XRP (XRP-USD) is once again facing retail skepticism, and that may be exactly what bullish investors have been waiting for.
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Data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment shows the token’s bullish-to-bearish commentary ratio dropped below 1.0 twice in the past three days. It measured 0.74 on October 4 and 0.86 on October 6, which means bearish comments are now outweighing bullish ones. Historically, these dips in sentiment have lined up with fear-driven selling pressure and potential reversal points.
Analysts See Contrarian Signal Emerging for XRP
Santiment captured the moment in a post on X (formerly Twitter) that read, “😮 XRP is seeing it’s highest level of retail FUD since Trump’s tariffs were announced 6 months ago. There have been more bearish comments than bullish for 2 of the past 3 days, which is generally a promising buy signal. Markets move opposite to small trader expectations.”
The post highlights a common pattern in crypto markets where smaller traders often move in the wrong direction, and prices tend to move against their expectations.
Pattern Mirrors April’s Tariff Panic
The last time retail sentiment was this negative was six months ago when Trump’s tariff plans triggered widespread fear. This moment marked a bottoming setup for XRP, and prices later began climbing even as traders stayed cautious.
In contrast, when optimism spiked on September 17, Santiment’s ratio hit 3.21 to 1. That surge in confidence came just before XRP topped out above $3.14 and started to fall again.
XRP’s Bearish Mood Could Flip Bullish
This pattern shows how quickly sentiment and price can feed off each other. Retail traders often chase momentum, becoming overly confident near highs and fearful near lows. When sentiment turns sharply negative while prices hold steady or move slightly higher, it often indicates the start of a new upward move.
For XRP, today’s bearish chatter could turn into a tailwind if renewed demand steps in to confirm the contrarian signal.
At the time of writing, XRP is sitting at $2.8789.
