Rocket Lab Stock Price Forecast — Options Traders Expect a 17% Swing in RKLB as Earnings Near

Rocket Lab (RKLB) is scheduled to announce its results for the second quarter of 2026 after the market closes on Monday, August 10. According to TipRanks’ Options Tool, options traders expect about a 17% move in either direction in RKLB stock in reaction to Q2 2026 earnings. This implied move is higher than RKLB stock’s average post-earnings move (in absolute terms) of 10.4% over the past four quarters.

For context, Rocket Lab is a space launch company specializing in small orbital rockets and satellite solutions, best known for its Electron rocket and upcoming Neutron launch vehicle.

RKLB stock is down 7% year to date but remains up 44% over the past year. The gain was supported by strong growth in its Space Systems business. The company also won several major government contracts.

Recent Event Ahead of Earnings

Recently, Rocket Lab disclosed a new multi‑launch agreement with Japanese satellite firm iQPS. The deal adds three dedicated Electron missions, marking the third multi-launch booking iQPS has made in less than a year and bringing its total Electron launches to 18.

Investors see this as a sign of steady demand for Rocket Lab’s launch services and its ability to secure repeat customers.

Here’s What Analysts Expect from RKLB

Wall Street expects Rocket Lab to report a loss per share of $0.06 for Q2 2026, versus a loss of $0.13 in the prior-year quarter. Meanwhile, revenue is expected to rise about 60% year-over-year to $231.62 million.

Investors will await management’s commentary on the Neutron rocket launch. Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket is viewed as a key growth catalyst for the company.

Ahead of the print, Citizens analyst Trevor Walsh reiterated a Buy rating and a $130 price target on Rocket Lab. Walsh said Rocket Lab was “one of the best-positioned names” in the firm’s coverage. He pointed to strong demand across the space launch industry, adding that supplier checks showed launch volumes were “exceeding even” expectations. 

Walsh also said Neutron remains on track for its first launch by year-end. He believes a successful debut could become a major turning point for the company. In addition, Walsh said the planned acquisition of Iridium Communications (IRDM) would add an operational satellite network and recurring service revenue, strengthening Rocket Lab’s long-term growth story.

Is RKLB a Good Stock to Buy?

Overall, Wall Street has a Strong Buy consensus rating on Rocket Lab stock based on 14 Buys and four Holds. The average RKLB stock price target of $111.13 indicates 71.09% upside potential.