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ACM Research (ACMR) AI Stock Analysis

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ACMR

ACM Research

(NASDAQ:ACMR)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$52.00â–²(8.45% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score of 60 reflects a company with strong forward-looking demand and a robust balance sheet, offset by significant current operational and market challenges. The most impactful positive factor is the exceptional order and backlog growth highlighted in the earnings call, which points to a powerful revenue recovery. This is counterbalanced by the critical risk of persistent negative free cash flow and a bearish technical trend that signals weak market sentiment. The result is a cautiously optimistic outlook where strong future potential is tempered by present financial and market headwinds.

Positive Factors
Revenue Growth and DemandThe raised outlook signals strong customer demand and improving execution across ACM Research’s equipment portfolio. Sustained growth at this scale can expand the installed base, increase follow-on service opportunities, and support continued investment in product development and capacity.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash ConversionNegative operating and free cash flow indicates that reported earnings are not currently converting consistently into cash. Working-capital demands and reinvestment can limit internal funding capacity, reduce financial optionality, and make growth more dependent on balance-sheet resources.

ACM Research Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by ProductBreaks down revenue by each product line, highlighting which products drive the most sales and indicating areas of potential growth or concern based on market demand and product performance.

$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00M$200.00M$250.00M$300.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

ACM is visibly shifting from a cleaning‑centric business toward faster-growing ECP/furnace and advanced‑packaging revenues, a diversification that underpins the company’s reiterated upside guidance and strong gross margins. However, cleaning revenue softened despite higher shipments, reflecting timing and new‑product ramp delays; rising inventory and negative operating cash flow amplify execution risk. The story for investors is execution: if SPM, vertical furnaces and panel plating ramp as guided, mix and margin expansion are credible; missed ramps would expose near‑term cash and margin pressure.

Data provided by:The Fly

ACM Research (ACMR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%350%ACMR+55.83%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$3.10B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.16M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
28.0
Beta (1Y)
1.88
Revenue Growth
29.07%
EPS Growth
-6.53%
Country
US
Employees
2,513
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

ACM Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

ACM Research, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, is a global developer, manufacturer, and provider of specialized single-wafer wet cleaning systems. These crucial systems are designed to enhance manufacturing processes and improve the yield o...

How the Company Makes Money

ACM Research primarily makes money by selling semiconductor capital equipment (wafer-processing tools) to chip manufacturers and foundries. Its core revenue stream is product revenue from process tool shipments, which can include single-wafer cleanin...

ACM Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:7.92%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, supported by 36.6% revenue growth, 30.6% shipment growth, an 88% increase in backlog, 147% year-to-date order growth, improved operating profitability, and raised full-year revenue guidance. Management also highlighted progress in SPM, electroplating, advanced packaging, furnaces, global expansion, and manufacturing capacity. The primary challenges were gross margin below the long-term target, supply chain constraints, working-capital usage, and the fact that several newer platforms remain in evaluation or early commercialization stages.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Revenue and Shipment Growth
Third-quarter revenue was $367.7 million, up 36.6% year over year, while shipments were $343.5 million, up 30.6%. Management attributed the growth to market share gains, product cycles, and strong execution by the production and supply chain teams.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Below Long-Term Target
Gross margin was 41.6%, compared with 42.1% in the prior-year quarter, and was slightly below the company's 42%-48% long-term target range. Management attributed the difference in part to product mix, foreign exchange, and the inventory provision for the quarter, while expecting gross margin to improve modestly in the fourth quarter.

Company Guidance

For 2026, ACM expects revenue to be $1.24 billion-$1.28 billion, up 38%-42% year-over-year, versus the previous range of $1.125 billion-$1.175 billion, with full year shipment growth to outpace revenue growth; for the fourth quarter, gross margin is expected to improve modestly from the third quarter level, while 2026 R&D is planned in the 15%-17% range, sales and marketing in the 7%-8% range, G&A in the 5% range, effective tax rate in the 10% range, and capital expenditures at about $175 million. ACM is on track to ship more than 20 single-wafer SPM tools across multiple customers for the full year of 2026, expects more than 20 tools installed at a customer site outside mainland China by year-end 2026, representing approximately 10 customer across five countries, and expects fourth-quarter shipments to increase from third-quarter levels, with good growth in shipment for 2027 and beyond; furnace is expected to make more meaningful contribution to revenue in 2027, while Track and PECVD are expected to have additional shipment in 2027, with revenue contribution expected as customer qualification and production adoption progress through 2027 and into 2028.

ACM Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. The balance sheet is strong with low debt, but the income statement shows decelerating revenue growth and compressing margins. Critically, cash flow is a major weakness, with persistent and significant negative free cash flow, indicating poor cash conversion of accounting profits.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.14B901.31M782.12M557.72M388.83M259.75M
Gross Profit494.18M400.07M391.55M276.21M183.62M114.86M
EBITDA219.70M158.47M180.42M126.99M74.38M46.17M
Net Income115.88M94.08M103.63M77.35M39.26M37.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.59B2.87B1.86B1.49B1.24B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.32B1.17B444.10M283.93M338.65M592.05M
Total Debt350.71M302.98M188.78M99.10M79.50M39.14M
Total Liabilities1.12B941.68M759.82M564.75M423.33M240.51M
Stockholders Equity1.90B1.46B904.63M767.39M674.86M676.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-200.11M-66.61M69.99M-139.66M-154.71M-49.80M
Operating Cash Flow-72.42M-10.32M152.45M-75.32M-62.19M-40.09M
Investing Cash Flow-453.14M-390.33M-11.96M-6.75M-265.67M-11.28M
Financing Cash Flow344.24M742.49M92.48M18.53M45.87M538.77M

ACM Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price47.95

Price Trends

50DMA62.76Negative
100DMA74.63Negative
200DMA68.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.34Negative
RSI42.10Neutral
STOCH76.74Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACMR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 49.13, below the 50-day MA of 62.76, and below the 200-day MA of 68.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ACMR.

ACM Research Risk Analysis

ACM Research disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ACM Research reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.We may be subject to risks related to recent U.S. tariffs on the semiconductor industryQ4, 2025
2.We may be subject to risks related to recent U.S. tariffs on the semiconductor industryQ1, 2025
3.Our operations in mainland China and Korea, including the import of components, technology, and activities of U.S. personnel therein, may be further impacted by the addition of ACM Shanghai, ACM Korea and related entities to the BIS Entity List.Q4, 2024

ACM Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

ACMR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AMATAMAT76Outperform$302.32B29.1541.45%0.53%21.43%45.86%
LRCXLRCX73Outperform$292.03B33.4771.75%0.49%33.36%48.32%
KLACKLAC68Neutral$204.96B37.8687.02%0.55%15.80%25.58%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
ACMRACMR60Neutral$3.47B28.046.81%―29.07%-6.53%
VECOVECO58Neutral$2.47B92.322.92%―6.58%-49.53%
ACLSACLS54Neutral$3.34B30.809.82%―4.35%-20.15%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%ACMRAMATACLSKLACLRCXVECODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ACMR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ACMRAcm Research47.9516.4852.37%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.370.50143.0562.89%
ACLSAxcelis104.4223.8929.67%
KLACKla Corporation152.3239.3734.86%
LRCXLam Research Corp225.9279.1453.92%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc39.0610.5236.86%

ACM Research Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

ACM Research Reports Strong Growth and Order Momentum

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

On August 14, 2026, ACM Research (Shanghai) held an earnings conference call in which management reviewed first-half 2026 results, highlighted a 105% year-over-year increase in newly signed orders, and detailed broad-based growth across memory, logic...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026