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Universe Pharmaceuticals (UPC) AI Stock Analysis

UPC

Universe Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:UPC)

Select Model
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:$1.50â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/28/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance—shrinking revenue, sustained losses, and negative cash flow—despite a comparatively conservative balance sheet and modest improvement in 2025 margins/burn. Technical indicators also weigh on the score due to a clear downtrend and bearish momentum, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend yield support in the provided data.

Positive Factors
Conservative leverageLow leverage gives Universe Pharmaceuticals more financial flexibility than a heavily indebted peer, limiting interest and refinancing pressure. This provides a stronger cushion while management addresses operating losses and preserves the ability to allocate resources toward stabilizing the business.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contractionA multi-year revenue decline points to sustained pressure on the company’s commercial scale rather than a temporary quarterly fluctuation. Shrinking sales reduce operating leverage, make fixed costs harder to absorb, and limit the resources available for product development and business investment.

Universe Pharmaceuticals (UPC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-50%0%50%100%150%200%UPC-65.33%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$928.69K
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
172.58K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.4
Beta (1Y)
3.27
Revenue Growth
-8.04%
EPS Growth
-100.01%
Country
US
Employees
216
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Universe Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. (UPC) operates as a pharmaceutical enterprise primarily focused on the Chinese market. The company specializes in the production, promotion, and sale of products derived from traditional Chinese medicine (TCM). These rem...

Universe Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are pressured by multi-year revenue contraction (about $48.0M in 2021 to about $17.9M in 2025), four consecutive years of net losses (2022–2025), and negative operating/free cash flow (2025 OCF about -$5.1M; FCF about -$5.4M). Offsetting positives are a conservative balance sheet (low debt-to-equity around 0.16) and some 2025 improvement in gross margin and reduced cash burn versus 2024.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

24Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.74M17.86M23.02M32.31M40.14M47.98M
Gross Profit6.36M6.30M6.07M10.32M21.89M25.33M
EBITDA-1.31M-2.92M-7.36M-3.18M-6.40M14.20M
Net Income-1.94M-3.67M-8.73M-6.16M-8.74M11.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.47M69.30M67.95M53.29M59.54M70.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.05M33.59M29.50M18.50M18.86M21.80M
Total Debt9.55M9.26M7.99M5.48M3.94M4.33M
Total Liabilities15.82M13.17M22.45M13.75M13.10M11.21M
Stockholders Equity55.65M56.13M45.50M39.53M46.44M58.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.39M-5.40M-9.87M1.08M-1.41M-15.59M
Operating Cash Flow-11.91M-5.05M-9.51M1.12M-1.31M-2.06M
Investing Cash Flow-2.02M-341.81K-361.29K-44.17K-3.91M-27.06M
Financing Cash Flow-6.82M9.73M33.95M-1.39M3.32M26.58M

Universe Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.50

Price Trends

50DMA4.15Negative
100DMA4.48Negative
200DMA3.80Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.73Positive
RSI22.12Positive
STOCH1.25Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UPC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.46, below the 50-day MA of 4.15, and below the 200-day MA of 3.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UPC.

Universe Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Universe Pharmaceuticals disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universe Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Universe Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

UPC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CPHICPHI56Neutral$26.88M-0.60-17.14%―-10.97%71.83%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
RDHLRDHL41Neutral$3.45M-3.25206.75%―――
UPCUPC41Neutral$7.49M-0.43-3.48%―-8.04%-100.01%
PRFXPRFX38Underperform$2.22M-0.07-72.87%―――
SHPHSHPH32Underperform$24.54M-0.16-156.78%――94.90%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%UPCCPHIRDHLSXTCPRFXSHPHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
UPC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
UPCUniverse Pharmaceuticals Incorporation1.47-2.80-65.57%
CPHIChina Pharma0.61-0.94-60.90%
RDHLRedHill Biopharma Ltd0.44-0.64-59.17%
SXTCChina Sxt Pharmaceuticals2.78-1703997.52-100.00%
PRFXPainreform Ltd.0.75-4.50-85.71%
SHPHShuttle Pharmaceuticals Holdings, Inc.4.95-23.95-82.87%

Universe Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Universe Pharmaceuticals Shareholders Approve Board Slate and Conditional Reverse Split at 2026 AGM

Oct 6, 2026

Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc. held its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on September 30, 2026 in Ji’an, Jiangxi, where investors representing about 88.48% of voting rights were present, ensuring a valid quorum. Shareholders re-electe...

Universe Pharmaceuticals Sets September 30, 2026 AGM With Contingent Reverse Stock Split Proposal

Sep 1, 2026

Universe Pharmaceuticals has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders for September 30, 2026, in Ji’an, Jiangxi, China, setting August 31, 2026, as the record date for investors eligible to vote. Shareholders will consider the re&...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2026