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Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Is up 48% YTD — Will Q3 Earnings Keep the Rally Going?

Nvidia Stock (NVDA) Is up 48% YTD — Will Q3 Earnings Keep the Rally Going?

Nvidia (NVDA) shares are up 48% this year, lifted by strong demand for its AI chips used in data centers and cloud systems. The company remains central to the AI boom, with sales of its H100 and new Blackwell GPUs expected to support another solid quarter. Nvidia will report third quarter of Fiscal 2026 on November 19, and investors will look for signs that demand is holding up as tech spending cools. Wall Street projects earnings per share (EPS) of $1.25, up 54% year-over-year, with revenue expected to grow 56% to $54.6 billion.

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Attention will also be on supply trends, pricing, and orders from big cloud customers like Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOGL). While Nvidia still leads the AI chip market, competition from AMD (AMD), Intel (INTC), and in-house chips made by large tech firms is rising. Any slowdown in data center orders or weaker margins could test investor confidence after this year’s sharp rally.

Analysts’ Views on NVDA Stock

Analysts remain positive on Nvidia ahead of its Q3 earnings print. In a new report, BofA Securities analyst Vivek Arya maintained a Buy rating on Nvidia with a $275 price target, implying about 46% upside. The 5-star analyst said fears of an AI spending slowdown are “overstated” and could actually help long-term investors. He pointed to Nvidia’s disclosure of about $500 billion in 2025–2026 data center orders, showing strong visibility in demand.

In terms of its financial outlook, BofA expects Nvidia’s sales and earnings to grow 50% and 70% year over year, supported by its lead in AI chips and networking.

Meanwhile, Loop Capital Markets analyst Ananda Baruah maintained a Buy rating on the stock and set a Street-high price target of $350, suggesting about 76% upside from current levels. He believes Nvidia is entering a strong growth phase as GPU shipments are expected to nearly double over the next year, supported by higher prices and stronger demand for networking products.

Baruah expects Nvidia’s GPU shipments to rise from 1.1 million units per quarter to about 2.1 million per quarter by early 2027, with total shipments reaching 7.4 million units in 2026, up from 4.7 million in 2025. Having said that, the analyst believes that Nvidia is leading a new “Golden Wave” of generative AI adoption, which could be even stronger than previously expected. 

Is NVDA Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold? 

Currently, Wall Street has a Strong Buy consensus rating on Nvidia stock based on 37 Buys, one Hold, and one Sell recommendation. The average NVDA stock price target of $237.21 indicates 19.17% upside potential.

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