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ACM Research (ACMR) AI Stock Analysis

ACMR

ACM Research

(NASDAQ:ACMR)

Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$50.00â–²(9.48% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

ACMR's overall score is driven by its compelling growth narrative, upgraded revenue guidance, and a pristine, low-debt balance sheet. Despite massive order momentum and rapid new product adoption, the stock's potential is constrained by continuous cash burn, supply-chain timing risks, and a severely bearish technical setup.

Positive Factors
Strong Revenue and Order GrowthRapid order growth and raised 2026 revenue guidance indicate strong customer demand across ACM Research’s equipment portfolio. Sustained shipment expansion can broaden the installed base, increase recurring service opportunities, and support revenue growth over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionNegative operating and free cash flow despite positive reported earnings indicate that profits are not yet converting efficiently into cash. Continued investment and working-capital needs could absorb internally generated funds, constrain capital allocation, and increase execution sensitivity.

ACM Research Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by ProductBreaks down revenue by each product line, highlighting which products drive the most sales and indicating areas of potential growth or concern based on market demand and product performance.

$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00M$200.00M$250.00M$300.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

ACM is visibly shifting from a cleaning‑centric business toward faster-growing ECP/furnace and advanced‑packaging revenues, a diversification that underpins the company’s reiterated upside guidance and strong gross margins. However, cleaning revenue softened despite higher shipments, reflecting timing and new‑product ramp delays; rising inventory and negative operating cash flow amplify execution risk. The story for investors is execution: if SPM, vertical furnaces and panel plating ramp as guided, mix and margin expansion are credible; missed ramps would expose near‑term cash and margin pressure.

Data provided by:The Fly

ACM Research (ACMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%ACMR+46.02%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$2.94B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.2
Beta (1Y)
1.84
Revenue Growth
27.31%
EPS Growth
26.90%
Country
US
Employees
2,513
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

ACM Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ACM Research, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, is a global developer, manufacturer, and provider of specialized single-wafer wet cleaning systems. These crucial systems are designed to enhance manufacturing processes and improve the yield o...

How the Company Makes Money

ACM Research primarily makes money by selling semiconductor capital equipment (wafer-processing tools) to chip manufacturers and foundries. Its core revenue stream is product revenue from process tool shipments, which can include single-wafer cleanin...

ACM Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-42.18%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed strong demand with clear execution momentum: robust revenue and shipment growth (both +36% YoY), substantial order intake (+105% H1), rapid adoption of plating technology (2,000 chambers shipped), improved liquidity (net cash ~$1.0B) and upgraded FY2026 guidance. Management highlighted multiple commercialization milestones (panel-level plating orders, PECVD and Track evaluations), manufacturing capacity expansion (Lingang and Oregon) and broadened customer base. Offsetting risks include a 14.2% decline in single-wafer cleaning revenue to date (pending SPM qualification), elevated inventory of tools under evaluation, supply-chain/component lead-time constraints that could shift shipments between quarters, a modest YoY contraction in gross margin to 46%, higher operating/capex spend and a larger tax expense this quarter. Overall, the positives — strong orders, multi-product progress, balance-sheet strength and raised guidance — materially outweigh the execution and timing headwinds.

Positive Updates

Strong Top-Line Growth
Revenue of $292.9M in Q2 up 36% year-over-year; total shipments $281.5M, also up 36.4% YoY.

Negative Updates

Decline in Single-Wafer Cleaning Revenue
Single-wafer cleaning, Tahoe and semi-critical cleaning revenue was $133.0M, down 14.2% YoY and still ~45.4% of sales; new SPM products have had very little revenue contribution to date (revenue lag behind shipments/qualification).

Company Guidance

ACM updated full‑year 2026 guidance to $1.125–$1.175 billion in revenue (upside from prior $1.08B low end), implying ~25–30% YoY growth, and said shipments will outpace revenue; H1 orders rose 105% YoY while Q2 revenue and shipments were $292.9M and $281.5M (both ~+36% YoY), Q2 gross margin was 46% (long‑term target 42–48%) and operating margin ~19% (19.2%); balance sheet/cash metrics include gross cash $1.4B, net cash $1.0B (≈$300M in the U.S.), cash & equivalents $1.36B, inventory $783.1M (raw $406.1M, WIP $89.0M, finished $287.9M); OpEx was $78.5M (R&D 13.9% of sales with a 2026 plan of 16–18%, S&M ~7.7% with an ~8% plan, G&A 5.2% with 5–6% plan), tax rate guidance 10–12%, CapEx guide ≈$175M for 2026 (Q2 CapEx $65.4M), and management reiterated a $4B long‑term revenue target (≈$2.5B China / $1.5B global) while increasing SAM to about $22B.

ACM Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary

ACM Research demonstrates exceptional revenue growth and a fortress balance sheet with negligible debt (D/E of 0.06). However, the score is heavily weighed down by continuous cash burn and negative free cash flow (-$119.9M), reflecting highly capital-intensive operations.

Income Statement

88Very Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B901.31M782.12M557.72M388.83M259.75M
Gross Profit454.91M400.07M391.55M276.21M183.62M114.86M
EBITDA264.96M158.47M180.42M126.99M74.38M46.17M
Net Income150.23M94.08M103.63M77.35M39.26M37.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.40B2.87B1.86B1.49B1.24B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.46B1.17B444.10M283.93M338.65M592.05M
Total Debt349.32M302.98M188.78M99.10M79.50M39.14M
Total Liabilities994.12M941.68M759.82M564.75M423.33M240.51M
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.46B904.63M767.39M674.86M676.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-120.13M-66.61M69.99M-139.66M-154.71M-49.80M
Operating Cash Flow-6.60M-10.32M152.45M-75.32M-62.19M-40.09M
Investing Cash Flow-438.52M-390.33M-11.96M-6.75M-265.67M-11.28M
Financing Cash Flow964.11M742.49M92.48M18.53M45.87M538.77M

ACM Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price45.67

Price Trends

50DMA68.48Negative
100DMA79.58Negative
200DMA68.60Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-6.62Positive
RSI27.19Positive
STOCH24.66Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.39, below the 50-day MA of 68.48, and below the 200-day MA of 68.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.19 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACMR.

ACM Research Risk Analysis

ACM Research disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACM Research reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

ACM Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

ACMR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
LRCXLRCX80Outperform$298.69B35.4271.75%0.46%33.36%48.32%
AMATAMAT73Outperform$309.57B33.4340.44%0.51%7.77%38.45%
KLACKLAC73Outperform$205.75B39.2587.02%0.53%15.80%25.58%
ACMRACMR72Outperform$3.17B20.219.48%―27.31%26.90%
VECOVECO63Neutral$2.38B101.462.62%―-2.52%-64.30%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
ACLSACLS60Neutral$3.09B33.368.91%―-3.35%-38.92%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%ACMRAMATACLSKLACLRCXVECODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
ACMR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ACMRAcm Research45.476.5716.89%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.390.09161.1770.40%
ACLSAxcelis100.0719.5624.30%
KLACKla Corporation157.9139.2033.02%
LRCXLam Research Corp239.1184.0554.20%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc38.879.8333.85%

ACM Research Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

ACM Research Reports Strong Growth and Order Momentum

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

On August 14, 2026, ACM Research (Shanghai) held an earnings conference call in which management reviewed first-half 2026 results, highlighted a 105% year-over-year increase in newly signed orders, and detailed broad-based growth across memory, logic...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026