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Telus Corp. (TSE:T)
TSX:T

Telus (T) AI Stock Analysis

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TS

Telus

(TSX:T)

74Outperform
Telus's strong financial performance, driven by consistent revenue growth and robust cash flow generation, underpins its stock score. While high leverage poses some risk, strategic initiatives in customer growth and sector expansion mitigate this. Technical analysis and valuation suggest caution, but positive corporate events and earnings call guidance support a stable outlook.
Positive Factors
Asset Monetization
TELUS' divestiture plan includes asset sales proceeds that could amount to over $1B, showing proactive measures to strengthen financial health.
Financial Discipline
TELUS is serious about achieving its de-leveraging target of 3x net debt/LTM EBITDA by 2027, providing evidence of financial discipline and focus on balance sheet strength.
Negative Factors
Leverage Challenges
TELUS faces several challenges, including unsustainable leverage and a dividend greater than its free cash flow.
Market Sentiment
The nearly 2-year long sell off in Canadian telecom stocks indicates past challenges that could impact market sentiment.

Telus (T) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Telus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTelus Corporation is a Canadian national telecommunications company that provides a wide range of telecommunications products and services, including wireless and wireline voice and data services. It operates primarily in the telecommunications sector and offers services such as mobile network services, internet access, voice, entertainment, healthcare, video, and IPTV television. Telus also focuses on providing innovative solutions in healthcare technology and digital health services.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelus makes money through a variety of revenue streams primarily focused on telecommunications services. Its key revenue streams include mobile network services, where the company earns revenue from providing voice and data services to individual and business customers. This includes postpaid and prepaid plans, as well as additional services like roaming and equipment sales. Wireline services also contribute significantly, with Telus offering internet, television, and home phone services. Telus Health is another area of growth, generating revenue through digital healthcare solutions and technology services for healthcare providers and patients. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations, which can enhance service offerings and customer reach.

Telus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Telus demonstrates a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. Despite an increase in leverage, the company maintains effective cost management, resulting in stable gross profit margins. The improvements in free cash flow and cash conversion efficiency further strengthen its financial health. The company should continue to monitor its debt levels to mitigate potential risks.
Income Statement
―
Telus has demonstrated a consistent growth trajectory in revenue, increasing from CAD 14,589 million in 2019 to CAD 20,139 million in 2024. The gross profit margin remained strong at approximately 62% in 2024, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin has improved from 5.8% in 2023 to 4.9% in 2024, which shows a positive trend in profitability. However, the EBIT margin has shown some volatility, decreasing from 16.3% in 2019 to 13.9% in 2023, before recovering slightly to 13.9% in 2024.
Balance Sheet
75
The company maintains a solid equity base with stockholders' equity at CAD 15,620 million in 2024, although it has slightly decreased from CAD 16,112 million in 2023. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased from 1.70 in 2019 to 1.91 in 2024, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the equity ratio remains stable at around 27%.
Cash Flow
―
Telus shows strong cash flow generation, with operating cash flow increasing from CAD 3,927 million in 2019 to CAD 4,847 million in 2024. The free cash flow has also improved significantly from negative CAD 928 million in 2021 to CAD 1,460 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating good cash conversion efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
20.14B20.00B18.29B16.84B15.34B
Gross Profit
12.50B12.47B11.19B10.14B9.07B
EBIT
2.80B2.36B2.95B3.07B2.48B
EBITDA
6.68B6.31B6.94B5.90B5.63B
Net Income Common Stockholders
993.00M841.00M1.61B1.66B1.21B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
869.00M864.00M974.00M723.00M848.00M
Total Assets
58.02B56.14B54.05B47.99B43.33B
Total Debt
29.78B27.45B25.14B20.97B20.39B
Net Debt
29.78B26.59B24.17B20.24B19.54B
Total Liabilities
41.23B38.83B36.39B31.93B30.73B
Stockholders Equity
15.62B16.11B16.57B15.12B12.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.46B1.29B1.16B-928.00M1.75B
Operating Cash Flow
4.85B4.50B4.81B4.39B4.57B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.70B-4.75B-5.41B-5.47B-6.17B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.14B139.00M848.00M953.00M1.90B

Telus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price20.72
Price Trends
50DMA
21.02
Negative
100DMA
20.59
Positive
200DMA
20.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
51.52
Neutral
STOCH
49.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:T, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 20.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.63, below the 50-day MA of 21.02, and below the 200-day MA of 20.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:T.

Telus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.59B11.6238.85%3.49%3.76%14.27%
TST
74
Outperform
$31.37B31.056.26%7.57%0.67%15.00%
TSCGO
66
Neutral
C$606.24M6.9410.38%5.76%0.06%115.11%
59
Neutral
$13.76B7.70-1.87%3.86%2.21%-37.55%
TSBCE
57
Neutral
$27.29B165.641.80%13.37%-1.07%-92.15%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:T
Telus
20.85
-0.11
-0.53%
TSE:BCE
BCE
29.54
-11.99
-28.87%
TSE:QBR.B
Quebecor
37.57
9.77
35.16%
TSE:CGO
Cogeco Inc. SV
62.54
11.98
23.69%

Telus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 13, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.08%|
Next Earnings Date:May 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TELUS demonstrated strong customer growth and robust EBITDA performance, highlighting significant achievements in its Health and Agriculture segments. However, challenges such as a decline in mobile ARPU and higher financing costs tempered the overall positive sentiment. The company remains focused on leveraging its strong asset base for future growth.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Customer Additions
TELUS achieved over 1.2 million telecom net new customer additions in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of surpassing 1 million additions.
Strong EBITDA Growth
TTech EBITDA grew by 7% in Q4 2024 and 5.5% for the full year, meeting the target range set at the beginning of the year.
TELUS Health and Agriculture Growth
TELUS Health achieved 10% revenue growth and 20% EBITDA growth in Q4, while TELUS Agriculture & Consumer Goods saw a 16% revenue increase.
Improved Capital Efficiency
Consolidated capital intensity was down 200 basis points year-over-year at 12%, reflecting a planned slowdown in fiber and wireless asset builds.
Negative Updates
Decline in Mobile Phone ARPU
Mobile phone ARPU declined by 3.6% in Q4 2024, indicating ongoing competitive pressures in the market.
Higher Financing Costs
Net income was partially offset by higher financing costs, reflecting increased long-term debt and higher interest rates.
Slight Miss on Free Cash Flow Target
Free cash flow for the full year was approximately $2 billion, slightly below the target of $2.1 billion due to higher-than-expected cash impacts of contract assets and device financing.
Company Guidance
During TELUS' 2024 Q4 earnings call, the guidance for 2025 highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic focuses. TELUS aims for TTech operating revenue growth of 2% to 4% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% to 5%, supported by moderated capital expenditures of approximately $2.5 billion. The company expects consolidated free cash flow to reach around $2.15 billion. TELUS plans to leverage its strong performance in customer additions, having achieved over 1.2 million net new telecom customer additions in 2024. The company also targets a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately 3x by 2027, alongside the removal of the discounted dividend reinvestment plan. The strategic focus includes enhancing operational excellence, expanding customer base, and capitalizing on growth in TELUS Health and Agriculture sectors. These initiatives aim to underpin long-term profitable growth and sustain the dividend growth program, which is now in its 15th year.

Telus Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
TELUS Launches $1.6 Billion Junior Subordinated Note Offering
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

TELUS has announced the pricing of $1.6 billion in fixed-to-fixed rate junior subordinated notes through a syndicate of agents. These notes, issued in two series with a 30.25-year maturity, are intended to help the company repay outstanding debts and support general corporate purposes. The Series CAR notes have an initial yield of 6.25% and the Series CAS notes have an initial yield of 6.75%, with both series having mechanisms to reset interest rates every five years. The issuance of these notes is expected to enhance TELUS’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

Spark’s Take on TSE:T Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:T is a Neutral.

Telus’s overall score reflects a strong financial performance and positive corporate events, offset by technical weaknesses and a high valuation. The company is poised for long-term growth with strategic initiatives, but near-term technical metrics and valuation concerns may pose challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:T stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
TELUS Considers Strategic Sale of Wireless Tower Stake to Boost Financial Flexibility
Positive
Mar 27, 2025

TELUS is exploring the sale of a minority stake in its wireless tower infrastructure to enhance network operations and strengthen its balance sheet. This move aims to provide financial flexibility, allowing TELUS to pay down debt and achieve a leverage target by 2027, while maintaining its commitment to sustainable growth and stakeholder value.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Telus Achieves Strong Growth in Q4 2024, Sets Positive 2025 Targets
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Telus reported strong operational and financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with a notable increase in customer growth and financial metrics. The company added 328,000 mobile and fixed customers in the quarter, driven by demand for their bundled services. They observed a 4.1% rise in TTech operating revenues and a 7.0% growth in adjusted EBITDA, attributed to efficiency improvements and real estate and copper monetization. For the full year, Telus saw a consistent rise in revenues and free cash flow, targeting further growth in 2025 to strengthen their balance sheet and continue their dividend growth program.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.