EV maker Tesla’s (TSLA) Q3 2025 Vehicle Safety Report shows that its Autopilot technology continues to reduce accident rates to well below the national average. In fact, the report found that there was one crash for every 6.36 million miles driven while Autopilot was active. This is much better than the most recent data from U.S. traffic safety agencies, which shows that, on average, there is one crash every 702,000 miles for all drivers.
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Even though the Q3 2025 results are slightly lower than Q3 2024, when Autopilot drivers averaged over 7 million miles between accidents, Tesla’s numbers are still very strong. It is worth noting that historically, Tesla performs best in Q1, likely because of better weather and driving conditions, while Q4 tends to be the weakest. For example, Tesla’s best quarter so far was Q1 2024, with one crash per 7.63 million miles driven with Autopilot.
It is no secret that Tesla has spent years working on its Autopilot and Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system, which helps cars safely handle various driving situations. In addition, these systems keep getting better as they learn from real-world data that is collected from Tesla’s entire fleet. However, while the company has talked about eventually offering a version that doesn’t require driver supervision, Tesla has said that full autonomy is still a work in progress and must be fully solved before a public release.
What Is the Prediction for Tesla Stock?
Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Hold consensus rating on TSLA stock based on 14 Buys, 13 Holds, and 10 Sells assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. Furthermore, the average TSLA price target of $375.47 per share implies 16% downside risk.
