Alcoa backs 2023 alumina, aluminum shipment guidance

The company states: “The Company expects the outlook for 2023 total alumina and aluminum shipments to remain unchanged between 12.7 and 12.9 million metric tons, and between 2.5 and 2.6 million metric tons, respectively. Within fourth quarter 2023 Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA, the Company expects a $50 million benefit from lower raw material prices, lower production costs and higher volumes, partially offset by $10 million in higher energy costs. Additionally, the Company expects impacts related to lower bauxite grade in Australia to be consistent with the third quarter of 2023. Within fourth quarter 2023 Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA, the Company expects $35 million in lower raw material prices to be fully offset by unfavorable value add aluminum products sales and higher production costs. Alumina costs in the Aluminum segment are expected to be favorable by $5 million sequentially. Additionally, the Company expects unfavorable energy impacts of approximately $30 million mainly due to the carbon dioxide compensation changes in Norway. The Norwegian government recently proposed a budget that sets a floor for the carbon dioxide compensation scheme to be paid in 2024 based on 2023 power purchased. Upon approval, the Company expects to record an adjustment of approximately $20 million in the fourth quarter to reverse amounts accrued in cost of goods sold for 2023 credits earned through September 30, 2023. The total impact of this budget proposal on the Company’s full year results would be approximately $25 million.”