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Slate Grocery REIT (TSE:SGR.UN)
TSX:SGR.UN
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Slate Grocery REIT (SGR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SGR.UN

Slate Grocery REIT

(TSX:SGR.UN)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$19.50
â–²(20.67% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:09/29/26
The score is driven primarily by solid operating performance and improving cash flow, tempered by elevated leverage on the balance sheet. Technicals support the case with a clear uptrend, while valuation is helped by a strong dividend yield. The latest earnings call adds support via strong leasing/rent spreads and a largely fixed-rate debt profile, partially offset by vacancy backfill and strategic-review uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Strong leasing spreads and same-property NOI growth
Strong leasing volume and rent spreads demonstrate demand for the portfolio and provide a pathway to higher recurring rental income. Same-property NOI growth further indicates that operating performance is improving within existing assets, supporting cash-flow durability over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated and rising leverage
Elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to refinancing costs, asset values, and operating setbacks. Because debt has risen relative to equity, the REIT may have less capacity to fund acquisitions or absorb weaker occupancy without prioritizing balance-sheet management.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong leasing spreads and same-property NOI growth
Strong leasing volume and rent spreads demonstrate demand for the portfolio and provide a pathway to higher recurring rental income. Same-property NOI growth further indicates that operating performance is improving within existing assets, supporting cash-flow durability over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Slate Grocery REIT (SGR.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Slate Grocery REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Slate Grocery REIT is an owner and operator of U.S. grocery-anchored real estate. The REIT owns and operates critical real estate infrastructure across major U.S. metro markets that communities rely upon for their everyday needs. The REIT's resili...
How the Company Makes Money
Slate Grocery REIT primarily makes money by earning rental income from tenants leasing space in its grocery-anchored retail properties. Its key revenue stream is contractual base rent paid under lease agreements (generally long-term for anchor gro...

Slate Grocery REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple meaningful operational positives — robust leasing volume, strong renewal and new-lease rent spreads, same-property NOI growth, a conservative debt profile with >90% fixed-rate debt and a low 5% weighted average interest rate, and favorable sector fundamentals supporting pricing power. Offsetting these strengths were notable near-term challenges including roughly 260,000 square feet of vacates (with several large vacates still to be backfilled), an ongoing strategic review with no timeline, and limited disposition activity beyond one property held for sale. Overall, the operational and financial positives outweigh the disclosed challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Volume and Rent Growth
Completed over 569,000 square feet of total leasing in Q2; renewal spreads averaged +16.7% above expiring rents and new deals completed at +41% above comparable average in-place rent.
Negative Updates
Significant Vacancies/Vacates This Quarter
Roughly 260,000 square feet of vacates occurred in the quarter; management reported 10 largest vacates and has leased 4 of those 10 so far, with prospects/letters of intent for several others — remaining vacancies present leasing and timing risk to occupancy and cash flow.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Leasing Volume and Rent Growth
Completed over 569,000 square feet of total leasing in Q2; renewal spreads averaged +16.7% above expiring rents and new deals completed at +41% above comparable average in-place rent.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized a stable near‑term outlook driven by a 5.0% weighted average interest rate with over 90% of debt fixed, and a weighted average capitalization rate that remains well above the REIT's borrowing cost, supporting positive leverage; operationally the REIT reported 569,000 sq. ft. of leasing in Q2 with renewal spreads of +16.7% and new deals at +41% versus comparable in‑place rent, portfolio occupancy of 93.6%, average in‑place rent of $13.10/sq. ft. (below market), same‑property NOI up $3.8 million or 2.3% on a trailing 12‑month basis (adjusted for redevelopments), and 260,000 sq. ft. of vacates this quarter (four of the 10 largest already re‑leased with additional LOIs), while noting one asset (Heritage Heights) is held for sale to close in Q3, no net strategic‑review costs hit FFO this quarter, and elevated construction costs and tight lending continue to limit new retail supply and bolster landlord pricing power.

Slate Grocery REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations and cash generation are solid (strong current profitability and a sharp TTM rebound in operating/free cash flow), but the balance sheet is the main constraint with elevated leverage (~2.0x debt-to-equity) and historical volatility in earnings/margins and cash-flow coverage.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue223.37M213.37M209.13M203.28M177.49M138.28M
Gross Profit144.12M138.34M135.40M130.47M127.41M100.86M
EBITDA136.67M129.86M128.47M86.77M215.05M150.55M
Net Income43.29M43.39M39.67M13.60M128.80M90.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.37B2.36B2.23B2.24B2.27B1.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.78M21.82M22.67M23.59M20.39M14.04M
Total Debt1.30B1.30B1.17B1.16B1.13B937.74M
Total Liabilities1.53B1.52B1.38B1.37B1.34B1.11B
Stockholders Equity660.24M659.12M673.47M687.44M740.51M619.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow68.63M60.71M67.04M71.78M51.95M46.12M
Operating Cash Flow79.35M66.96M70.97M76.30M58.99M50.80M
Investing Cash Flow-57.43M-51.94M-10.43M-20.55M-381.74M-190.85M
Financing Cash Flow-26.56M-15.87M-61.46M-52.55M329.11M151.72M

Slate Grocery REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.16
Price Trends
50DMA
15.97
Positive
100DMA
16.36
Positive
200DMA
15.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Negative
RSI
60.81
Neutral
STOCH
73.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SGR.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.91, above the 50-day MA of 15.97, and above the 200-day MA of 15.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SGR.UN.

Slate Grocery REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$4.09B7.3312.79%5.65%4.77%24.61%
76
Outperform
C$581.07M9.3911.07%5.32%2.84%78.07%
73
Outperform
C$1.06B17.305.97%6.82%2.01%9.35%
70
Outperform
C$4.84B4.7022.27%3.98%0.07%295.34%
69
Neutral
C$3.59B22.123.53%5.49%7.63%-22.77%
66
Neutral
C$4.55B28.743.03%6.93%-1.11%-31.75%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SGR.UN
Slate Grocery REIT
17.55
3.96
29.13%
TSE:CRT.UN
CT Real Estate Investment
16.99
1.57
10.20%
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
12.80
1.01
8.55%
TSE:FCR.UN
First Capital Realty
22.76
3.73
19.60%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
5.26
1.34
34.22%
TSE:SRU.UN
SmartCentres Real Estate Investment Trust
26.71
1.66
6.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026