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Williams Co (WMB)
NYSE:WMB

Williams Co (WMB) AI Stock Analysis

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WM

Williams Co

(NYSE:WMB)

72Outperform
Williams Co scores well due to solid financial performance and strategic initiatives underscored by a positive earnings outlook. Strong profitability and strategic investments bolster the stock's prospects. However, high valuation and technical indicators suggest some caution is warranted. The recent corporate events further support its growth trajectory, making it an attractive option within its industry.
Positive Factors
Growth and Expansion
WMB raises its 2025 growth capex estimate significantly, showing strong commitment to future growth.
Project Announcements
WMB formally announced a $1.6B BTM project with an unnamed, large IG customer, which is viewed favorably.
Negative Factors
Contractual Concerns
The BTM project is backed by a 10-year fixed price power purchase agreement, which is shorter than the 15-year contract investors expected.
Financial Performance
Free cash flow per share was below estimates due to higher dividends paid to non-controlling interests, resulting in a cash shortfall.

Williams Co (WMB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Williams Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWilliams Co (WMB) is a leading energy infrastructure company primarily engaged in the transportation, processing, and storage of natural gas. The company operates across the United States and focuses on connecting North America's significant natural gas supply areas to growing markets for natural gas. Its core services include the operation of interstate natural gas pipelines and the management of various natural gas processing and storage facilities.
How the Company Makes MoneyWilliams Co generates revenue through its extensive network of natural gas pipelines, primarily by charging fees for the transportation of natural gas. The company also earns income from its processing and storage facilities by providing essential services to producers and consumers of natural gas. Key revenue streams include long-term, fee-based contracts that ensure stable cash flow and reduce exposure to commodity price volatility. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other energy companies and investments in infrastructure expansion contribute to Williams Co's earnings by enhancing its capacity and market reach.

Williams Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Williams Co demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with competitive margins and effective cost management. However, the decline in revenue and free cash flow growth points to potential challenges in sustaining growth. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage, which is manageable but requires careful monitoring to mitigate financial risk.
Income Statement
Williams Co displayed strong gross and net profit margins in 2024, with a gross profit margin of 80.24% and a net profit margin of 21.18%. However, the revenue growth rate was negative at -3.71% compared to 2023, indicating a decline in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins were robust at 31.79% and 35.42%, respectively, underscoring effective cost management despite the revenue dip.
Balance Sheet
70
Williams Co maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16, reflecting moderate leverage. The return on equity was strong at 17.89%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio stood at 22.80%, indicating a higher reliance on debt, which could pose risks in a volatile market.
Cash Flow
The company experienced a decrease in free cash flow growth of -28.77% in 2024, but maintained a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.23, indicating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow to net income ratio was 1.08, suggesting reasonable cash flow coverage of earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.50B10.91B10.96B10.63B7.72B
Gross Profit
8.43B6.80B3.68B3.21B3.06B
EBIT
3.34B4.31B3.02B2.63B2.20B
EBITDA
6.57B7.77B5.70B5.09B4.58B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.23B3.18B2.05B1.52B211.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
60.00M2.15B152.00M1.68B142.00M
Total Assets
54.53B52.63B48.43B47.61B44.16B
Total Debt
26.94B26.46B22.90B23.68B22.34B
Net Debt
26.88B24.31B22.75B22.00B22.20B
Total Liabilities
39.69B37.74B34.39B33.51B29.58B
Stockholders Equity
12.44B12.40B11.48B11.42B11.77B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.40B3.37B2.61B2.70B2.22B
Operating Cash Flow
4.97B5.94B4.89B3.94B3.50B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.86B-3.89B-3.38B-1.47B-1.56B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.20B-49.00M-3.04B-942.00M-2.08B

Williams Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.00
Price Trends
50DMA
57.66
Positive
100DMA
56.55
Positive
200DMA
52.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
57.04
Neutral
STOCH
77.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.64, above the 50-day MA of 57.66, and above the 200-day MA of 52.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WMB.

Williams Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$53.04B12.3231.78%6.97%4.30%10.45%
ETET
79
Outperform
$57.20B12.9813.40%7.71%5.20%18.35%
EPEPD
76
Outperform
$65.97B11.4420.78%6.96%9.03%
OKOKE
74
Outperform
$51.71B16.1616.04%4.83%40.55%19.24%
KMKMI
73
Outperform
$59.62B23.208.43%4.30%2.02%5.40%
WMWMB
72
Outperform
$73.24B33.0217.92%3.21%8.06%-30.11%
56
Neutral
$7.00B3.42-4.37%5.89%-0.12%-48.35%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMB
Williams Co
60.00
22.46
59.83%
ET
Energy Transfer
16.67
1.76
11.80%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
30.46
3.99
15.07%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.83
9.06
50.98%
OKE
Oneok
82.78
7.24
9.58%
MPLX
MPLX
51.87
12.98
33.38%

Williams Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 9.59%|
Next Earnings Date:May 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance and optimistic outlook for The Williams Companies, with record demand and successful project execution driving positive growth. Despite some challenges with producer delays and conservative cash tax assumptions, the company raised its 2025 guidance and demonstrated a strong balance sheet and dividend growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Peak Demand for Transco
Transco experienced unprecedented demand for natural gas, setting an all-time record by moving 522 million decotherms, about 10% more than the previous monthly record.
Successful Project Execution
Successfully executed large-scale expansion projects like the Regional Energy Access project and the Southside Reliability Enhancement project, running at full contracted capacity.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Reported a record adjusted EBITDA for the 12th consecutive year, with 2024 figures exceeding the original guidance by $130 million despite low natural gas prices.
Positive 2025 Guidance
Raised 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance by $250 million to $7.65 billion, representing an 8% growth over 2024 and an 8% 5-year CAGR.
Strong Balance Sheet and Dividend Growth
Improved leverage metrics and a 5% CAGR in dividend growth, with a strong AFFO per share coverage of dividends.
Negative Updates
Producer Delays in Deepwater Projects
Experienced delays with customer producers that unfavorably impacted the expected ramp in growth projects like Shenandoah and Whale.
Cash Tax Assumptions
Guidance assumes $300 million in cash taxes with no benefit from potential tax legislation changes, which could affect AFFO per share.
Company Guidance
During The Williams Companies' Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings call, the company highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. They reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $7.08 billion for 2024, surpassing the original guidance of $6.95 billion, despite challenging natural gas prices averaging $2.20 per MMBtu. The company anticipates a 3% increase in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, raising the midpoint to $7.65 billion, which would represent an 8% growth over 2024 and an 8% 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Williams also projects a 30% 5-year CAGR in adjusted EPS and a 9% 5-year CAGR in available funds from operations per share for 2025. They plan to maintain a 5% 5-year CAGR in dividends while keeping a strong dividend coverage. The company's leverage improved by 18% over five years, aiming for a range of 3.5x to 4x in 2025. Their 2025 growth plans include eight interstate transmission projects totaling 1.25 Bcf per day, with a capital expenditure guidance of $1.8 billion, excluding acquisitions. The guidance is conservative regarding the Transco rate case and factors in strategic bolt-on acquisitions. Their natural gas-focused strategy, which has driven a 14% EPS CAGR over the past five years, remains central to their growth trajectory beyond 2025.

Williams Co Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Williams Co Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 2, 2025

On April 29, 2025, The Williams Companies, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key proposals were voted on. Stockholders elected eleven director nominees for a one-year term, approved the compensation of named executive officers on an advisory basis, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are expected to maintain the company’s governance and financial oversight, ensuring continuity in its strategic direction.

Spark’s Take on WMB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, WMB is a Outperform.

Williams Co scores well due to solid financial performance and strategic initiatives underscored by a positive earnings outlook. Strong profitability and strategic investments bolster the stock’s prospects. However, high valuation and technical indicators suggest some caution is warranted. The recent corporate events further support its growth trajectory, making it an attractive option within its industry.

To see Spark’s full report on WMB stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Williams Co Appoints New Executive Vice President
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

On April 24, 2025, Williams Co. announced the appointment of Larry Larsen as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective May 3, 2025. Larsen, who has been with the company since 1999, brings extensive experience in various leadership roles, including his recent position as Senior Vice President of Gathering and Processing. His appointment is expected to ensure a seamless transition and continuity in leadership, enhancing Williams’ competitive advantage and supporting its long-term growth strategy.

Spark’s Take on WMB Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, WMB is a Neutral.

Williams Co scores well due to its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, notably the new power infrastructure agreement. The earnings call highlighted robust growth prospects, although high valuation and limited technical momentum dampen the overall score. The company’s leverage and reliance on debt also pose potential risks.

To see Spark’s full report on WMB stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Williams Co Announces COO Retirement in 2025
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

On March 13, 2025, Williams announced that Micheal G. Dunn, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, will retire on May 2, 2025. During his tenure, Dunn transformed the company into a cohesive operating entity, completed significant infrastructure projects, and enhanced regulatory compliance, positioning Williams to continue its natural gas-focused strategy. Efforts are underway to find a suitable successor, with Dunn participating in the process.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Williams Co Announces Major Power Infrastructure Agreement
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Williams Co entered into a significant agreement with a large investment-grade company to provide natural gas and power generation infrastructure, investing approximately $1.6 billion. This project, expected to complete in the second half of 2026, marks Williams Co’s first power innovation project, backed by a 10-year fixed-price power purchase agreement, and raises its 2025 growth capex by $925 million, impacting its leverage ratio.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.