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TCAF

T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF (TCAF)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:$47.00â–²(9.76% Upside)

TCAF, the T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to its heavy exposure to high-quality technology and growth leaders like Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Nvidia, and TSMC, all supported by strong financial performance and long-term growth in areas such as cloud computing and AI. Amazon, AMD, Meta, and Cencora also add growth potential but come with risks like high valuations, mixed technical signals, leverage, and regulatory or liquidity concerns, while CenterPoint Energy’s weaker technical and liquidity profile slightly weighs on the fund. The main risk factor is the ETF’s concentration in large, growth-oriented tech and AI-related companies, which can increase volatility if sentiment toward these sectors turns negative.

Positive Factors
Strong Top Tech HoldingsSeveral major technology positions like Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and Apple have shown strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s overall returns.
Broad Sector DiversificationThe ETF spreads its investments across many sectors, including technology, health care, financials, utilities, and consumer stocks, which helps reduce reliance on any single industry.
Healthy Asset Size and Solid Recent PerformanceThe fund has grown to a large asset base and has delivered steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, suggesting ongoing investor interest and stable performance.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. ConcentrationWith the vast majority of its holdings in U.S. companies and very little in other countries, the ETF is highly exposed to the U.S. economy and market conditions.
Meaningful Single-Stock ExposureA handful of large positions, especially in big technology names, make up a significant portion of the portfolio, increasing the impact if any of these companies stumble.
Mixed Performance Among Top HoldingsWhile many top holdings are strong performers, some key positions like Meta Platforms and Cencora have been weak this year, which can drag on the fund’s overall results.

TCAF vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM
8.15B
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.31%
Beta
0.90
Issuer
T. Rowe Price
Inception Date
Jun 14, 2023
Dividend Yield
0.45%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
No Underlying Index

TCAF Summary

TCAF is the T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF, focused on large U.S. companies and aiming for long-term growth rather than tracking a specific index. It invests mainly in big, well-established businesses across many sectors, with top holdings like Microsoft and Amazon, giving you broad exposure to leading names in technology, health care, and more. Someone might invest in TCAF to seek growth while still staying diversified among many strong companies. A key risk is that stock prices in this ETF can go up and down with the overall market, especially since it has a sizable tilt toward tech-related companies.

How much will it cost me?

This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.31%, which means you’ll pay about $3.10 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s a bit higher than the average low-cost index ETF because this fund is actively managed by T. Rowe Price, aiming to pick stocks that can outperform the market.

What would affect this ETF?

TCAF is heavily invested in large U.S. technology and growth companies like Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and Apple, so it could benefit if innovation, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence continue to grow and the U.S. economy stays healthy. On the other hand, higher interest rates, stricter tech regulations, or a broad market downturn could hurt these big tech names, while changes in consumer spending, healthcare policy, or utility regulation could also affect the fund’s other sector exposures.

TCAF Top 10 Holdings

TCAF is leaning heavily into Big Tech and semiconductors, with Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple providing a steady engine of gains, while high-fliers like Nvidia, AMD, and TSM add more turbocharged, but occasionally bumpy, growth. Alphabet and Meta have been losing steam lately, acting as mild brakes on performance, even as their long-term AI stories remain intact. Outside tech, defensive names like CenterPoint Energy and Keurig Dr Pepper are quietly helping smooth out volatility. Overall, it’s a U.S.-centric, tech-forward fund with a clear tilt toward AI and cloud leaders.

TCAF top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
MSFTMSFTMicrosoft7.12%$580.49M$3.88T-0.73%79Outperform
AMZNAMZNAmazon5.43%$442.53M$2.59T7.85%71Outperform
NVDANVDANvidia5.44%$443.58M$4.93T0.86%76Outperform
AAPLAAPLApple5.02%$409.44M$5.03T26.98%79Outperform
AMDAMDAdvanced Micro Devices3.01%$245.33M$824.07B98.09%73Outperform
CNPCNPCenterpoint Energy2.98%$242.46M$28.13B9.07%63Neutral
GOOGLGOOGLAlphabet Class A2.33%$190.09M$3.41T-0.58%85Outperform
METAMETAMeta Platforms2.57%$209.54M$1.57T-7.72%76Outperform
KDPKDPKeurig Dr Pepper2.28%$185.80M$48.77B29.48%71Outperform
TSMTSMTSMC2.20%$179.46M$1.88T33.94%81Outperform

TCAF Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price42.82

Price Trends

50DMA42.85Negative
100DMA42.12Positive
200DMA40.18Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.16Positive
RSI45.51Neutral
STOCH62.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCAF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 42.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.36, below the 50-day MA of 42.85, and above the 200-day MA of 40.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TCAF.

TCAF Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

TCAF against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
TCAFTCAF$42.82$47.00(9.76% Upside)$8.15B0.31%69Neutral
FELCFELC$42.70$52.71(23.44% Upside)$8.88B0.18%74Outperform
DIVODIVO$47.33$53.36(12.74% Upside)$8.06B0.56%62Neutral
GPIQGPIQ$54.29$71.22(31.18% Upside)$6.57B0.29%73Outperform
GPIXGPIX$55.14$66.95(21.43% Upside)$6.51B0.29%71Outperform
USMCUSMC$75.12$93.39(24.32% Upside)$5.10B0.12%75Outperform

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%TCAFFELCDIVOGPIQGPIXUSMCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TCAF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TCAFT. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF42.824.2811.12%
FELCFidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core ETF42.704.9713.16%
DIVOAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF47.335.5613.30%
GPIQGoldman Sachs Nasdaq 100 Core Premium Income ETF54.295.3911.02%
GPIXGoldman Sachs S&P 500 Core Premium Income ETF55.146.3613.05%
USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF75.126.269.09%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.