Moderately bullish activity in Microsoft (MSFT), with shares up $9.84, or 1.88%, near $533.45. Options volume roughly in line with average with 100k contracts traded and calls leading puts for a put/call ratio of 0.36, compared to a typical level near 0.54. Implied volatility (IV30) dropped 0.15 near 27.79,in the top quartile of the past year, suggesting an expected daily move of $9.34. Put-call skew flattened, suggesting a modestly bullish tone, following an upgrade to Buy at Guggenheim.Looking ahead: Microsoft (MSFT) will report earnings after the close on 2025-10-29.Option markets are pricing in a 50% probability of a move greater than 5.31% or $28.35.
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