decline
Adjusted operating profit fell to GBP 910 million, a decline of 4.3% year-on-year (or around GBP 902 million excluding an GBP 8 million share-based payment credit). Operating margin fell to 7.6% from 8.3% in 2024 (approx -0.7pp).
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Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth and Underlying Momentum
Group revenue increased 3.0% at constant exchange rates in 2025, with underlying revenue growth of 0.4% for the year and improvement during the year to 0.9% in H2 (vs 0.2% in H1). New business wins in Q4 contributed to the H2 acceleration.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated 2026 guidance expecting moderate revenue growth driven by slight volume growth and a small benefit from announced acquisitions, with selling prices broadly neutral and operating cost inflation around 2–3% (partially offset by cost/sourcing initiatives including annualising Nisbets synergies); they expect operating margin to be slightly down year‑on‑year versus 2025’s 7.6% (excluding an £8m share‑based payment credit), a more stable adjusted operating profit with a more normal H1/H2 weighting, a net finance charge of c.£125m, an effective tax rate of 26% and continued leverage within the target range (adjusted net debt/EBITDA c.2.0x, target 2–2.5x), with 2026 providing the foundation for future organic profit growth.Bunzl Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 11.88B | 11.59B | 11.78B | 11.80B | 12.04B | 10.29B |
| Gross Profit | 1.33B | 1.74B | 3.39B | 3.19B | 3.02B | 2.52B |
| EBITDA | 1.28B | 1.14B | 1.23B | 1.18B | 1.04B | 910.20M |
| Net Income | 482.79M | 449.14M | 500.40M | 526.20M | 474.40M | 442.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 8.68B | 8.56B | 9.53B | 8.75B | 8.67B | 7.11B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 594.49M | 539.15M | 1.43B | 1.43B | 1.50B | 776.90M |
| Total Debt | 2.69B | 2.89B | 3.72B | 3.09B | 3.13B | 2.59B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.86B | 5.77B | 6.74B | 5.78B | 5.95B | 4.91B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.82B | 2.78B | 2.79B | 2.97B | 2.72B | 2.20B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 891.41M | 748.33M | 856.50M | 845.70M | 904.90M | 700.40M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 956.69M | 818.27M | 910.90M | 904.00M | 951.60M | 733.10M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -178.28M | -166.57M | -609.10M | -339.50M | -223.20M | -458.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -690.79M | -757.62M | -381.10M | -666.90M | -331.00M | -458.70M |
Bunzl Technical Analysis
Neutral
19.05
Price Trends
18.46
Negative
17.31
Positive
15.72
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.05
Positive
33.54
Neutral
0.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZLFY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.72, above the 50-day MA of 18.46, and above the 200-day MA of 15.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BZLFY.
Bunzl Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $56.92B | 42.03 | 34.03% | 1.94% | 12.54% | 13.58% | |
78 Outperform | $62.38B | 33.75 | 48.70% | 0.72% | 7.80% | -0.65% | |
75 Outperform | $1.52B | 17.77 | 26.97% | 2.76% | 8.43% | 29.47% | |
72 Outperform | $6.78B | 29.33 | 16.55% | 2.87% | 4.41% | 16.62% | |
67 Neutral | $11.58B | 14.85 | 20.61% | 2.73% | 5.45% | 7.68% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
56 Neutral | $1.60B | 184.07 | 1.37% | 5.18% | 6.45% | 108.40% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
BZLFY
Bunzl
17.96
1.01
5.97%
FAST
Fastenal Company
49.60
2.44
5.16%
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
34.66
2.66
8.31%
MSM
MSC Industrial
121.41
31.89
35.63%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
39.81
2.68
7.23%
GWW
WW Grainger
1,324.49
334.87
33.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.