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Simply Good Foods sees 2023 net sales up slightly greater than 4%-6%

Consensus $1.25B. The company said, "In a challenging economic environment, the Company believes it is well positioned to maintain its marketplace momentum. The Company has a portfolio of brands aligned with consumer mega-trends of both health and wellness, convenience and on-the-go nutrition. Over the remainder of the year there are solid plans in place for both the Atkins and Quest brands, including, innovation, advertising, customer programming and display that the Company anticipates will drive sales and earnings growth, particularly in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023. Therefore, the Company anticipates the following in fiscal 2023: Net sales to increase slightly greater than the 4-6% long-term algorithm. Included in the sales outlook is a headwind of almost 1 percentage point related to the previously discussed agreement to license the Quest frozen pizza business; Full fiscal year 2023 gross margin will decline greater than our previous estimate due to the year-to-date gross margin performance, and slightly higher costs within our supply chain over the remainder of the year, with most of the headwind in the third quarter; The Company has made significant marketing and organizational investments in its business over the past few years, which it believes will result in the growth of its consumer base, distribution and market share. As such, the Company expects total SG&A expenses to be slightly lower than last year; Full fiscal year 2023 Adjusted EBITDA to increase, but slightly less than the net sales growth rate; and, Adjusted Diluted EPS to increase less than the Adjusted EBITDA growth rate due to the Company’s expectation of higher interest expense from an increase in the variable interest rate related to its term loan debt, partially mitigated by fewer shares outstanding."

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