Vital Energy (VUX) AI Stock Analysis

Vital Energy

(TSXV:VUX)

Select Model

Rating:42Neutral

Price Target:CAD 0.11▼(-7.83% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/29/26

Low score driven primarily by weak financials from high leverage and net losses, along with unattractive valuation. Neutral technical signals offer limited offset.

Positive Factors

Revenue GrowthRecent top-line growth indicates continued demand for Vital Energy’s hydrocarbon output and operating footprint. Sustaining revenue expansion can improve scale and support fixed-cost absorption, although future durability remains linked to production execution and commodity markets.

Negative Factors

High LeverageVery high leverage materially limits financial flexibility and increases exposure to refinancing costs, production disruptions, and commodity-price declines. Debt obligations may constrain capital allocation and make balance-sheet repair a central requirement for durable improvement.

Vital Energy (VUX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Market Cap: CAD 9.51M
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 20.05K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -1.0
Beta (1Y): -0.69
Revenue Growth: -24.15%
EPS Growth: -384.74%
Country: Canada
Employees: 0
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Vital Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vital Energy Inc. is a junior oil and gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil and natural gas reserves across Western Canada. The firm's flagship asset is the Gull Lake project in Saskatchewan, where it holds...

How the Company Makes Money

Vital Energy primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs)—from its operated and non-operated wells. Revenue is recognized when produced volumes are sold to purchasers (e.g., market...

Vital Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak performance from volatile revenue, sharply negative net income, high debt-to-equity of 4.74, and negative free cash flow despite some operating cash support.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

42Neutral

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2026	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Dec 2022	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	14.93M	15.67M	20.90M	14.43M	19.68M	13.49M
Gross Profit	5.81M	4.01M	7.02M	2.56M	7.19M	8.41M
EBITDA	8.00M	791.67K	12.05M	57.75K	8.74M	11.77M
Net Income	-8.95M	-8.02M	4.00M	-5.37M	4.71M	8.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	47.42M	46.66M	37.06M	29.74M	21.61M	16.28M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	8.39M	7.43M	1.02M	7.11M	2.10M	1.66M
Total Debt	33.84M	33.52M	15.03M	9.09M	203.26K	253.03K
Total Liabilities	39.25M	39.09M	21.48M	18.16M	4.66M	4.15M
Stockholders Equity	8.16M	7.56M	15.58M	11.58M	16.95M	12.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-2.84M	-410.38K	-6.82M	-6.06M	5.11M	4.72M
Operating Cash Flow	4.62M	6.89M	10.25M	5.86M	11.66M	8.05M
Investing Cash Flow	-15.90M	-18.73M	-15.28M	-14.94M	-12.87M	-2.90M
Financing Cash Flow	17.25M	18.25M	5.94M	8.90M	52.50K	-3.81M

Vital Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive

Last Price0.12

Price Trends

50DMA0.12Positive

100DMA0.11Positive

200DMA0.14Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Negative

RSI56.75Neutral

STOCH100.00Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VUX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, below the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:VUX.

Vital Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:VUX against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TSE:CEC	56Neutral	CAD 47.16M	2.73	173.63%	―	―	―
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
TSE:BNG	50Neutral	CAD 18.51M	-6.48	-13.00%	―	7.00%	27.59%
TSE:BDR	44Neutral	CAD 9.05M	-1.43	2520.07%	―	―	-669.60%
TSE:VUX	42Neutral	CAD 9.51M	-1.01	-89.22%	―	-24.15%	-384.74%
TSE:SNV	41Neutral	CAD 3.61M	-3.66	130.35%	―	―	―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

TSE:VUX and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
TSE:VUX	Vital Energy	0.12	-0.02	-13.53%
TSE:BDR	Bird River Resources	0.14	0.02	17.39%
TSE:BNG	Bengal Energy	0.04	0.03	250.00%
TSE:CEC	Pan Orient Energy	0.41	0.29	245.83%
TSE:SNV	Sonoro Energy	0.01	-0.03	-62.50%

Vital Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Vital Energy Reshapes Credit Facilities, Extends Debt Maturities

Neutral

Aug 25, 2026

Vital Energy Inc. has amended its existing credit facility, reducing the available loan capacity from $15 million to $10 million while extending the maturity date by one year to August 28, 2027. The adjustment suggests a recalibration of borrowing ne...

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026

Vital Energy AI Stock Analysis