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Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Anglogold Ashanti PLC

(NYSE:AU)

Select Model
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:$94.00â–²(15.46% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/25/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, strong free cash flow, and improving leverage) and a constructive earnings-call backdrop (reaffirmed guidance, net-cash balance sheet, and sizable shareholder returns). These positives are partially offset by weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD and weak momentum) and operational/cost risks highlighted on the call.

Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and balance sheetRobust operating cash flow and free cash flow provide capacity to fund mine investment, reduce debt and return capital without relying heavily on external financing. The move to lower leverage and net cash also improves resilience when gold prices or operating conditions weaken.
Negative Factors
Elevated and rising production costsHigher cash costs directly reduce the margin captured from each ounce and make earnings more sensitive to changes in realized gold prices. Persistent inflation, royalties, currency movements and fuel costs could constrain cash generation and weaken the economics of higher-cost operations.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC (AU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%AU+25.61%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$41.17B
Dividend Yield
5.55%
Average Volume (3M)
2.53M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.8
Beta (1Y)
1.13
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
38,000
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid. The company’s flagship property includes 100% owned the Geita mine loca...

How the Company Makes Money

AngloGold Ashanti primarily makes money by producing and selling gold from its mining operations. Revenue is generated when the company extracts gold-bearing ore, processes it through milling and recovery circuits to produce gold (often as doré bars)...

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-0.50%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call communicated a strong financial and operational performance with material YoY improvements in EBITDA, earnings, EPS, cash generation and a transformed balance sheet (net cash and ample liquidity). Management highlighted disciplined cost control via Full Asset Potential programs and significant shareholder returns (dividends, buybacks). Key challenges include a fatal safety incident at Obuasi with short‑term production impacts, elevated industry‑wide cost pressures (inflation, fuel, royalties) that increased cash costs by ~21%, and a lumpy, elevated tax payment in Q2. Management reiterated guidance, detailed a credible low‑capex organic growth pipeline and expects tax seasonality to improve cash conversion in H2. Overall the positives (strong earnings/cash, balance sheet improvement, growth optionality, shareholder returns) substantially outweigh the operational and macro headwinds, which management considers manageable.

Positive Updates

Strong EBITDA Growth
EBITDA rose 46% year‑on‑year to $2.0 billion, driven by higher realized gold prices and disciplined cost execution.

Negative Updates

Fatal Safety Incident and Operational Suspension at Obuasi
A fatality at Obuasi on April 24 led to a 2‑week suspension and investigation; ore‑pass equipment and KMS shaft damaged, requiring rebuild and temporary operating constraints, causing short‑term production impact and higher per‑ounce costs (Obuasi suspension added ~$38/oz).

Company Guidance

Management reaffirmed full‑year guidance and expects a second‑half weighted production profile (about a 6% H2 increase with a particularly strong Q4), with H1 production ~1.5Moz; Q2 total cash cost $1,480/oz (H1 cash cost ~$1,436/oz), Q2 free cash flow $727m (+36% YoY) and cash from operations $1.4bn in Q2 (H1 cash generated $1.8bn, +49% YoY); EBITDA rose 46% to $2.0bn and headline earnings ~+58% to $1.0bn (basic EPS $1.97 vs $1.32); Q2 cash taxes were a seasonal $542m (expected to fall to ~$230–$250m in each of Q3 and Q4), liquidity is $4.2bn with net cash ~$991m (vs net debt $311m a year ago), dividends of $0.125/share quarterly (H1 declarations $949m, including $364m in Q2) with an annual true‑up to 50% of FCF, a $2bn open‑market buyback approved (pending SARB) and $666m of bonds already repurchased, while management expects to sustain margins, target low‑CapEx brownfield growth that could add ~10–15% to production over 3 years (roughly 300–450k oz above a 2025 baseline) and to see lower H2 cash costs from higher volumes.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong operating and financial results with sharply higher scale and profitability (TTM net margin ~31% and very strong EBIT/EBITDA margins), robust cash generation (TTM FCF $4.25B; OCF covers debt ~3.25x), and improving leverage (debt down to $1.79B TTM; debt/equity ~0.27x). Primary risk is cyclicality/volatility given the swing from losses in 2023 to very high profits in 2025–TTM, typical for gold producers.

Income Statement

88Very Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.82B9.89B5.79B4.58B4.50B4.03B
Gross Profit6.33B4.60B2.07B1.03B1.13B1.17B
EBITDA8.01B5.51B2.58B872.00M1.25B1.29B
Net Income3.81B2.64B1.00B-235.00M233.00M614.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.55B15.08B13.16B8.18B8.01B8.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.78B2.93B1.43B964.00M1.11B1.15B
Total Debt1.79B2.44B2.15B2.42B2.17B2.09B
Total Liabilities4.81B5.16B4.64B4.43B3.94B3.91B
Stockholders Equity8.96B8.09B6.63B3.71B4.04B4.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.23B3.10B878.00M-61.00M257.00M196.00M
Operating Cash Flow6.09B4.71B1.97B981.00M1.80B1.22B
Investing Cash Flow-1.63B-1.27B-762.00M-1.02B-1.56B-1.01B
Financing Cash Flow-3.71B-1.94B-727.00M24.00M-224.00M-345.00M

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price81.41

Price Trends

50DMA97.56Negative
100DMA92.21Negative
200DMA95.32Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.88Positive
RSI35.06Neutral
STOCH23.93Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 81.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.18, below the 50-day MA of 97.56, and below the 200-day MA of 95.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU.

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Risk Analysis

Anglogold Ashanti PLC disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Anglogold Ashanti PLC reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

AU against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HMYHMY84Outperform$9.75B5.4746.23%5.04%49.72%120.32%
CDECDE80Outperform$13.69B10.6412.49%0.15%116.79%211.59%
GFIGFI77Outperform$31.28B7.0251.87%6.82%71.19%133.85%
NEMNEM77Outperform$113.37B12.4426.45%0.96%23.41%33.87%
AUAU74Outperform$41.54B10.8445.77%5.55%――
SSRMSSRM71Outperform$5.45B17.807.75%0.11%48.40%42.80%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%100%AUCDEGFIHMYNEMSSRMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AU and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
AUAnglogold Ashanti PLC81.4117.3427.07%
CDECoeur Mining13.41-0.76-5.39%
GFIGold Fields34.56-2.12-5.77%
HMYHarmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd15.10-0.25-1.63%
NEMNewmont Mining107.4726.6032.89%
SSRMSsr Mining26.166.7034.42%

Anglogold Ashanti PLC Corporate Events

AngloGold Ashanti Showcases Nevada Beatty Gold District in Investor Site Visit

Sep 25, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti plc, a global gold producer with listings on the NYSE, JSE and GSE, is expanding its presence in Nevada, leveraging the state’s reputation as a leading mining jurisdiction to develop back-to-back gold projects near Beatty. The...

AngloGold Ashanti Appoints Paul Graves as Independent Non-Executive Director

Sep 25, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti plc announced on 25 September 2026 the appointment of Paul Graves as an independent non-executive director, effective 1 October 2026. He will serve on the Audit and Risk Committee and the Social, Ethics and Sustainability Committee,...

AngloGold Ashanti Showcases Progress at Nevada Beatty Gold District in Investor Site Visit

Sep 25, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti plc, a global gold producer with listings on the NYSE and JSE, is expanding its footprint in North America through the development of the Beatty Mining District in southern Nevada. Its strategy centers on building large, long-life,...

AngloGold Ashanti Posts Strong H1 2026 Profits and Cash Flow as Gold Prices Surge

Jul 31, 2026

For the six months ended 30 June 2026, AngloGold Ashanti reported a slight decline in group gold production but a sharp rise in gold income to $6.19 billion, driven by significantly higher realised gold prices. Profit for the period more than doubled...

AngloGold Ashanti Boosts Cash, Dividends and Buybacks on Strong Q2 2026 Earnings

Jul 31, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti plc reported strong financial results for the three and six months ended 30 June 2026, with Q2 2026 EBITDA rising 46% year-on-year to $2.0bn and free cash flow up 36% to $727m, despite more than doubling cash tax payments. Headline...

AngloGold Ashanti Posts Lower Gold Output in First Half of 2026

Jul 31, 2026

AngloGold Ashanti reported operating statistics for the three and six months ended 30 June 2026, showing that group gold production declined year on year. Total production fell to 744,000 ounces in the second quarter of 2026 from 804,000 ounces in th...

AngloGold Ashanti Files Form 6-K With Q1 2026 Earnings Presentation

Jul 31, 2026

On 31 July 2026, AngloGold Ashanti plc, a global gold miner with listings on the NYSE, JSE and GSE, filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for the month of May 2026. The filing underscores the company’s status as a fo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 25, 2026